Sao Paulo at Bragantino

Updated

Sao Paulo

27.5%28.3%44.2%
Sao Paulo WinDrawBragantino Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.29
1Final Score 1

Bragantino

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-3 at Flamengo
W 0-4 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 0-2 at America (MG)+305
W 1-3 vs Juventude-145
L 0-3 at Gremio+230
Bragantino
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Atletico Goianiense
T 2-2 at Juventude
W 0-1 vs Internacional-110
L 3-4 at Atletico Mineiro+290
L 0-1 at Juventude+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+175+130----+130+142.6
Bragantino+160+235----+235+256.6
Draw+220+200----+200+225.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+142.6
Bragantino-----+256.6
Draw-----+225.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bragantino: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bragantino: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bragantino: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Bragantino ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2¼-102-o2½+119--o2¼-102o2½+128
Underu2¼-102u2¼-118-u2½-139--u2½-139u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+128
Under-----u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.67%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 411.15%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.87%
Exactly 319.93%
Exactly 54.99%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 038.62%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.48%
Exactly 35.54%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Bragantino
Exactly 027.62%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 222.86%
Exactly 39.80%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.48%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 41.70%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 064.37%
Exactly 128.36%
Exactly 26.25%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bragantino
Exactly 055.12%
Exactly 132.83%
Exactly 29.78%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals9.70%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Bragantino
Wins by 2+ goals20.12%
Wins by 3+ goals7.09%
Wins by 4+ goals1.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Bragantino
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal17.76%
Wins by 2 goals7.12%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Bragantino
Wins by 1 goal24.02%
Wins by 2 goals13.03%
Wins by 3 goals5.10%
Wins by 4 goals1.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.33%10.67%
1.565.46%34.54%
2.538.75%61.25%
3.518.82%81.18%
4.57.67%92.33%
5.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.38%38.62%
1.524.64%75.36%
2.57.16%92.84%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Bragantino Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.38%27.62%
1.536.84%63.16%
2.513.98%86.02%
3.54.18%95.82%
4.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.52%35.48%
1.527.76%72.24%
2.58.71%91.29%
3.52.13%97.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Bragantino
Score012345
0
10.67%
13.72%
8.83%
3.79%
1.22%
0.31%
1
10.15%
13.06%
8.40%
3.60%
1.16%
0.30%
2
4.83%
6.21%
4.00%
1.71%
0.55%
0.14%
3
1.53%
1.97%
1.27%
0.54%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.36%
0.47%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-010.15%
2-04.83%
2-16.21%
3-01.53%
3-11.97%
3-21.27%
4-00.36%
4-10.47%
4-20.30%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.67%
1-113.06%
2-24.00%
3-30.54%
Bragantino
0-113.72%
0-28.83%
1-28.40%
0-33.79%
1-33.60%
2-31.71%
0-41.22%
1-41.16%
2-40.55%
3-40.17%
0-50.31%
1-50.30%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Bragantino
Score01234
0
35.48%
21.14%
6.30%
1.25%
0.19%
1
15.63%
9.31%
2.77%
0.55%
0.08%
2
3.44%
2.05%
0.61%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.51%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-015.63%
2-03.44%
2-12.05%
3-00.51%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-035.48%
1-19.31%
2-20.61%
Bragantino
0-121.14%
0-26.30%
1-22.77%
0-31.25%
1-30.55%
2-30.12%
0-40.19%
Palmeiras at Flamengo
Flamengo at Athletico Paranaense