Bahia at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Bahia

23.5%24.5%52.1%
Bahia WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.74Projected Goals 1.63
2Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
L 1-3 at Corinthians+530
L 0-2 at Internacional+410
T 1-1 vs Bragantino+125
T 0-0 at Santos+230
W 2-4 vs Fortaleza+200
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 2-0 at Atletico Goianiense+200
L 0-3 at Flamengo+1250
W 2-4 vs Gremio+210
W 1-2 vs Juventude+105
L 0-2 at America (MG)+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+262+425+400+445+454+400+454+464.5
Athletico Paranaense+117-140-152-143-154-152-140-131.6
Draw+210+265+260+279+266+260+279+292.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+335----+445+445+464.5
Athletico Paranaense-115-----155-155-131.6
Draw+250----+280+280+292.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 30.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-111o2¼-115o2¼-118o2¼-112-o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-105
Underu2-109u2¼-105u2¼-102u2¼-102-u2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-105
Under-----u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.36%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 412.28%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.17%
Exactly 320.73%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 047.93%
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 212.96%
Exactly 33.18%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 019.52%
Exactly 131.89%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 314.18%
Exactly 45.79%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.39%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 42.01%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 071.14%
Exactly 124.22%
Exactly 24.12%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 046.94%
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 213.43%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals4.62%
Wins by 3+ goals0.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.11%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals32.37%
Wins by 3+ goals14.07%
Wins by 4+ goals4.97%
Wins by 5+ goals1.45%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal11.93%
Wins by 2 goals3.70%
Wins by 3 goals0.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.11%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.50%
Wins by 2 goals18.30%
Wins by 3 goals9.10%
Wins by 4 goals3.51%
Wins by 5 goals1.10%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.64%9.36%
1.568.47%31.53%
2.542.22%57.78%
3.521.48%78.52%
4.59.20%90.80%
5.53.38%96.62%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.07%47.93%
1.516.82%83.18%
2.53.86%96.14%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.48%19.52%
1.548.58%51.42%
2.522.53%77.47%
3.58.35%91.65%
4.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.61%33.39%
1.529.98%70.02%
2.59.89%90.11%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
9.36%
15.29%
12.48%
6.80%
2.78%
0.91%
1
6.88%
11.24%
9.18%
5.00%
2.04%
0.67%
2
2.53%
4.13%
3.38%
1.84%
0.75%
0.25%
3
0.62%
1.01%
0.83%
0.45%
0.18%
0.06%
4
0.11%
0.19%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Bahia
1-06.88%
2-02.53%
2-14.13%
3-00.62%
3-11.01%
3-20.83%
4-00.11%
4-10.19%
4-20.15%
Draw
0-09.36%
1-111.24%
2-23.38%
3-30.45%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.29%
0-212.48%
1-29.18%
0-36.80%
1-35.00%
2-31.84%
0-42.78%
1-42.04%
2-40.75%
3-40.18%
0-50.91%
1-50.67%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
33.39%
25.26%
9.55%
2.41%
0.46%
1
11.37%
8.60%
3.25%
0.82%
0.16%
2
1.94%
1.46%
0.55%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.22%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Bahia
1-011.37%
2-01.94%
2-11.46%
3-00.22%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-033.39%
1-18.60%
2-20.55%
Athletico Paranaense
0-125.26%
0-29.55%
1-23.25%
0-32.41%
1-30.82%
2-30.14%
0-40.46%
1-40.16%