Ceara at Sao Paulo

Updated

Ceara

15.3%23.7%61.0%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.71Projected Goals 1.69
2Final Score 2

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Ceara
Money Line
T 0-0 at Santos
T 2-2 vs Flamengo
L 0-1 at Athletico Paranaense
L 1-0 vs Bragantino
L 3-1 vs Botafogo RJ
Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 1-1 at Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1 at Fortaleza
W 1-2 vs Santos
T 1-1 at Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+460+465+355--+355+465+448.1
Sao Paulo-155-140-135---135-135-123.6
Draw+265+250+250--+250+250+277.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara-----+448.1
Sao Paulo------123.6
Draw-----+277.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 30.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2¼+103o2¼-101--o2¼-101o2¼+103o2¼+109
Underu2¼+102u2¼-117u2¼-119--u2¼-119u2¼-117u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.4%
 
No58.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.08%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.78%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 049.20%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 212.37%
Exactly 32.93%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 018.45%
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.85%
Exactly 46.27%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.93%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 072.01%
Exactly 123.65%
Exactly 23.88%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 045.72%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 214.00%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals4.13%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals34.35%
Wins by 3+ goals15.36%
Wins by 4+ goals5.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Ceara
Sao Paulo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal11.14%
Wins by 2 goals3.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.57%
Wins by 2 goals18.99%
Wins by 3 goals9.77%
Wins by 4 goals3.90%
Wins by 5 goals1.27%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.92%9.08%
1.569.14%30.86%
2.543.01%56.99%
3.522.12%77.88%
4.59.58%90.42%
5.53.56%96.44%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.80%49.20%
1.515.90%84.10%
2.53.53%96.47%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.55%18.45%
1.550.37%49.63%
2.524.02%75.98%
3.59.17%90.83%
4.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.07%32.93%
1.530.50%69.50%
2.510.18%89.82%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ceara
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.08%
15.34%
12.97%
7.30%
3.09%
1.04%
1
6.44%
10.88%
9.20%
5.18%
2.19%
0.74%
2
2.28%
3.86%
3.26%
1.84%
0.78%
0.26%
3
0.54%
0.91%
0.77%
0.43%
0.18%
0.06%
Ceara
1-06.44%
2-02.28%
2-13.86%
3-00.54%
3-10.91%
3-20.77%
Draw
0-09.08%
1-110.88%
2-23.26%
3-30.43%
Sao Paulo
0-115.34%
0-212.97%
1-29.20%
0-37.30%
1-35.18%
2-31.84%
0-43.09%
1-42.19%
2-40.78%
3-40.18%
0-51.04%
1-50.74%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Ceara
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
32.93%
25.77%
10.08%
2.63%
0.51%
1
10.81%
8.46%
3.31%
0.86%
0.17%
2
1.78%
1.39%
0.54%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.19%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Ceara
1-010.81%
2-01.78%
2-11.39%
3-00.19%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-032.93%
1-18.46%
2-20.54%
Sao Paulo
0-125.77%
0-210.08%
1-23.31%
0-32.63%
1-30.86%
2-30.14%
0-40.51%
1-40.17%