Ceara at Fortaleza

Updated

Ceara

20.6%26.2%53.2%
Ceara WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.50
1Final Score 0

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Ceara
Money Line
T 2-2 at Sao Paulo
T 0-0 at Santos
T 2-2 vs Flamengo
L 0-1 at Athletico Paranaense
L 1-0 vs Bragantino
Fortaleza
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Juventude
L 1-0 vs Fluminense
L 1-3 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-1 at Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+190+205+220-+215+220+220+237.1
Fortaleza+155+160+150-+150+150+160+162.7
Draw+205+200+195-+191+195+200+209.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara-----+237.1
Fortaleza-----+162.7
Draw-----+209.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2¼+125o2-105--o2-105o2-105o2+104
Underu2¼-110u2¼-150u2-115--u2-115u2¼-150u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.85%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 411.84%
Exactly 62.12%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.83%
Exactly 320.44%
Exactly 55.49%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 044.01%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 214.82%
Exactly 34.05%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 022.38%
Exactly 133.50%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 312.51%
Exactly 44.68%
Exactly 51.40%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.19%
Exactly 219.69%
Exactly 41.89%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.04%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 068.39%
Exactly 125.99%
Exactly 24.94%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 050.00%
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 212.01%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals6.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals27.25%
Wins by 3+ goals10.94%
Wins by 4+ goals3.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Ceara
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal14.18%
Wins by 2 goals4.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal25.86%
Wins by 2 goals16.31%
Wins by 3 goals7.42%
Wins by 4 goals2.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.15%9.85%
1.567.32%32.68%
2.540.87%59.13%
3.520.43%79.57%
4.58.58%91.42%
5.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.99%44.01%
1.519.87%80.13%
2.55.04%94.96%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.62%22.38%
1.544.12%55.88%
2.519.04%80.96%
3.56.53%93.47%
4.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.81%34.19%
1.529.11%70.89%
2.59.42%90.58%
3.52.38%97.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ceara
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
9.85%
14.75%
11.04%
5.51%
2.06%
0.62%
1
8.08%
12.10%
9.06%
4.52%
1.69%
0.51%
2
3.32%
4.97%
3.72%
1.85%
0.69%
0.21%
3
0.91%
1.36%
1.02%
0.51%
0.19%
0.06%
4
0.19%
0.28%
0.21%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Ceara
1-08.08%
2-03.32%
2-14.97%
3-00.91%
3-11.36%
3-21.02%
4-00.19%
4-10.28%
4-20.21%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-09.85%
1-112.10%
2-23.72%
3-30.51%
Fortaleza
0-114.75%
0-211.04%
1-29.06%
0-35.51%
1-34.52%
2-31.85%
0-42.06%
1-41.69%
2-40.69%
3-40.19%
0-50.62%
1-50.51%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Ceara
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
34.19%
23.70%
8.21%
1.90%
0.33%
1
12.99%
9.01%
3.12%
0.72%
0.12%
2
2.47%
1.71%
0.59%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.31%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Ceara
1-012.99%
2-02.47%
2-11.71%
3-00.31%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-034.19%
1-19.01%
2-20.59%
Fortaleza
0-123.70%
0-28.21%
1-23.12%
0-31.90%
1-30.72%
2-30.14%
0-40.33%
1-40.12%