Sao Paulo at Flamengo

Updated

Sao Paulo

14.5%19.8%65.7%
WinDrawFlamengo Win
0.87Projected Goals 2.10
1Final Score 3

Flamengo

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 0-2 at America (MG)+305
W 1-3 vs Juventude-145
L 0-3 at Gremio+230
W 0-2 vs Sport Recife-185
Flamengo
Money Line
T 1-1 at Atletico Goianiense
L 0-2 at Atletico Goianiense+350
L 1-0 vs Santos-200
T 1-1 at Sport Recife-140
W 1-2 vs Ceara-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+500+410+345+419-+345+419+407.5
Flamengo-185-140-132-133--132-132-119.8
Draw+300+275+250+268-+250+275+287.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+407.5
Flamengo------119.8
Draw-----+287.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Flamengo: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Flamengo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-104o2½+100o2½-101-o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½-118u2½-110u2½-120u2½-119-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.11%
Exactly 222.60%
Exactly 416.66%
Exactly 64.91%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.20%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.91%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 041.78%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.91%
Exactly 34.63%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 012.23%
Exactly 125.70%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.91%
Exactly 49.93%
Exactly 54.17%
Exactly 61.46%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.23%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.75%
Exactly 310.98%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 066.76%
Exactly 126.98%
Exactly 25.45%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 037.80%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.89%
Exactly 35.80%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals4.51%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals41.56%
Wins by 3+ goals21.60%
Wins by 4+ goals9.34%
Wins by 5+ goals3.41%
Wins by 6+ goals1.06%
Wins by 7+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Flamengo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal10.01%
Wins by 2 goals3.44%
Wins by 3 goals0.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals19.96%
Wins by 3 goals12.26%
Wins by 4 goals5.93%
Wins by 5 goals2.35%
Wins by 6 goals0.79%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.89%5.11%
1.579.69%20.31%
2.557.10%42.90%
3.534.69%65.31%
4.518.04%81.96%
5.58.13%91.87%
6.53.22%96.78%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.22%41.78%
1.521.76%78.24%
2.55.85%94.15%
3.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.77%12.23%
1.562.07%37.93%
2.535.07%64.93%
3.516.16%83.84%
4.56.22%93.78%
5.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.77%25.23%
1.540.02%59.98%
2.516.10%83.90%
3.55.12%94.88%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Score012345
0
5.11%
10.74%
11.28%
7.90%
4.15%
1.74%
1
4.46%
9.37%
9.85%
6.90%
3.62%
1.52%
2
1.95%
4.09%
4.30%
3.01%
1.58%
0.66%
3
0.57%
1.19%
1.25%
0.88%
0.46%
0.19%
4
0.12%
0.26%
0.27%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
Sao Paulo
1-04.46%
2-01.95%
2-14.09%
3-00.57%
3-11.19%
3-21.25%
4-00.12%
4-10.26%
4-20.27%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-05.11%
1-19.37%
2-24.30%
3-30.88%
4-40.10%
Flamengo
0-110.74%
0-211.28%
1-29.85%
0-37.90%
1-36.90%
2-33.01%
0-44.15%
1-43.62%
2-41.58%
3-40.46%
0-51.74%
1-51.52%
2-50.66%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Score012345
0
25.23%
24.55%
11.94%
3.87%
0.94%
0.18%
1
10.20%
9.92%
4.83%
1.56%
0.38%
0.07%
2
2.06%
2.00%
0.98%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.28%
0.27%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-010.20%
2-02.06%
2-12.00%
3-00.28%
3-10.27%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.23%
1-19.92%
2-20.98%
Flamengo
0-124.55%
0-211.94%
1-24.83%
0-33.87%
1-31.56%
2-30.32%
0-40.94%
1-40.38%
0-50.18%