Santos at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Santos

23.0%27.7%49.2%
Santos WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.37
2Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Santos
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Palmeiras
T 0-0 vs Ceara
L 0-1 at Goias
W 1-4 vs Cuiaba
L 1-2 at Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 1-0 at Cuiaba
W 1-2 vs Avaí
L 1-2 at Fluminense
W 0-1 vs Ceara
L 0-1 at America (MG)

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+400+270+240-+282+240+270+298.1
Athletico Paranaense-135+115+113-+101+113+115+118.4
Draw+245+205+215-+232+215+232+243.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos-----+298.1
Athletico Paranaense-----+118.4
Draw-----+243.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2¼+108o2¼+105--o2¼+105o2¼+108o2¼+119
Underu2¼-118u2¼-128u2¼-125--u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+119
Under-----u2¼-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.94%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 410.92%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.21%
Exactly 319.75%
Exactly 54.83%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 043.09%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.27%
Exactly 34.28%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 025.40%
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 310.90%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 51.02%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.90%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 41.65%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 067.72%
Exactly 126.39%
Exactly 25.14%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 053.02%
Exactly 133.64%
Exactly 210.67%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals7.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals23.71%
Wins by 3+ goals8.86%
Wins by 4+ goals2.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Santos
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Santos
Wins by 1 goal15.65%
Wins by 2 goals5.60%
Wins by 3 goals1.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal25.49%
Wins by 2 goals14.85%
Wins by 3 goals6.22%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.06%10.94%
1.564.84%35.16%
2.538.06%61.94%
3.518.31%81.69%
4.57.38%92.62%
5.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.91%43.09%
1.520.63%79.37%
2.55.36%94.64%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.60%25.40%
1.539.80%60.20%
2.515.94%84.06%
3.55.05%94.95%
4.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.10%35.90%
1.527.32%72.68%
2.58.48%91.52%
3.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Santos
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
10.94%
15.00%
10.28%
4.70%
1.61%
0.44%
1
9.21%
12.63%
8.65%
3.95%
1.35%
0.37%
2
3.88%
5.31%
3.64%
1.66%
0.57%
0.16%
3
1.09%
1.49%
1.02%
0.47%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.23%
0.31%
0.22%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Santos
1-09.21%
2-03.88%
2-15.31%
3-01.09%
3-11.49%
3-21.02%
4-00.23%
4-10.31%
4-20.22%
Draw
0-010.94%
1-112.63%
2-23.64%
3-30.47%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.00%
0-210.28%
1-28.65%
0-34.70%
1-33.95%
2-31.66%
0-41.61%
1-41.35%
2-40.57%
3-40.16%
0-50.44%
1-50.37%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Santos
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
35.90%
22.78%
7.23%
1.53%
0.24%
1
13.99%
8.88%
2.82%
0.60%
0.09%
2
2.73%
1.73%
0.55%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.35%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Santos
1-013.99%
2-02.73%
2-11.73%
3-00.35%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-035.90%
1-18.88%
2-20.55%
Athletico Paranaense
0-122.78%
0-27.23%
1-22.82%
0-31.53%
1-30.60%
2-30.12%
0-40.24%