Atletico Mineiro at Athletico Paranaense

Updated 940 days ago

09:00 PM • Apr 17, 2022

Atletico Mineiro

35.8%30.1%34.1%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win

1.06Projected Goals 1.02

1Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 0-2	4/10 vs Internacional
L 3-4	12/10 at Gremio	+490
W 3-4	12/05 vs Bragantino	+100
W 3-2	12/02 at Bahia	+105
W 1-2	11/28 vs Fluminense	-240

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 0-4	4/10 at Sao Paulo
T 1-1	12/10 at Sport Recife	+420
T 0-0	12/06 vs Palmeiras	-210
W 0-1	12/03 vs Cuiaba	-135
L 0-1	11/28 at Corinthians	+300

Money Line Analysis

:3.0%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+125	+120	+113	+122	-	+113	+122	+125.7
Athletico Paranaense	+225	+270	+250	+267	-	+250	+270	+291.1
Draw	+225	+200	+210	+222	-	+210	+222	+231.8

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+125.7
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+291.1
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+231.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.9%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-118	o2-122	o2-120	o2-122	-	o2-120	o2-120	o2-109
Under	u2¼-102	u2+102	u2+100	u2+102	-	u2+100	u2+102	u2+109

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-109
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.8%


No	58.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.51%
Exactly 2	27.03%
Exactly 4	9.73%
Exactly 6	1.40%
Exactly 8	0.11%


Exactly 1	26.01%
Exactly 3	18.72%
Exactly 5	4.04%
Exactly 7	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	34.80%
Exactly 1	36.73%
Exactly 2	19.38%
Exactly 3	6.82%
Exactly 4	1.80%
Exactly 5	0.38%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	35.95%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	18.81%
Exactly 3	6.42%
Exactly 4	1.64%
Exactly 5	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	38.20%
Exactly 2	17.69%
Exactly 4	1.37%


Exactly 1	36.76%
Exactly 3	5.67%
Exactly 5	0.26%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	61.34%
Exactly 1	29.98%
Exactly 2	7.32%
Exactly 3	1.19%
Exactly 4	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	62.27%
Exactly 1	29.50%
Exactly 2	6.99%
Exactly 3	1.10%
Exactly 4	0.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	13.95%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.11%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.14%

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	12.96%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	21.74%
Wins by 2 goals	9.84%
Wins by 3 goals	3.18%
Wins by 4 goals	0.79%
Wins by 5 goals	0.14%

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	21.07%
Wins by 2 goals	9.25%
Wins by 3 goals	2.90%
Wins by 4 goals	0.69%
Wins by 5 goals	0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.49%	12.51%
1.5	61.48%	38.52%
2.5	34.45%	65.55%
3.5	15.73%	84.27%
4.5	6.00%	94.00%
5.5	1.96%	98.04%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.20%	34.80%
1.5	28.46%	71.54%
2.5	9.08%	90.92%
3.5	2.26%	97.74%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.05%	35.95%
1.5	27.27%	72.73%
2.5	8.46%	91.54%
3.5	2.04%	97.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.80%	38.20%
1.5	25.04%	74.96%
2.5	7.35%	92.65%
3.5	1.68%	98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.51%	12.80%	6.55%	2.23%	0.57%	0.12%
1	13.21%	13.51%	6.91%	2.36%	0.60%	0.12%
2	6.97%	7.13%	3.65%	1.24%	0.32%	0.07%
3	2.45%	2.51%	1.28%	0.44%	0.11%	0.02%
4	0.65%	0.66%	0.34%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%
5	0.14%	0.14%	0.07%	0.02%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	13.21%
2-0	6.97%
2-1	7.13%
3-0	2.45%
3-1	2.51%
3-2	1.28%
4-0	0.65%
4-1	0.66%
4-2	0.34%
4-3	0.12%
5-0	0.14%
5-1	0.14%

Draw
0-0	12.51%
1-1	13.51%
2-2	3.65%
3-3	0.44%

Athletico Paranaense
0-1	12.80%
0-2	6.55%
1-2	6.91%
0-3	2.23%
1-3	2.36%
2-3	1.24%
0-4	0.57%
1-4	0.60%
2-4	0.32%
3-4	0.11%
0-5	0.12%
1-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense

Score	0	1	2	3
0	38.20%	18.09%	4.29%	0.68%
1	18.67%	8.84%	2.09%	0.33%
2	4.56%	2.16%	0.51%	0.08%
3	0.74%	0.35%	0.08%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	18.67%
2-0	4.56%
2-1	2.16%
3-0	0.74%
3-1	0.35%

Draw
0-0	38.20%
1-1	8.84%
2-2	0.51%

Athletico Paranaense
0-1	18.09%
0-2	4.29%
1-2	2.09%
0-3	0.68%
1-3	0.33%

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