Palmeiras at America (MG)

Updated

Palmeiras

46.6%28.2%25.1%
Palmeiras WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
1.31Projected Goals 0.89
1Final Score 0

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba
T 0-0 at Fortaleza
L 2-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 2-2 at Avaí
W 2-1 at Sao Paulo
America (MG)
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Bragantino
L 0-1 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Goias
L 0-3 at Flamengo
L 0-1 at Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-103-115-115-133-128-115-115-106.3
America (MG)+271+350+365+325+355+365+365+378.1
Draw+253+230+250+219+258+250+258+263.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras------106.3
America (MG)-----+378.1
Draw-----+263.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
America (MG): 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2½+116-o2¼-115o2¼-115o2½+124
Underu2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2½-136-u2¼-105u2½-136u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.03%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 410.85%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.32%
Exactly 319.69%
Exactly 54.78%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 026.77%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 223.25%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 041.21%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.19%
Exactly 34.78%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.04%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 054.33%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 210.11%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 066.34%
Exactly 127.23%
Exactly 25.59%
Exactly 30.76%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals21.75%
Wins by 3+ goals7.85%
Wins by 4+ goals2.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals8.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
America (MG)
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal24.86%
Wins by 2 goals13.90%
Wins by 3 goals5.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal16.72%
Wins by 2 goals6.29%
Wins by 3 goals1.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.97%11.03%
1.564.64%35.36%
2.537.84%62.16%
3.518.15%81.85%
4.57.29%92.71%
5.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.23%26.77%
1.537.95%62.05%
2.514.70%85.30%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.79%41.21%
1.522.26%77.74%
2.56.06%93.94%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.96%36.04%
1.527.18%72.82%
2.58.41%91.59%
3.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
America (MG)
Score01234
0
11.03%
9.78%
4.33%
1.28%
0.28%
1
14.54%
12.89%
5.71%
1.69%
0.37%
2
9.58%
8.49%
3.76%
1.11%
0.25%
3
4.21%
3.73%
1.65%
0.49%
0.11%
4
1.39%
1.23%
0.54%
0.16%
0.04%
5
0.37%
0.32%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-014.54%
2-09.58%
2-18.49%
3-04.21%
3-13.73%
3-21.65%
4-01.39%
4-11.23%
4-20.54%
4-30.16%
5-00.37%
5-10.32%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-011.03%
1-112.89%
2-23.76%
3-30.49%
America (MG)
0-19.78%
0-24.33%
1-25.71%
0-31.28%
1-31.69%
2-31.11%
0-40.28%
1-40.37%
2-40.25%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
America (MG)
Score0123
0
36.04%
14.79%
3.04%
0.42%
1
21.99%
9.02%
1.85%
0.25%
2
6.71%
2.75%
0.56%
0.08%
3
1.36%
0.56%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.21%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-021.99%
2-06.71%
2-12.75%
3-01.36%
3-10.56%
3-20.11%
4-00.21%
Draw
0-036.04%
1-19.02%
2-20.56%
America (MG)
0-114.79%
0-23.04%
1-21.85%
0-30.42%
1-30.25%