Avaí at Fluminense

Updated

Avaí

12.0%21.7%66.3%
WinDrawFluminense Win
0.62Projected Goals 1.83
0Final Score 2

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Avaí
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Fortaleza
W 1-0 at Botafogo RJ
L 1-2 at Atletico Goianiense
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
Fluminense
Money Line
T 0-0 at America (MG)
L 2-0 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 3-5 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 0-1 at Juventude
L 2-1 vs Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí+525+475+440+542+459+440+542+527.5
Fluminense-180-145-149-152-154-149-145-132.6
Draw+290+240+235+261+264+235+264+269.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí-----+527.5
Fluminense------132.6
Draw-----+269.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Avaí: 0.0%
Fluminense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Avaí: 10.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Avaí ML
No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¼+100o2¼+108o2½+134-o2¼+108o2¼+108o2¼+109
Underu2¼-105u2¼-120u2¼-128u2½-149-u2¼-128u2½-149u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.9%
 
No61.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.64%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 412.95%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.15%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 56.34%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 053.58%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 210.43%
Exactly 32.17%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 016.12%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.34%
Exactly 47.45%
Exactly 52.72%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.17%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 42.22%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 074.91%
Exactly 121.64%
Exactly 23.13%
Exactly 30.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 042.95%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.34%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals2.91%
Wins by 3+ goals0.50%
Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals39.62%
Wins by 3+ goals18.93%
Wins by 4+ goals7.38%
Wins by 5+ goals2.39%
Wins by 6+ goals0.63%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Avaí
Fluminense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal9.09%
Wins by 2 goals2.41%
Wins by 3 goals0.45%
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal26.61%
Wins by 2 goals20.69%
Wins by 3 goals11.55%
Wins by 4 goals4.99%
Wins by 5 goals1.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.52%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.36%8.64%
1.570.21%29.79%
2.544.31%55.69%
3.523.16%76.84%
4.510.21%89.79%
5.53.87%96.13%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.42%53.58%
1.512.98%87.02%
2.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.88%16.12%
1.554.46%45.54%
2.527.62%72.38%
3.511.28%88.72%
4.53.83%96.17%
5.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.83%32.17%
1.531.34%68.66%
2.510.65%89.35%
3.52.83%97.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Avaí
Fluminense
Score012345
0
8.64%
15.76%
14.39%
8.75%
3.99%
1.46%
1
5.39%
9.84%
8.98%
5.46%
2.49%
0.91%
2
1.68%
3.07%
2.80%
1.70%
0.78%
0.28%
3
0.35%
0.64%
0.58%
0.35%
0.16%
0.06%
Avaí
1-05.39%
2-01.68%
2-13.07%
3-00.35%
3-10.64%
3-20.58%
Draw
0-08.64%
1-19.84%
2-22.80%
3-30.35%
Fluminense
0-115.76%
0-214.39%
1-28.98%
0-38.75%
1-35.46%
2-31.70%
0-43.99%
1-42.49%
2-40.78%
3-40.16%
0-51.46%
1-50.91%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Avaí
Fluminense
Score012345
0
32.17%
27.19%
11.49%
3.24%
0.68%
0.12%
1
9.29%
7.86%
3.32%
0.94%
0.20%
0.03%
2
1.34%
1.13%
0.48%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
3
0.13%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Avaí
1-09.29%
2-01.34%
2-11.13%
3-00.13%
3-10.11%
Draw
0-032.17%
1-17.86%
2-20.48%
Fluminense
0-127.19%
0-211.49%
1-23.32%
0-33.24%
1-30.94%
2-30.14%
0-40.68%
1-40.20%
0-50.12%