Atletico Mineiro at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Atletico Mineiro

35.8%30.1%34.1%
Atletico Mineiro WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Internacional
L 3-4 at Gremio+490
W 3-4 vs Bragantino+100
W 3-2 at Bahia+105
W 1-2 vs Fluminense-240
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 0-4 at Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Sport Recife+420
T 0-0 vs Palmeiras-210
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba-135
L 0-1 at Corinthians+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+125+120+113+122-+113+122+125.7
Athletico Paranaense+225+270+250+267-+250+270+291.1
Draw+225+200+210+222-+210+222+231.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro-----+125.7
Athletico Paranaense-----+291.1
Draw-----+231.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-122o2-120o2-122-o2-120o2-120o2-109
Underu2¼-102u2+102u2+100u2+102-u2+100u2+102u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.51%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.73%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 126.01%
Exactly 318.72%
Exactly 54.04%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 035.95%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.81%
Exactly 36.42%
Exactly 41.64%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.20%
Exactly 217.69%
Exactly 41.37%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 061.34%
Exactly 129.98%
Exactly 27.32%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 062.27%
Exactly 129.50%
Exactly 26.99%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals13.95%
Wins by 3+ goals4.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals12.96%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro
Athletico Paranaense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal21.74%
Wins by 2 goals9.84%
Wins by 3 goals3.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal21.07%
Wins by 2 goals9.25%
Wins by 3 goals2.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.49%12.51%
1.561.48%38.52%
2.534.45%65.55%
3.515.73%84.27%
4.56.00%94.00%
5.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.20%34.80%
1.528.46%71.54%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.05%35.95%
1.527.27%72.73%
2.58.46%91.54%
3.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.80%38.20%
1.525.04%74.96%
2.57.35%92.65%
3.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
12.51%
12.80%
6.55%
2.23%
0.57%
0.12%
1
13.21%
13.51%
6.91%
2.36%
0.60%
0.12%
2
6.97%
7.13%
3.65%
1.24%
0.32%
0.07%
3
2.45%
2.51%
1.28%
0.44%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.65%
0.66%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Mineiro
1-013.21%
2-06.97%
2-17.13%
3-02.45%
3-12.51%
3-21.28%
4-00.65%
4-10.66%
4-20.34%
4-30.12%
5-00.14%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-012.51%
1-113.51%
2-23.65%
3-30.44%
Athletico Paranaense
0-112.80%
0-26.55%
1-26.91%
0-32.23%
1-32.36%
2-31.24%
0-40.57%
1-40.60%
2-40.32%
3-40.11%
0-50.12%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro
Athletico Paranaense
Score0123
0
38.20%
18.09%
4.29%
0.68%
1
18.67%
8.84%
2.09%
0.33%
2
4.56%
2.16%
0.51%
0.08%
3
0.74%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
Atletico Mineiro
1-018.67%
2-04.56%
2-12.16%
3-00.74%
3-10.35%
Draw
0-038.20%
1-18.84%
2-20.51%
Athletico Paranaense
0-118.09%
0-24.29%
1-22.09%
0-30.68%
1-30.33%