Sao Paulo at America (MG)

Updated

Sao Paulo

41.4%29.1%29.6%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
1.24Projected Goals 0.89
0Final Score 2

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Juventude-145
L 0-3 at Gremio+230
W 0-2 vs Sport Recife-185
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense-115
W 2-0 at Palmeiras+255
America (MG)
Money Line
T 0-0 at Ceara+280
W 0-3 vs Chapecoense-360
T 1-1 at Bragantino+320
L 0-2 at Fluminense+285
T 0-0 vs Atletico Goianiense-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+330+320+230+324-+230+324+347.1
America (MG)-120-105+100-103-+100+100+100.2
Draw+255+215+215+243-+215+243+261.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+255----+305+305+347.1
America (MG)+115----+100+100+100.2
Draw+225----+230+230+261.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 50.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 50.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2¼-102o2¼-106o2½+127-o2¼-106o2¼-102o2¼+104
Underu2½-102u2¼-118u2¼-114u2½-142-u2¼-114u2½-142u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.86%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.21%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.29%
Exactly 319.15%
Exactly 54.35%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 028.86%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 39.23%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 041.11%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.24%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.27%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 056.25%
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 29.31%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 066.26%
Exactly 127.27%
Exactly 25.61%
Exactly 30.77%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals19.87%
Wins by 3+ goals6.84%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals8.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal24.53%
Wins by 2 goals13.04%
Wins by 3 goals4.97%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal17.55%
Wins by 2 goals6.67%
Wins by 3 goals1.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.14%11.86%
1.562.85%37.15%
2.535.89%64.11%
3.516.74%83.26%
4.56.53%93.47%
5.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.14%28.86%
1.535.28%64.72%
2.512.99%87.01%
3.53.76%96.24%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.89%41.11%
1.522.35%77.65%
2.56.11%93.89%
3.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.73%37.27%
1.525.94%74.06%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
Score01234
0
11.86%
10.55%
4.69%
1.39%
0.31%
1
14.74%
13.11%
5.83%
1.73%
0.38%
2
9.16%
8.14%
3.62%
1.07%
0.24%
3
3.79%
3.37%
1.50%
0.44%
0.10%
4
1.18%
1.05%
0.47%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.29%
0.26%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-014.74%
2-09.16%
2-18.14%
3-03.79%
3-13.37%
3-21.50%
4-01.18%
4-11.05%
4-20.47%
4-30.14%
5-00.29%
5-10.26%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-011.86%
1-113.11%
2-23.62%
3-30.44%
America (MG)
0-110.55%
0-24.69%
1-25.83%
0-31.39%
1-31.73%
2-31.07%
0-40.31%
1-40.38%
2-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
Score0123
0
37.27%
15.34%
3.16%
0.43%
1
21.44%
8.83%
1.82%
0.25%
2
6.17%
2.54%
0.52%
0.07%
3
1.18%
0.49%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.17%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-021.44%
2-06.17%
2-12.54%
3-01.18%
3-10.49%
3-20.10%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-037.27%
1-18.83%
2-20.52%
America (MG)
0-115.34%
0-23.16%
1-21.82%
0-30.43%
1-30.25%