Athletico Paranaense at Sao Paulo

Updated 1085 days ago

12:30 AM • Nov 25, 2021

Athletico Paranaense

24.5%26.5%49.0%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawSao Paulo Win

0.74Projected Goals 1.47

0Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 1-0	11/16 vs Atletico Mineiro	+600
L 1-2	11/13 at Internacional	+260
W 1-2	11/10 vs Ceara	-125
W 2-0	11/07 at Bragantino	+270
T 2-2	11/02 vs Flamengo	+220

Sao Paulo		Money Line
W 2-0	11/17 at Palmeiras	+255
L 4-0	11/14 vs Flamengo	+170
T 1-1	11/11 at Fortaleza	+190
L 0-1	11/07 at Bahia	+150
W 0-1	10/31 vs Internacional	-135

Money Line Analysis

:2.8%:4.5%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+350	+390	+300	+405	-	+300	+405	+426.7
Sao Paulo	-120	-115	-110	-120	-	-110	-110	-107.9
Draw	+260	+220	+200	+226	-	+200	+226	+243.5

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+350	-	-	-	-	+400	+400	+426.7
Sao Paulo	-130	-	-	-	-	-115	-115	-107.9
Draw	+280	-	-	-	-	+220	+220	+243.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.4%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-112	o2-105	o2-105	o2-103	-	o2-105	o2-103	o2+107
Under	u2¼-108	u2-115	u2-115	u2-112	-	u2-115	u2-112	u2-107

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+107
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	40.3%


No	59.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.95%
Exactly 2	26.78%
Exactly 4	10.92%
Exactly 6	1.78%
Exactly 8	0.16%


Exactly 1	24.22%
Exactly 3	19.75%
Exactly 5	4.83%
Exactly 7	0.56%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	47.79%
Exactly 1	35.29%
Exactly 2	13.03%
Exactly 3	3.21%
Exactly 4	0.59%

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	22.91%
Exactly 1	33.76%
Exactly 2	24.87%
Exactly 3	12.22%
Exactly 4	4.50%
Exactly 5	1.33%
Exactly 6	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.91%
Exactly 2	18.83%
Exactly 4	1.65%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	6.43%
Exactly 5	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	71.04%
Exactly 1	24.29%
Exactly 2	4.15%
Exactly 3	0.47%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	50.55%
Exactly 1	34.49%
Exactly 2	11.76%
Exactly 3	2.68%
Exactly 4	0.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	5.28%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.07%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.14%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals	28.01%
Wins by 3+ goals	11.18%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.57%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	13.35%
Wins by 2 goals	4.21%
Wins by 3 goals	0.93%
Wins by 4 goals	0.14%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal	26.65%
Wins by 2 goals	16.83%
Wins by 3 goals	7.61%
Wins by 4 goals	2.66%
Wins by 5 goals	0.75%
Wins by 6 goals	0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.05%	10.95%
1.5	64.83%	35.17%
2.5	38.05%	61.95%
3.5	18.30%	81.70%
4.5	7.38%	92.62%
5.5	2.55%	97.45%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	52.21%	47.79%
1.5	16.93%	83.07%
2.5	3.90%	96.10%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	77.09%	22.91%
1.5	43.33%	56.67%
2.5	18.46%	81.54%
3.5	6.24%	93.76%
4.5	1.74%	98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.09%	35.91%
1.5	27.31%	72.69%
2.5	8.48%	91.52%
3.5	2.05%	97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.95%	16.13%	11.89%	5.84%	2.15%	0.63%
1	8.08%	11.91%	8.78%	4.31%	1.59%	0.47%
2	2.98%	4.40%	3.24%	1.59%	0.59%	0.17%
3	0.73%	1.08%	0.80%	0.39%	0.14%	0.04%
4	0.14%	0.20%	0.15%	0.07%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	8.08%
2-0	2.98%
2-1	4.40%
3-0	0.73%
3-1	1.08%
3-2	0.80%
4-0	0.14%
4-1	0.20%
4-2	0.15%

Draw
0-0	10.95%
1-1	11.91%
2-2	3.24%
3-3	0.39%

Sao Paulo
0-1	16.13%
0-2	11.89%
1-2	8.78%
0-3	5.84%
1-3	4.31%
2-3	1.59%
0-4	2.15%
1-4	1.59%
2-4	0.59%
3-4	0.14%
0-5	0.63%
1-5	0.47%
2-5	0.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	35.91%	24.50%	8.36%	1.90%	0.32%
1	12.28%	8.38%	2.86%	0.65%	0.11%
2	2.10%	1.43%	0.49%	0.11%	0.02%
3	0.24%	0.16%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	12.28%
2-0	2.10%
2-1	1.43%
3-0	0.24%
3-1	0.16%

Draw
0-0	35.91%
1-1	8.38%
2-2	0.49%

Sao Paulo
0-1	24.50%
0-2	8.36%
1-2	2.86%
0-3	1.90%
1-3	0.65%
2-3	0.11%
0-4	0.32%
1-4	0.11%

Atletico Mineiro at Palmeiras

Internacional at Fluminense

Athletico Paranaense at Sao Paulo