Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras

Updated 874 days ago

12:00 AM • Jul 3, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

11.9%20.5%67.5%

WinDrawPalmeiras Win

0.66Projected Goals 1.94

2Final Score 0

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 2-4	6/25 vs Bragantino
W 1-0	6/19 at Coritiba
T 1-1	6/16 vs Corinthians
T 0-0	6/12 at Fortaleza
W 3-1	6/08 at Juventude

Palmeiras		Money Line
T 2-2	6/26 at Avaí
W 2-1	6/20 at Sao Paulo
W 2-4	6/16 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 2-0	6/12 at Coritiba
W 0-4	6/09 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

:3.1%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+475	+750	+800	-	+836	+800	+836	+822.0
Palmeiras	-160	-280	-300	-	-326	-300	-280	-244.7
Draw	+270	+400	+430	-	+420	+430	+430	+450.5

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+822.0
Palmeiras	-	-	-	-	-	-244.7
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+450.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 30.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.4%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-115	o2¾-118	o2¾-115	o2½-141	-	o2¾-115	o2½-141	o2½-128
Under	u2¼-105	u2¾-102	u2¾-105	u2½+126	-	u2¾-105	u2¾-102	u2½+128

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½-128
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.6%


No	58.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.41%
Exactly 2	25.09%
Exactly 4	14.16%
Exactly 6	3.19%
Exactly 8	0.39%


Exactly 1	19.29%
Exactly 3	21.76%
Exactly 5	7.37%
Exactly 7	1.19%
Exactly 9	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	51.40%
Exactly 1	34.21%
Exactly 2	11.38%
Exactly 3	2.52%
Exactly 4	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	14.42%
Exactly 1	27.93%
Exactly 2	27.04%
Exactly 3	17.45%
Exactly 4	8.45%
Exactly 5	3.27%
Exactly 6	1.06%
Exactly 7	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	29.98%
Exactly 2	21.75%
Exactly 4	2.63%
Exactly 6	0.13%


Exactly 1	36.12%
Exactly 3	8.73%
Exactly 5	0.63%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	73.48%
Exactly 1	22.64%
Exactly 2	3.49%
Exactly 3	0.36%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	40.80%
Exactly 1	36.58%
Exactly 2	16.40%
Exactly 3	4.90%
Exactly 4	1.10%
Exactly 5	0.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	3.00%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.54%

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals	41.64%
Wins by 3+ goals	20.72%
Wins by 4+ goals	8.46%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.87%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.79%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	8.87%
Wins by 2 goals	2.46%
Wins by 3 goals	0.48%

Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal	25.82%
Wins by 2 goals	20.92%
Wins by 3 goals	12.26%
Wins by 4 goals	5.59%
Wins by 5 goals	2.08%
Wins by 6 goals	0.64%
Wins by 7 goals	0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.59%	7.41%
1.5	73.29%	26.71%
2.5	48.20%	51.80%
3.5	26.44%	73.56%
4.5	12.28%	87.72%
5.5	4.92%	95.08%
6.5	1.72%	98.28%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	48.60%	51.40%
1.5	14.39%	85.61%
2.5	3.01%	96.99%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	85.58%	14.42%
1.5	57.65%	42.35%
2.5	30.61%	69.39%
3.5	13.16%	86.84%
4.5	4.71%	95.29%
5.5	1.44%	98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.02%	29.98%
1.5	33.90%	66.10%
2.5	12.15%	87.85%
3.5	3.42%	96.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.41%	14.36%	13.90%	8.97%	4.34%	1.68%
1	4.93%	9.55%	9.25%	5.97%	2.89%	1.12%
2	1.64%	3.18%	3.08%	1.99%	0.96%	0.37%
3	0.36%	0.71%	0.68%	0.44%	0.21%	0.08%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	4.93%
2-0	1.64%
2-1	3.18%
3-0	0.36%
3-1	0.71%
3-2	0.68%

Draw
0-0	7.41%
1-1	9.55%
2-2	3.08%
3-3	0.44%

Palmeiras
0-1	14.36%
0-2	13.90%
1-2	9.25%
0-3	8.97%
1-3	5.97%
2-3	1.99%
0-4	4.34%
1-4	2.89%
2-4	0.96%
3-4	0.21%
0-5	1.68%
1-5	1.12%
2-5	0.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	29.98%	26.88%	12.05%	3.60%	0.81%	0.14%
1	9.24%	8.28%	3.71%	1.11%	0.25%	0.04%
2	1.42%	1.28%	0.57%	0.17%	0.04%	0.01%
3	0.15%	0.13%	0.06%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	9.24%
2-0	1.42%
2-1	1.28%
3-0	0.15%
3-1	0.13%

Draw
0-0	29.98%
1-1	8.28%
2-2	0.57%

Palmeiras
0-1	26.88%
0-2	12.05%
1-2	3.71%
0-3	3.60%
1-3	1.11%
2-3	0.17%
0-4	0.81%
1-4	0.25%
0-5	0.14%

Internacional at Ceara

Cuiaba at Avaí

Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras