Flamengo at Gremio

Updated

Flamengo

49.7%22.7%27.6%
Flamengo WinDrawGremio Win
1.84Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 2

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
W 2-1 at Internacional+105
W 0-1 vs Corinthians-110
W 4-0 at Sao Paulo+165
W 0-3 vs Bahia-180
T 2-2 at Chapecoense-280
Gremio
Money Line
W 3-1 at Chapecoense-190
W 0-3 vs Bragantino-185
L 1-3 at America (MG)+280
W 0-1 vs Fluminense+145
L 0-1 at Internacional+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+134+270+270-+248+270+270+273.0
Gremio+196+100-127-+104-127+104+116.0
Draw+240+260+255-+254+255+260+272.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+275----+290+290+273.0
Gremio-105-----105-105+116.0
Draw+265----+255+255+272.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 50.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Flamengo: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 50.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 40.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-108o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102
Underu2½-120u2½-112u2½-115u2½-110-u2½-115u2½-110u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-102
Under-----u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.7%
 
No46.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.75%
Exactly 223.45%
Exactly 415.94%
Exactly 64.33%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.42%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.10%
Exactly 71.77%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 015.92%
Exactly 129.26%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 316.46%
Exactly 47.56%
Exactly 52.78%
Exactly 60.85%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 036.12%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.65%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 310.27%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 042.71%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.45%
Exactly 34.38%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 062.40%
Exactly 129.43%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals32.43%
Wins by 3+ goals15.06%
Wins by 4+ goals5.75%
Wins by 5+ goals1.83%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals7.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Gremio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.06%
Wins by 2 goals17.37%
Wins by 3 goals9.30%
Wins by 4 goals3.93%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal13.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.25%5.75%
1.577.82%22.18%
2.554.37%45.63%
3.532.05%67.95%
4.516.11%83.89%
5.57.01%92.99%
6.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.08%15.92%
1.554.82%45.18%
2.527.94%72.06%
3.511.48%88.52%
4.53.92%96.08%
5.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.88%36.12%
1.527.10%72.90%
2.58.37%91.63%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.35%26.65%
1.538.10%61.90%
2.514.80%85.20%
3.54.53%95.47%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Gremio
Score01234
0
5.75%
5.86%
2.98%
1.01%
0.26%
1
10.57%
10.76%
5.48%
1.86%
0.47%
2
9.71%
9.89%
5.03%
1.71%
0.44%
3
5.94%
6.05%
3.08%
1.05%
0.27%
4
2.73%
2.78%
1.42%
0.48%
0.12%
5
1.00%
1.02%
0.52%
0.18%
0.04%
Flamengo
1-010.57%
2-09.71%
2-19.89%
3-05.94%
3-16.05%
3-23.08%
4-02.73%
4-12.78%
4-21.42%
4-30.48%
5-01.00%
5-11.02%
5-20.52%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.75%
1-110.76%
2-25.03%
3-31.05%
4-40.12%
Gremio
0-15.86%
0-22.98%
1-25.48%
0-31.01%
1-31.86%
2-31.71%
0-40.26%
1-40.47%
2-40.44%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Gremio
Score0123
0
26.65%
12.57%
2.96%
0.47%
1
22.67%
10.69%
2.52%
0.40%
2
9.64%
4.55%
1.07%
0.17%
3
2.73%
1.29%
0.30%
0.05%
4
0.58%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
Flamengo
1-022.67%
2-09.64%
2-14.55%
3-02.73%
3-11.29%
3-20.30%
4-00.58%
4-10.27%
Draw
0-026.65%
1-110.69%
2-21.07%
Gremio
0-112.57%
0-22.96%
1-22.52%
0-30.47%
1-30.40%
2-30.17%