Athletico Paranaense at Fortaleza

Updated 894 days ago

10:00 PM • Jun 12, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

27.6%29.6%42.8%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawFortaleza Win

0.90Projected Goals 1.19

0Final Score 0

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 3-1	6/08 at Juventude
T 2-2	6/04 vs Santos
W 1-0	5/29 at Cuiaba
W 1-2	5/22 vs Avaí
L 1-2	5/15 at Fluminense

Fortaleza		Money Line
T 1-1	6/09 vs Goias
W 2-1	6/05 at Flamengo
L 1-0	6/01 vs Ceara
T 1-1	5/28 vs Juventude
L 1-0	5/22 vs Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

:3.7%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+275	+475	+425	-	+420	+425	+475	+482.4
Fortaleza	+105	-155	-155	-	-150	-155	-155	-140.6
Draw	+225	+280	+290	-	+275	+290	+290	+309.8

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+482.4
Fortaleza	-	-	-	-	-	-140.6
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+309.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 50.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 30.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.0%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-125	o2¼-120	o2¼-118	-	-	o2¼-118	o2¼-118	o2¼-109
Under	u2+105	u2¼+100	u2¼-102	-	-	u2¼-102	u2¼+100	u2¼+109

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-109
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.2%


No	58.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.39%
Exactly 2	27.02%
Exactly 4	9.82%
Exactly 6	1.43%
Exactly 8	0.11%


Exactly 1	25.88%
Exactly 3	18.80%
Exactly 5	4.10%
Exactly 7	0.43%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	40.82%
Exactly 1	36.57%
Exactly 2	16.38%
Exactly 3	4.89%
Exactly 4	1.10%
Exactly 5	0.20%

Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	30.36%
Exactly 1	36.19%
Exactly 2	21.57%
Exactly 3	8.57%
Exactly 4	2.55%
Exactly 5	0.61%
Exactly 6	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	38.03%
Exactly 2	17.77%
Exactly 4	1.38%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	5.73%
Exactly 5	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	66.05%
Exactly 1	27.40%
Exactly 2	5.68%
Exactly 3	0.79%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	57.58%
Exactly 1	31.78%
Exactly 2	8.77%
Exactly 3	1.61%
Exactly 4	0.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	9.39%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.46%

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals	18.56%
Wins by 3+ goals	6.17%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.63%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	18.19%
Wins by 2 goals	7.00%
Wins by 3 goals	1.92%
Wins by 4 goals	0.40%

Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal	24.20%
Wins by 2 goals	12.39%
Wins by 3 goals	4.54%
Wins by 4 goals	1.29%
Wins by 5 goals	0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.61%	12.39%
1.5	61.73%	38.27%
2.5	34.71%	65.29%
3.5	15.91%	84.09%
4.5	6.09%	93.91%
5.5	2.00%	98.00%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.18%	40.82%
1.5	22.60%	77.40%
2.5	6.22%	93.78%
3.5	1.33%	98.67%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.64%	30.36%
1.5	33.45%	66.55%
2.5	11.88%	88.12%
3.5	3.31%	96.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.97%	38.03%
1.5	25.20%	74.80%
2.5	7.43%	92.57%
3.5	1.70%	98.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.39%	14.77%	8.81%	3.50%	1.04%	0.25%
1	11.10%	13.24%	7.89%	3.13%	0.93%	0.22%
2	4.97%	5.93%	3.53%	1.40%	0.42%	0.10%
3	1.49%	1.77%	1.06%	0.42%	0.12%	0.03%
4	0.33%	0.40%	0.24%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	11.10%
2-0	4.97%
2-1	5.93%
3-0	1.49%
3-1	1.77%
3-2	1.06%
4-0	0.33%
4-1	0.40%
4-2	0.24%

Draw
0-0	12.39%
1-1	13.24%
2-2	3.53%
3-3	0.42%

Fortaleza
0-1	14.77%
0-2	8.81%
1-2	7.89%
0-3	3.50%
1-3	3.13%
2-3	1.40%
0-4	1.04%
1-4	0.93%
2-4	0.42%
3-4	0.12%
0-5	0.25%
1-5	0.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	38.03%	20.99%	5.79%	1.07%	0.15%
1	15.78%	8.71%	2.40%	0.44%	0.06%
2	3.27%	1.81%	0.50%	0.09%	0.01%
3	0.45%	0.25%	0.07%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.78%
2-0	3.27%
2-1	1.81%
3-0	0.45%
3-1	0.25%

Draw
0-0	38.03%
1-1	8.71%
2-2	0.50%

Fortaleza
0-1	20.99%
0-2	5.79%
1-2	2.40%
0-3	1.07%
1-3	0.44%
0-4	0.15%

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