Sao Paulo at Corinthians

Updated

Sao Paulo

25.0%29.0%46.0%
Sao Paulo WinDrawCorinthians Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.26
1Final Score 1

Corinthians

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1 at Fortaleza
W 1-2 vs Santos
T 1-1 at Bragantino
L 1-3 at Flamengo
Corinthians
Money Line
T 2-2 at Internacional
W 1-0 at Bragantino
W 0-1 vs Fortaleza
L 0-3 at Palmeiras
W 0-3 vs Avaí

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+275+240----+240+250.0
Corinthians+115+145----+145+158.8
Draw+205+195----+195+204.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+250.0
Corinthians-----+158.8
Draw-----+204.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Corinthians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Corinthians: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Corinthians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Corinthians ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2-109----o2-109o2+114
Underu2¼-125u2-105----u2-105u2-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+114
Under-----u2-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.11%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 410.03%
Exactly 61.49%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.56%
Exactly 318.99%
Exactly 54.23%
Exactly 70.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 042.76%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Corinthians
Exactly 028.31%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 39.48%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.62%
Exactly 217.98%
Exactly 41.43%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.86%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 067.48%
Exactly 126.55%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Corinthians
Exactly 055.75%
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 29.51%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals8.12%
Wins by 3+ goals1.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Corinthians
Wins by 2+ goals20.87%
Wins by 3+ goals7.29%
Wins by 4+ goals2.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Corinthians
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal16.88%
Wins by 2 goals6.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Corinthians
Wins by 1 goal25.06%
Wins by 2 goals13.58%
Wins by 3 goals5.26%
Wins by 4 goals1.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.89%12.11%
1.562.33%37.67%
2.535.35%64.65%
3.516.35%83.65%
4.56.33%93.67%
5.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.24%42.76%
1.520.92%79.08%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Corinthians Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.69%28.31%
1.535.96%64.04%
2.513.42%86.58%
3.53.94%96.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.38%37.62%
1.525.60%74.40%
2.57.62%92.38%
3.51.76%98.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Score012345
0
12.11%
15.28%
9.64%
4.05%
1.28%
0.32%
1
10.29%
12.98%
8.19%
3.44%
1.09%
0.27%
2
4.37%
5.51%
3.48%
1.46%
0.46%
0.12%
3
1.24%
1.56%
0.99%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.26%
0.33%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-010.29%
2-04.37%
2-15.51%
3-01.24%
3-11.56%
3-20.99%
4-00.26%
4-10.33%
4-20.21%
Draw
0-012.11%
1-112.98%
2-23.48%
3-30.41%
Corinthians
0-115.28%
0-29.64%
1-28.19%
0-34.05%
1-33.44%
2-31.46%
0-41.28%
1-41.09%
2-40.46%
3-40.13%
0-50.32%
1-50.27%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Score01234
0
37.62%
21.98%
6.42%
1.25%
0.18%
1
14.80%
8.65%
2.53%
0.49%
0.07%
2
2.91%
1.70%
0.50%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.38%
0.22%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-014.80%
2-02.91%
2-11.70%
3-00.38%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-037.62%
1-18.65%
2-20.50%
Corinthians
0-121.98%
0-26.42%
1-22.53%
0-31.25%
1-30.49%
0-40.18%
Internacional at Cuiaba
Fluminense at Fortaleza