Palmeiras at Avaí

Updated

Palmeiras

63.3%22.5%14.2%
Palmeiras WinDrawWin
1.78Projected Goals 0.70
2Final Score 2

Avaí

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sao Paulo
W 2-4 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 2-0 at Coritiba
W 0-4 vs Botafogo RJ
T 0-0 vs Atletico Mineiro
Avaí
Money Line
L 0-2 at Fluminense
W 2-3 vs Fortaleza
W 1-0 at Botafogo RJ
L 1-2 at Atletico Goianiense
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-135-120-116-122-128-116-116-106.1
Avaí+390+390+320+388+405+325+405+408.0
Draw+250+230+220+249+231+215+249+246.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras------106.1
Avaí-----+408.0
Draw-----+246.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 30.0%
Avaí: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Avaí: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Avaí ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-108o2-108--o2-108o2-108o2+100
Underu2¼-102u2-112u2-112--u2-112u2-112u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.34%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 413.23%
Exactly 62.72%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.72%
Exactly 321.31%
Exactly 56.57%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 016.82%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 315.88%
Exactly 47.07%
Exactly 52.52%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 049.58%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 212.20%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.66%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 043.81%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.92%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 072.26%
Exactly 123.47%
Exactly 23.81%
Exactly 30.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals36.92%
Wins by 3+ goals17.21%
Wins by 4+ goals6.55%
Wins by 5+ goals2.07%
Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals3.76%
Wins by 3+ goals0.71%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Avaí
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal26.31%
Wins by 2 goals19.71%
Wins by 3 goals10.66%
Wins by 4 goals4.48%
Wins by 5 goals1.53%
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal10.35%
Wins by 2 goals3.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.63%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.66%8.34%
1.570.94%29.06%
2.545.21%54.79%
3.523.90%76.10%
4.510.67%89.33%
5.54.10%95.90%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.18%16.82%
1.553.19%46.81%
2.526.47%73.53%
3.510.59%89.41%
4.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.42%49.58%
1.515.64%84.36%
2.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.34%31.66%
1.531.93%68.07%
2.510.99%89.01%
3.52.96%97.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Avaí
Score0123
0
8.34%
5.85%
2.05%
0.48%
1
14.87%
10.43%
3.66%
0.86%
2
13.25%
9.30%
3.26%
0.76%
3
7.87%
5.52%
1.94%
0.45%
4
3.51%
2.46%
0.86%
0.20%
5
1.25%
0.88%
0.31%
0.07%
Palmeiras
1-014.87%
2-013.25%
2-19.30%
3-07.87%
3-15.52%
3-21.94%
4-03.51%
4-12.46%
4-20.86%
4-30.20%
5-01.25%
5-10.88%
5-20.31%
Draw
0-08.34%
1-110.43%
2-23.26%
3-30.45%
Avaí
0-15.85%
0-22.05%
1-23.66%
0-30.48%
1-30.86%
2-30.76%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Avaí
Score0123
0
31.66%
10.29%
1.67%
0.18%
1
26.13%
8.49%
1.38%
0.15%
2
10.78%
3.50%
0.57%
0.06%
3
2.97%
0.96%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.61%
0.20%
0.03%
0.00%
5
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-026.13%
2-010.78%
2-13.50%
3-02.97%
3-10.96%
3-20.16%
4-00.61%
4-10.20%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-031.66%
1-18.49%
2-20.57%
Avaí
0-110.29%
0-21.67%
1-21.38%
0-30.18%
1-30.15%