Athletico Paranaense at Corinthians

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

27.7%29.6%42.6%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawCorinthians Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.23
0Final Score 1

Corinthians

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
T 0-0 at Sao Paulo+400
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro+600
L 1-2 at Internacional+260
W 1-2 vs Ceara-125
W 2-0 at Bragantino+270
Corinthians
Money Line
L 1-2 at Ceara+205
W 0-2 vs Santos-135
L 0-1 at Flamengo+350
W 2-3 vs Cuiaba-165
L 0-3 at Atletico Mineiro+650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+400+330----+330+369.0
Corinthians-125+105----+105+107.0
Draw+240+195----+195+229.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+330----+300+300+369.0
Corinthians-110----+110+110+107.0
Draw+240----+210+210+229.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Corinthians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Corinthians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Corinthians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Corinthians ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Corinthians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Corinthians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Corinthians: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Corinthians ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-102----o2-102o2+110
Underu2+102u2-118----u2-118u2-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+110
Under-----u2-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.9%
 
No61.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.19%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.25%
Exactly 61.27%
 
Exactly 126.72%
Exactly 318.27%
Exactly 53.75%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 045.01%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.34%
Exactly 33.82%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Corinthians
Exactly 029.31%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 222.07%
Exactly 39.03%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.15%
Exactly 217.21%
Exactly 41.26%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 35.38%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 069.10%
Exactly 125.54%
Exactly 24.72%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Corinthians
Exactly 056.66%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 29.14%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals7.48%
Wins by 3+ goals1.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Corinthians
Wins by 2+ goals20.69%
Wins by 3+ goals7.09%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Corinthians
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal16.61%
Wins by 2 goals5.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Corinthians
Wins by 1 goal25.53%
Wins by 2 goals13.60%
Wins by 3 goals5.16%
Wins by 4 goals1.51%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.81%13.19%
1.560.08%39.92%
2.533.02%66.98%
3.514.75%85.25%
4.55.50%94.50%
5.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.99%45.01%
1.519.06%80.94%
2.54.72%95.28%

Total Goals Corinthians Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.69%29.31%
1.534.72%65.28%
2.512.64%87.36%
3.53.62%96.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.85%39.15%
1.524.14%75.86%
2.56.92%93.08%
3.51.54%98.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Score012345
0
13.19%
16.19%
9.93%
4.06%
1.25%
0.31%
1
10.53%
12.92%
7.93%
3.24%
1.00%
0.24%
2
4.20%
5.16%
3.17%
1.29%
0.40%
0.10%
3
1.12%
1.37%
0.84%
0.34%
0.11%
0.03%
4
0.22%
0.27%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-010.53%
2-04.20%
2-15.16%
3-01.12%
3-11.37%
3-20.84%
4-00.22%
4-10.27%
4-20.17%
Draw
0-013.19%
1-112.92%
2-23.17%
3-30.34%
Corinthians
0-116.19%
0-29.93%
1-27.93%
0-34.06%
1-33.24%
2-31.29%
0-41.25%
1-41.00%
2-40.40%
3-40.11%
0-50.31%
1-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Score01234
0
39.15%
22.24%
6.32%
1.20%
0.17%
1
14.47%
8.22%
2.34%
0.44%
0.06%
2
2.67%
1.52%
0.43%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.33%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-014.47%
2-02.67%
2-11.52%
3-00.33%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-039.15%
1-18.22%
2-20.43%
Corinthians
0-122.24%
0-26.32%
1-22.34%
0-31.20%
1-30.44%
0-40.17%
Sport Recife at Sao Paulo
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