Avaí at America (MG)

Updated

Avaí

13.7%23.6%62.7%
WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
0.63Projected Goals 1.68
1Final Score 3

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Avaí
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Flamengo
L 0-1 at Ceara
W 0-1 vs Santos
L 0-4 at Bragantino
L 2-1 vs Cuiaba
America (MG)
Money Line
W 1-0 at Atletico Goianiense
L 1-0 vs Palmeiras
L 3-0 vs Bragantino
L 0-1 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Goias

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí+355+414+420+440+435+380+440+440+454.0
America (MG)-131-130-135-132-133-137-132-129-122.8
Draw+268+257+255+240+260+264+240+268+272.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí-----+454.0
America (MG)------122.8
Draw-----+272.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Avaí: 0.0%
America (MG): 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Avaí: 20.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Avaí ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+108o2¼-118o2¼-115o2½+109-o2¼-115o2¼-115o2½+118
Underu2¼-105u2½-128u2¼-102u2¼-105u2½-129-u2¼-105u2½-128u2½-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+118
Under-----u2½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.2%
 
No61.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.91%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 411.79%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.91%
Exactly 320.40%
Exactly 55.45%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 053.03%
Exactly 133.64%
Exactly 210.67%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 018.69%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 314.70%
Exactly 46.16%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.29%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 41.87%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 074.55%
Exactly 121.89%
Exactly 23.22%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 046.00%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 213.87%
Exactly 33.59%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals3.40%
Wins by 3+ goals0.60%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals35.45%
Wins by 3+ goals15.86%
Wins by 4+ goals5.76%
Wins by 5+ goals1.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Avaí
America (MG)
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal10.28%
Wins by 2 goals2.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.53%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal27.18%
Wins by 2 goals19.59%
Wins by 3 goals10.10%
Wins by 4 goals4.03%
Wins by 5 goals1.31%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.09%9.91%
1.567.18%32.82%
2.540.70%59.30%
3.520.30%79.70%
4.58.51%91.49%
5.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.97%53.03%
1.513.33%86.67%
2.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.31%18.69%
1.549.96%50.04%
2.523.68%76.32%
3.58.98%91.02%
4.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.71%34.29%
1.529.01%70.99%
2.59.37%90.63%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Avaí
America (MG)
Score012345
0
9.91%
16.62%
13.94%
7.79%
3.27%
1.10%
1
6.29%
10.54%
8.84%
4.94%
2.07%
0.70%
2
1.99%
3.34%
2.80%
1.57%
0.66%
0.22%
3
0.42%
0.71%
0.59%
0.33%
0.14%
0.05%
Avaí
1-06.29%
2-01.99%
2-13.34%
3-00.42%
3-10.71%
3-20.59%
Draw
0-09.91%
1-110.54%
2-22.80%
3-30.33%
America (MG)
0-116.62%
0-213.94%
1-28.84%
0-37.79%
1-34.94%
2-31.57%
0-43.27%
1-42.07%
2-40.66%
3-40.14%
0-51.10%
1-50.70%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Avaí
America (MG)
Score01234
0
34.29%
26.63%
10.34%
2.68%
0.52%
1
10.07%
7.82%
3.04%
0.79%
0.15%
2
1.48%
1.15%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Avaí
1-010.07%
2-01.48%
2-11.15%
3-00.14%
3-10.11%
Draw
0-034.29%
1-17.82%
2-20.45%
America (MG)
0-126.63%
0-210.34%
1-23.04%
0-32.68%
1-30.79%
2-30.12%
0-40.52%
1-40.15%