Sao Paulo at Avaí

Updated

Sao Paulo

50.7%28.0%21.3%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAvaí Win
1.36Projected Goals 0.77
1Final Score 1

Avaí

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Ceara
T 1-1 at Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1 at Fortaleza
W 1-2 vs Santos
Avaí
Money Line
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense
L 2-1 vs Juventude
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
T 0-0 at Internacional

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+125+105+112--+112+112+117.0
Avaí+255+310+285--+285+310+334.0
Draw+210+210+188--+188+205+223.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+117.0
Avaí-----+334.0
Draw-----+223.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Avaí: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Avaí: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Avaí ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2-105o2-102--o2-102o2-102o2+104
Underu2¼-125u2-115u2-118--u2-118u2-115u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.1%
 
No59.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.83%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.23%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.26%
Exactly 319.17%
Exactly 54.37%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 025.66%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 223.74%
Exactly 310.76%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 046.12%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 213.81%
Exactly 33.56%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.23%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 41.48%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 35.99%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 053.27%
Exactly 133.55%
Exactly 210.57%
Exactly 32.22%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 069.89%
Exactly 125.04%
Exactly 24.49%
Exactly 30.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals24.47%
Wins by 3+ goals9.14%
Wins by 4+ goals2.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals6.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.42%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Avaí
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.20%
Wins by 2 goals15.33%
Wins by 3 goals6.42%
Wins by 4 goals2.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal14.90%
Wins by 2 goals4.96%
Wins by 3 goals1.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.17%11.83%
1.562.91%37.09%
2.535.96%64.04%
3.516.79%83.21%
4.56.56%93.44%
5.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.34%25.66%
1.539.44%60.56%
2.515.70%84.30%
3.54.94%95.06%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.88%46.12%
1.518.19%81.81%
2.54.37%95.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.77%37.23%
1.525.99%74.01%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.83%98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Avaí
Score01234
0
11.83%
9.16%
3.54%
0.91%
0.18%
1
16.10%
12.46%
4.82%
1.24%
0.24%
2
10.95%
8.47%
3.28%
0.85%
0.16%
3
4.96%
3.84%
1.49%
0.38%
0.07%
4
1.69%
1.31%
0.51%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.46%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-016.10%
2-010.95%
2-18.47%
3-04.96%
3-13.84%
3-21.49%
4-01.69%
4-11.31%
4-20.51%
4-30.13%
5-00.46%
5-10.36%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-011.83%
1-112.46%
2-23.28%
3-30.38%
Avaí
0-19.16%
0-23.54%
1-24.82%
0-30.91%
1-31.24%
2-30.85%
0-40.18%
1-40.24%
2-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Avaí
Score0123
0
37.23%
13.34%
2.39%
0.29%
1
23.45%
8.40%
1.51%
0.18%
2
7.38%
2.65%
0.47%
0.06%
3
1.55%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-023.45%
2-07.38%
2-12.65%
3-01.55%
3-10.56%
4-00.24%
Draw
0-037.23%
1-18.40%
2-20.47%
Avaí
0-113.34%
0-22.39%
1-21.51%
0-30.29%
1-30.18%
Cuiaba at America (MG)
Coritiba at Ceara