Atletico Mineiro at Palmeiras

Updated

Atletico Mineiro

32.8%27.9%39.3%
Atletico Mineiro WinDrawPalmeiras Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.28
2Final Score 2

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Juventude-315
W 1-0 at Athletico Paranaense-210
W 0-3 vs Corinthians-180
W 0-1 vs America (MG)-155
W 1-2 vs Gremio-250
Palmeiras
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fortaleza+185
L 2-0 vs Sao Paulo+110
L 1-2 at Fluminense+140
W 0-4 vs Atletico Goianiense-260
W 2-0 at Santos+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+159-130-125-119-137-125-119-113.7
Palmeiras+173+380+340+367+397+340+397+392.5
Draw+225+265+225+259+256+225+265+277.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro-125-----130-130-113.7
Palmeiras+350----+380+380+392.5
Draw+265----+260+260+277.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+108o2½+106o2½+104-o2½+106o2½+108o2½+114
Underu2¼-102u2½-122u2½-126u2½-119-u2½-126u2½-119u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+114
Under-----u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.63%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.03%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.54%
Exactly 320.57%
Exactly 55.63%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 034.49%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 027.92%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 222.72%
Exactly 39.66%
Exactly 43.08%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.84%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 41.94%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 061.09%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 055.40%
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 29.66%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals11.83%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals18.45%
Wins by 3+ goals6.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal18.98%
Wins by 2 goals8.38%
Wins by 3 goals2.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal22.75%
Wins by 2 goals12.04%
Wins by 3 goals4.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.37%9.63%
1.567.83%32.17%
2.541.46%58.54%
3.520.89%79.11%
4.58.85%91.15%
5.53.22%96.78%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.51%34.49%
1.528.79%71.21%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.08%27.92%
1.536.45%63.55%
2.513.73%86.27%
3.54.07%95.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.16%33.84%
1.529.49%70.51%
2.59.63%90.37%
3.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
9.63%
12.29%
7.84%
3.33%
1.06%
0.27%
1
10.25%
13.08%
8.34%
3.55%
1.13%
0.29%
2
5.46%
6.96%
4.44%
1.89%
0.60%
0.15%
3
1.94%
2.47%
1.58%
0.67%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.52%
0.66%
0.42%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Mineiro
1-010.25%
2-05.46%
2-16.96%
3-01.94%
3-12.47%
3-21.58%
4-00.52%
4-10.66%
4-20.42%
4-30.18%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.63%
1-113.08%
2-24.44%
3-30.67%
Palmeiras
0-112.29%
0-27.84%
1-28.34%
0-33.33%
1-33.55%
2-31.89%
0-41.06%
1-41.13%
2-40.60%
3-40.21%
0-50.27%
1-50.29%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras
Score01234
0
33.84%
19.99%
5.90%
1.16%
0.17%
1
16.68%
9.85%
2.91%
0.57%
0.08%
2
4.11%
2.43%
0.72%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.68%
0.40%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Mineiro
1-016.68%
2-04.11%
2-12.43%
3-00.68%
3-10.40%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.84%
1-19.85%
2-20.72%
Palmeiras
0-119.99%
0-25.90%
1-22.91%
0-31.16%
1-30.57%
2-30.14%
0-40.17%
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