America (MG) at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

America (MG)

20.2%27.4%52.4%
America (MG) WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.41
1Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

America (MG)
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Santos
W 1-0 at Juventude
W 1-3 vs Avaí
W 1-0 at Atletico Goianiense
L 1-0 vs Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 0-5 at Flamengo
W 3-2 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-1 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 1-4 vs Atletico Goianiense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)+350-+330+350+315+350+350+392.0
Athletico Paranaense-120--115-120-116-120-115-107.7
Draw+235-+235+255+258+255+258+259.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)-----+392.0
Athletico Paranaense------107.7
Draw-----+259.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

America (MG): 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

America (MG): 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100-o2½+102o2½+107-o2½+107o2½+107o2½+122
Underu2¼-120-u2½-122u2½-127-u2½-127u2½-122u2½-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+122
Under-----u2½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.1%
 
No59.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.49%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 410.50%
Exactly 61.64%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.86%
Exactly 319.40%
Exactly 54.54%
Exactly 70.51%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 046.91%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.44%
Exactly 33.39%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 024.49%
Exactly 134.45%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 311.37%
Exactly 44.00%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.72%
Exactly 218.43%
Exactly 41.54%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.16%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 070.43%
Exactly 124.69%
Exactly 24.33%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 052.13%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 211.06%
Exactly 32.40%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals5.82%
Wins by 3+ goals1.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals25.95%
Wins by 3+ goals9.97%
Wins by 4+ goals3.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

America (MG)
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal14.22%
Wins by 2 goals4.62%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.44%
Wins by 2 goals15.98%
Wins by 3 goals6.91%
Wins by 4 goals2.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.51%11.49%
1.563.66%36.34%
2.536.76%63.24%
3.517.36%82.64%
4.56.87%93.13%
5.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.09%46.91%
1.517.58%82.42%
2.54.14%95.86%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.51%24.49%
1.541.06%58.94%
2.516.82%83.18%
3.55.45%94.55%
4.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.28%36.72%
1.526.50%73.50%
2.58.07%91.93%
3.51.91%98.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

America (MG)
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
11.49%
16.16%
11.37%
5.33%
1.88%
0.53%
1
8.70%
12.23%
8.61%
4.04%
1.42%
0.40%
2
3.29%
4.63%
3.26%
1.53%
0.54%
0.15%
3
0.83%
1.17%
0.82%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
4
0.16%
0.22%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
America (MG)
1-08.70%
2-03.29%
2-14.63%
3-00.83%
3-11.17%
3-20.82%
4-00.16%
4-10.22%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-011.49%
1-112.23%
2-23.26%
3-30.39%
Athletico Paranaense
0-116.16%
0-211.37%
1-28.61%
0-35.33%
1-34.04%
2-31.53%
0-41.88%
1-41.42%
2-40.54%
3-40.14%
0-50.53%
1-50.40%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

America (MG)
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
36.72%
23.92%
7.79%
1.69%
0.28%
1
12.87%
8.38%
2.73%
0.59%
0.10%
2
2.26%
1.47%
0.48%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.26%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
America (MG)
1-012.87%
2-02.26%
2-11.47%
3-00.26%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-036.72%
1-18.38%
2-20.48%
Athletico Paranaense
0-123.92%
0-27.79%
1-22.73%
0-31.69%
1-30.59%
2-30.10%
0-40.28%