Ceara at Sao Paulo

Updated

Ceara

15.3%23.7%61.0%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.71Projected Goals 1.69
2Final Score 2

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Ceara
Money Line
T 0-0 at Santos
T 2-2 vs Flamengo
L 0-1 at Athletico Paranaense
L 1-0 vs Bragantino
L 3-1 vs Botafogo RJ
Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 1-1 at Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1 at Fortaleza
W 1-2 vs Santos
T 1-1 at Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+460+465+355--+355+465+448.1
Sao Paulo-155-140-135---135-135-123.6
Draw+265+250+250--+250+250+277.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara-----+448.1
Sao Paulo------123.6
Draw-----+277.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ceara: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 30.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2¼+103o2¼-101--o2¼-101o2¼+103o2¼+109
Underu2¼+102u2¼-117u2¼-119--u2¼-119u2¼-117u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.4%
 
No58.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.08%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.78%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 049.20%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 212.37%
Exactly 32.93%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 018.45%
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.85%
Exactly 46.27%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.93%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 072.01%
Exactly 123.65%
Exactly 23.88%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 045.72%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 214.00%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals4.13%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals34.35%
Wins by 3+ goals15.36%
Wins by 4+ goals5.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Ceara
Sao Paulo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal11.14%
Wins by 2 goals3.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.57%
Wins by 2 goals18.99%
Wins by 3 goals9.77%
Wins by 4 goals3.90%
Wins by 5 goals1.27%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.92%9.08%
1.569.14%30.86%
2.543.01%56.99%
3.522.12%77.88%
4.59.58%90.42%
5.53.56%96.44%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.80%49.20%
1.515.90%84.10%
2.53.53%96.47%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.55%18.45%
1.550.37%49.63%
2.524.02%75.98%
3.59.17%90.83%
4.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.07%32.93%
1.530.50%69.50%
2.510.18%89.82%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ceara
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.08%
15.34%
12.97%
7.30%
3.09%
1.04%
1
6.44%
10.88%
9.20%
5.18%
2.19%
0.74%
2
2.28%
3.86%
3.26%
1.84%
0.78%
0.26%
3
0.54%
0.91%
0.77%
0.43%
0.18%
0.06%
Ceara
1-06.44%
2-02.28%
2-13.86%
3-00.54%
3-10.91%
3-20.77%
Draw
0-09.08%
1-110.88%
2-23.26%
3-30.43%
Sao Paulo
0-115.34%
0-212.97%
1-29.20%
0-37.30%
1-35.18%
2-31.84%
0-43.09%
1-42.19%
2-40.78%
3-40.18%
0-51.04%
1-50.74%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Ceara
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
32.93%
25.77%
10.08%
2.63%
0.51%
1
10.81%
8.46%
3.31%
0.86%
0.17%
2
1.78%
1.39%
0.54%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.19%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Ceara
1-010.81%
2-01.78%
2-11.39%
3-00.19%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-032.93%
1-18.46%
2-20.54%
Sao Paulo
0-125.77%
0-210.08%
1-23.31%
0-32.63%
1-30.86%
2-30.14%
0-40.51%
1-40.17%
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