Flamengo at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Flamengo

50.4%25.6%24.0%
Flamengo WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
1.53Projected Goals 0.98
0Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Palmeiras
W 1-3 vs Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Atletico Goianiense
L 0-2 at Atletico Goianiense+350
L 1-0 vs Santos-200
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 0-4 at Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Sport Recife+420
T 0-0 vs Palmeiras-210
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+125+115+111-107+106+111+115+115.4
Athletico Paranaense+225+250+225+308+250+225+308+285.8
Draw+225+220+235+260+246+235+260+261.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-----+115.4
Athletico Paranaense-----+285.8
Draw-----+261.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 10.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+102o2½+104o2½+102-o2½+104o2½+104o2½+109
Underu2¼-102u2½-122u2½-124u2½-122-u2½-124u2½-122u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.11%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 413.46%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.37%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 56.76%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 021.50%
Exactly 133.05%
Exactly 225.40%
Exactly 313.02%
Exactly 45.00%
Exactly 51.54%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 037.71%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.93%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.24%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 049.08%
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 212.43%
Exactly 32.95%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 063.66%
Exactly 128.75%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals25.80%
Wins by 3+ goals10.44%
Wins by 4+ goals3.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.87%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals8.43%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.45%
Wins by 2 goals15.36%
Wins by 3 goals7.05%
Wins by 4 goals2.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.72%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal15.51%
Wins by 2 goals6.18%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.89%8.11%
1.571.53%28.47%
2.545.94%54.06%
3.524.51%75.49%
4.511.05%88.95%
5.54.29%95.71%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.50%21.50%
1.545.46%54.54%
2.520.06%79.94%
3.57.04%92.96%
4.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.29%37.71%
1.525.52%74.48%
2.57.58%92.42%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.76%31.24%
1.532.41%67.59%
2.511.27%88.73%
3.53.07%96.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
8.11%
7.91%
3.86%
1.25%
0.31%
1
12.46%
12.15%
5.93%
1.93%
0.47%
2
9.58%
9.34%
4.56%
1.48%
0.36%
3
4.91%
4.79%
2.33%
0.76%
0.19%
4
1.89%
1.84%
0.90%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.58%
0.57%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Flamengo
1-012.46%
2-09.58%
2-19.34%
3-04.91%
3-14.79%
3-22.33%
4-01.89%
4-11.84%
4-20.90%
4-30.29%
5-00.58%
5-10.57%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-08.11%
1-112.15%
2-24.56%
3-30.76%
Athletico Paranaense
0-17.91%
0-23.86%
1-25.93%
0-31.25%
1-31.93%
2-31.48%
0-40.31%
1-40.47%
2-40.36%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
Score0123
0
31.24%
14.11%
3.19%
0.48%
1
22.24%
10.04%
2.27%
0.34%
2
7.91%
3.57%
0.81%
0.12%
3
1.88%
0.85%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.33%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Flamengo
1-022.24%
2-07.91%
2-13.57%
3-01.88%
3-10.85%
3-20.19%
4-00.33%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-031.24%
1-110.04%
2-20.81%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.11%
0-23.19%
1-22.27%
0-30.48%
1-30.34%
2-30.12%