Gremio at Chapecoense

Updated

Gremio

45.7%26.9%27.4%
Gremio WinDrawChapecoense Win
1.44Projected Goals 0.86
3Final Score 1

Chapecoense

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Bragantino-185
L 1-3 at America (MG)+280
W 0-1 vs Fluminense+145
L 0-1 at Internacional+260
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro+720
Chapecoense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Santos+950
L 2-0 vs Juventude+245
T 2-2 vs Flamengo+780
T 0-0 at Cuiaba+500
L 0-1 at Corinthians+820

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-124-175-189-178-181-189-175-162.7
Chapecoense+282+500+530+524+499+530+530+536.3
Draw+229+310+275+324+301+275+324+347.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-165-----190-190-162.7
Chapecoense+430----+525+525+536.3
Draw+315----+330+330+347.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-105o2½+100o2½+101-o2½+100o2½+101o2½+107
Underu2½-118u2½-115u2½-120u2½-116-u2½-120u2½-115u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.00%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 411.71%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 123.03%
Exactly 320.35%
Exactly 55.39%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 023.71%
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 042.17%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.72%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.44%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 051.36%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 211.40%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 067.05%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 25.36%
Exactly 30.71%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals25.11%
Wins by 3+ goals9.74%
Wins by 4+ goals3.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals7.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Chapecoense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal25.39%
Wins by 2 goals15.37%
Wins by 3 goals6.72%
Wins by 4 goals2.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal15.23%
Wins by 2 goals5.53%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.00%10.00%
1.566.97%33.03%
2.540.46%59.54%
3.520.12%79.88%
4.58.40%91.60%
5.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.29%23.71%
1.542.16%57.84%
2.517.60%82.40%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.83%42.17%
1.521.41%78.59%
2.55.70%94.30%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.56%34.44%
1.528.85%71.15%
2.59.28%90.72%
3.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Chapecoense
Score01234
0
10.00%
8.63%
3.73%
1.07%
0.23%
1
14.39%
12.43%
5.36%
1.54%
0.33%
2
10.36%
8.94%
3.86%
1.11%
0.24%
3
4.97%
4.29%
1.85%
0.53%
0.12%
4
1.79%
1.54%
0.67%
0.19%
0.04%
5
0.51%
0.44%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Gremio
1-014.39%
2-010.36%
2-18.94%
3-04.97%
3-14.29%
3-21.85%
4-01.79%
4-11.54%
4-20.67%
4-30.19%
5-00.51%
5-10.44%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-010.00%
1-112.43%
2-23.86%
3-30.53%
Chapecoense
0-18.63%
0-23.73%
1-25.36%
0-31.07%
1-31.54%
2-31.11%
0-40.23%
1-40.33%
2-40.24%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Chapecoense
Score0123
0
34.44%
13.77%
2.75%
0.37%
1
22.95%
9.17%
1.83%
0.24%
2
7.64%
3.06%
0.61%
0.08%
3
1.70%
0.68%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.28%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-022.95%
2-07.64%
2-13.06%
3-01.70%
3-10.68%
3-20.14%
4-00.28%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-034.44%
1-19.17%
2-20.61%
Chapecoense
0-113.77%
0-22.75%
1-21.83%
0-30.37%
1-30.24%
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