Corinthians at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Corinthians

15.3%22.3%62.4%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.82
2Final Score 1

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Corinthians
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
L 1-3 at Ceara
W 0-1 vs Flamengo
L 0-4 at Fluminense
T 0-0 vs Santos
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
T 1-1 at Cuiaba
W 1-0 at Botafogo RJ
T 0-0 vs Sao Paulo
W 2-1 at Juventude
W 2-3 vs Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Corinthians+500+850----+850+845.2
Atletico Mineiro-170-210-----210-193.9
Draw+275+290----+290+326.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Corinthians-----+845.2
Atletico Mineiro------193.9
Draw-----+326.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Corinthians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Corinthians: 20.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Corinthians: 10.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Corinthians ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-114----o2-114o2-119
Underu2¼-108u2+100----u2+100u2+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-119
Under-----u2+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.44%
Exactly 225.11%
Exactly 414.13%
Exactly 63.18%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.33%
Exactly 321.75%
Exactly 57.34%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Corinthians
Exactly 046.13%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 213.81%
Exactly 33.56%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 016.12%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.33%
Exactly 47.45%
Exactly 52.72%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.02%
Exactly 221.73%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 38.72%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Corinthians
Exactly 069.89%
Exactly 125.04%
Exactly 24.48%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 042.96%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.33%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Corinthians
Wins by 2+ goals4.44%
Wins by 3+ goals0.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals36.61%
Wins by 3+ goals17.27%
Wins by 4+ goals6.67%
Wins by 5+ goals2.14%
Wins by 6+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Corinthians
Wins by 1 goal10.89%
Wins by 2 goals3.48%
Wins by 3 goals0.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.69%
Wins by 2 goals19.34%
Wins by 3 goals10.60%
Wins by 4 goals4.53%
Wins by 5 goals1.58%
Wins by 6 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.56%7.44%
1.573.24%26.76%
2.548.12%51.88%
3.526.37%73.63%
4.512.24%87.76%
5.54.89%95.11%
6.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Corinthians Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.87%46.13%
1.518.18%81.82%
2.54.37%95.63%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.88%16.12%
1.554.45%45.55%
2.527.61%72.39%
3.511.27%88.73%
4.53.82%96.18%
5.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.98%30.02%
1.533.85%66.15%
2.512.12%87.88%
3.53.40%96.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
7.44%
13.57%
12.38%
7.53%
3.44%
1.25%
1
5.75%
10.50%
9.58%
5.83%
2.66%
0.97%
2
2.23%
4.06%
3.71%
2.26%
1.03%
0.38%
3
0.57%
1.05%
0.96%
0.58%
0.27%
0.10%
4
0.11%
0.20%
0.18%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Corinthians
1-05.75%
2-02.23%
2-14.06%
3-00.57%
3-11.05%
3-20.96%
4-00.11%
4-10.20%
4-20.18%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-07.44%
1-110.50%
2-23.71%
3-30.58%
Atletico Mineiro
0-113.57%
0-212.38%
1-29.58%
0-37.53%
1-35.83%
2-32.26%
0-43.44%
1-42.66%
2-41.03%
3-40.27%
0-51.25%
1-50.97%
2-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
30.02%
25.37%
10.72%
3.02%
0.64%
0.11%
1
10.76%
9.09%
3.84%
1.08%
0.23%
0.04%
2
1.93%
1.63%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.23%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Corinthians
1-010.76%
2-01.93%
2-11.63%
3-00.23%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-030.02%
1-19.09%
2-20.69%
Atletico Mineiro
0-125.37%
0-210.72%
1-23.84%
0-33.02%
1-31.08%
2-30.19%
0-40.64%
1-40.23%
0-50.11%