Gremio at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Gremio

20.9%18.5%60.6%
Gremio WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.17
1Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 0-2 at Atletico Goianiense+180
W 2-3 vs Juventude-140
L 0-1 at Fortaleza+335
L 0-1 at Santos+185
T 2-2 vs Cuiaba-190
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
L 0-1 at Flamengo+235
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba-350
L 1-2 at Atletico Goianiense-125
W 1-3 vs Santos-230
W 1-3 vs Ceara-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+575+650+550+708+692+550+708+739.1
Atletico Mineiro-195-220-222-237-241-222-220-209.8
Draw+320+350+330+373+340+330+373+391.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+660----+720+720+739.1
Atletico Mineiro-245-----250-250-209.8
Draw+375----+360+360+391.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 30.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 30.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-102o2½-107o2½-100-o2½-107o2½-102o2½+107
Underu2½-118u2½-118u2½-113u2½-114-u2½-113u2½-113u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.44%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 416.28%
Exactly 64.60%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.84%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.48%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 047.44%
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 213.19%
Exactly 33.28%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 011.47%
Exactly 124.84%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 319.41%
Exactly 410.51%
Exactly 54.55%
Exactly 61.64%
Exactly 70.51%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.98%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 310.60%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 070.80%
Exactly 124.45%
Exactly 24.22%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 036.69%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.44%
Exactly 36.16%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals3.09%
Wins by 3+ goals0.60%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals45.72%
Wins by 3+ goals24.55%
Wins by 4+ goals10.97%
Wins by 5+ goals4.14%
Wins by 6+ goals1.33%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal8.33%
Wins by 2 goals2.49%
Wins by 3 goals0.53%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals21.17%
Wins by 3 goals13.58%
Wins by 4 goals6.83%
Wins by 5 goals2.81%
Wins by 6 goals0.98%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.56%5.44%
1.578.72%21.28%
2.555.66%44.34%
3.533.29%66.71%
4.517.00%83.00%
5.57.52%92.48%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.56%47.44%
1.517.18%82.82%
2.53.99%96.01%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.53%11.47%
1.563.69%36.31%
2.536.80%63.20%
3.517.39%82.61%
4.56.88%93.12%
5.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.02%25.98%
1.539.00%61.00%
2.515.40%84.60%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
5.44%
11.78%
12.76%
9.21%
4.98%
2.16%
1
4.06%
8.79%
9.51%
6.87%
3.72%
1.61%
2
1.51%
3.28%
3.55%
2.56%
1.39%
0.60%
3
0.38%
0.81%
0.88%
0.64%
0.34%
0.15%
Gremio
1-04.06%
2-01.51%
2-13.28%
3-00.38%
3-10.81%
3-20.88%
Draw
0-05.44%
1-18.79%
2-23.55%
3-30.64%
Atletico Mineiro
0-111.78%
0-212.76%
1-29.51%
0-39.21%
1-36.87%
2-32.56%
0-44.98%
1-43.72%
2-41.39%
3-40.34%
0-52.16%
1-51.61%
2-50.60%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
25.98%
26.05%
13.06%
4.36%
1.09%
0.22%
1
8.97%
8.99%
4.51%
1.51%
0.38%
0.08%
2
1.55%
1.55%
0.78%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-08.97%
2-01.55%
2-11.55%
3-00.18%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-025.98%
1-18.99%
2-20.78%
Atletico Mineiro
0-126.05%
0-213.06%
1-24.51%
0-34.36%
1-31.51%
2-30.26%
0-41.09%
1-40.38%
0-50.22%