Athletico Paranaense at Flamengo

Updated 821 days ago

07:00 PM • Aug 14, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

14.2%20.6%65.2%

WinDrawFlamengo Win

0.80Projected Goals 1.98

0Final Score 5

Flamengo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 3-2	8/07 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-1	7/31 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-2	7/24 at Botafogo RJ
W 1-4	7/20 vs Atletico Goianiense
T 0-0	7/16 vs Internacional

Flamengo		Money Line
W 2-0	8/06 at Sao Paulo
W 1-4	7/30 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 2-1	7/24 at Avaí
W 0-4	7/20 vs Juventude
W 0-2	7/16 vs Coritiba

Money Line Analysis

:4.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+600	-	+875	+950	+871	+950	+950	+969.1
Flamengo	-220	-	-315	-320	-332	-320	-315	-275.2
Draw	+330	-	+420	+420	+430	+420	+430	+478.1

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+969.1
Flamengo	-	-	-	-	-	-275.2
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+478.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Flamengo: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-115	-	o2¾-112	o2¾-113	-	o2¾-113	o2¾-112	o2½-130
Under	u2½-105	-	u2¾-108	u2¾-107	-	u2¾-107	u2¾-107	u2½+130

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½-130
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½+130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	47.3%


No	52.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.21%
Exactly 2	23.98%
Exactly 4	15.43%
Exactly 6	3.97%
Exactly 8	0.55%


Exactly 1	17.26%
Exactly 3	22.21%
Exactly 5	8.58%
Exactly 7	1.58%
Exactly 9	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	45.09%
Exactly 1	35.92%
Exactly 2	14.30%
Exactly 3	3.80%
Exactly 4	0.76%
Exactly 5	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 0	13.78%
Exactly 1	27.31%
Exactly 2	27.06%
Exactly 3	17.88%
Exactly 4	8.86%
Exactly 5	3.51%
Exactly 6	1.16%
Exactly 7	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	27.62%
Exactly 2	22.86%
Exactly 4	3.15%
Exactly 6	0.17%


Exactly 1	35.54%
Exactly 3	9.80%
Exactly 5	0.81%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	69.15%
Exactly 1	25.51%
Exactly 2	4.70%
Exactly 3	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 0	39.94%
Exactly 1	36.66%
Exactly 2	16.82%
Exactly 3	5.15%
Exactly 4	1.18%
Exactly 5	0.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	4.15%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.92%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.15%

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals	40.10%
Wins by 3+ goals	20.07%
Wins by 4+ goals	8.27%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.84%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.79%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	10.03%
Wins by 2 goals	3.23%
Wins by 3 goals	0.76%
Wins by 4 goals	0.14%

Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal	24.96%
Wins by 2 goals	20.04%
Wins by 3 goals	11.79%
Wins by 4 goals	5.44%
Wins by 5 goals	2.05%
Wins by 6 goals	0.64%
Wins by 7 goals	0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.79%	6.21%
1.5	76.53%	23.47%
2.5	52.55%	47.45%
3.5	30.33%	69.67%
4.5	14.90%	85.10%
5.5	6.33%	93.67%
6.5	2.36%	97.64%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	54.91%	45.09%
1.5	19.00%	81.00%
2.5	4.69%	95.31%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	86.22%	13.78%
1.5	58.91%	41.09%
2.5	31.85%	68.15%
3.5	13.97%	86.03%
4.5	5.11%	94.89%
5.5	1.59%	98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.38%	27.62%
1.5	36.84%	63.16%
2.5	13.98%	86.02%
3.5	4.18%	95.82%
4.5	1.02%	98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.21%	12.31%	12.20%	8.06%	4.00%	1.58%
1	4.95%	9.81%	9.72%	6.42%	3.18%	1.26%
2	1.97%	3.91%	3.87%	2.56%	1.27%	0.50%
3	0.52%	1.04%	1.03%	0.68%	0.34%	0.13%
4	0.10%	0.21%	0.20%	0.14%	0.07%	0.03%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	4.95%
2-0	1.97%
2-1	3.91%
3-0	0.52%
3-1	1.04%
3-2	1.03%
4-0	0.10%
4-1	0.21%
4-2	0.20%
4-3	0.14%

Draw
0-0	6.21%
1-1	9.81%
2-2	3.87%
3-3	0.68%

Flamengo
0-1	12.31%
0-2	12.20%
1-2	9.72%
0-3	8.06%
1-3	6.42%
2-3	2.56%
0-4	4.00%
1-4	3.18%
2-4	1.27%
3-4	0.34%
0-5	1.58%
1-5	1.26%
2-5	0.50%
3-5	0.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	27.62%	25.35%	11.63%	3.56%	0.82%	0.15%
1	10.19%	9.35%	4.29%	1.31%	0.30%	0.06%
2	1.88%	1.72%	0.79%	0.24%	0.06%	0.01%
3	0.23%	0.21%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.19%
2-0	1.88%
2-1	1.72%
3-0	0.23%
3-1	0.21%

Draw
0-0	27.62%
1-1	9.35%
2-2	0.79%

Flamengo
0-1	25.35%
0-2	11.63%
1-2	4.29%
0-3	3.56%
1-3	1.31%
2-3	0.24%
0-4	0.82%
1-4	0.30%
0-5	0.15%

Atletico Mineiro at Coritiba

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Athletico Paranaense at Flamengo