Sao Paulo at Gremio

Updated

Sao Paulo

35.1%29.7%35.2%
Sao Paulo WinDrawGremio Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.06
0Final Score 3

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sport Recife-185
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense-115
W 2-0 at Palmeiras+255
L 4-0 vs Flamengo+170
T 1-1 at Fortaleza+190
Gremio
Money Line
L 1-3 at Bahia+165
T 2-2 vs Flamengo-105
W 3-1 at Chapecoense-190
W 0-3 vs Bragantino-185
L 1-3 at America (MG)+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+205+230+230--+230+230+279.1
Gremio+140+140+126--+126+140+127.2
Draw+215+210+200--+200+210+237.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+210----+230+230+279.1
Gremio+140----+135+135+127.2
Draw+220----+210+210+237.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Gremio: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Gremio: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2-124o2¼+101o2-133-o2¼+101o2-124o2¼+110
Underu2¼-125u2+110u2¼-121u2+118-u2¼-121u2¼-121u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.9%
 
No57.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.91%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 410.17%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.34%
Exactly 319.12%
Exactly 54.33%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 034.53%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 034.49%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.33%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 061.12%
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 27.41%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 061.09%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals13.71%
Wins by 3+ goals4.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals13.75%
Wins by 3+ goals4.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Gremio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal21.32%
Wins by 2 goals9.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal21.34%
Wins by 2 goals9.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.09%11.91%
1.562.75%37.25%
2.535.79%64.21%
3.516.67%83.33%
4.56.49%93.51%
5.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.47%34.53%
1.528.76%71.24%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.51%34.49%
1.528.80%71.20%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.67%37.33%
1.525.88%74.12%
2.57.76%92.24%
3.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Gremio
Score012345
0
11.91%
12.68%
6.75%
2.39%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.66%
13.48%
7.18%
2.55%
0.68%
0.14%
2
6.73%
7.17%
3.82%
1.35%
0.36%
0.08%
3
2.39%
2.54%
1.35%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.63%
0.68%
0.36%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-012.66%
2-06.73%
2-17.17%
3-02.39%
3-12.54%
3-21.35%
4-00.63%
4-10.68%
4-20.36%
4-30.13%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.91%
1-113.48%
2-23.82%
3-30.48%
Gremio
0-112.68%
0-26.75%
1-27.18%
0-32.39%
1-32.55%
2-31.35%
0-40.64%
1-40.68%
2-40.36%
3-40.13%
0-50.14%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Gremio
Score0123
0
37.33%
18.40%
4.53%
0.75%
1
18.38%
9.06%
2.23%
0.37%
2
4.53%
2.23%
0.55%
0.09%
3
0.74%
0.37%
0.09%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-018.38%
2-04.53%
2-12.23%
3-00.74%
3-10.37%
Draw
0-037.33%
1-19.06%
2-20.55%
Gremio
0-118.40%
0-24.53%
1-22.23%
0-30.75%
1-30.37%
Atletico Mineiro at Bahia
Cuiaba at Athletico Paranaense