Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

11.9%20.5%67.5%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.66Projected Goals 1.94
2Final Score 0

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Bragantino
W 1-0 at Coritiba
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 0-0 at Fortaleza
W 3-1 at Juventude
Palmeiras
Money Line
T 2-2 at Avaí
W 2-1 at Sao Paulo
W 2-4 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 2-0 at Coritiba
W 0-4 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+475+750+800-+836+800+836+822.0
Palmeiras-160-280-300--326-300-280-244.7
Draw+270+400+430-+420+430+430+450.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense-----+822.0
Palmeiras------244.7
Draw-----+450.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¾-118o2¾-115o2½-141-o2¾-115o2½-141o2½-128
Underu2¼-105u2¾-102u2¾-105u2½+126-u2¾-105u2¾-102u2½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-128
Under-----u2½+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.41%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 414.16%
Exactly 63.19%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.29%
Exactly 321.76%
Exactly 57.37%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 051.40%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 211.38%
Exactly 32.52%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 014.42%
Exactly 127.93%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.45%
Exactly 48.45%
Exactly 53.27%
Exactly 61.06%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.98%
Exactly 221.75%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 38.73%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 073.48%
Exactly 122.64%
Exactly 23.49%
Exactly 30.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 040.80%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.40%
Exactly 34.90%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals3.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.54%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals41.64%
Wins by 3+ goals20.72%
Wins by 4+ goals8.46%
Wins by 5+ goals2.87%
Wins by 6+ goals0.79%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal8.87%
Wins by 2 goals2.46%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal25.82%
Wins by 2 goals20.92%
Wins by 3 goals12.26%
Wins by 4 goals5.59%
Wins by 5 goals2.08%
Wins by 6 goals0.64%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.59%7.41%
1.573.29%26.71%
2.548.20%51.80%
3.526.44%73.56%
4.512.28%87.72%
5.54.92%95.08%
6.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.60%51.40%
1.514.39%85.61%
2.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.58%14.42%
1.557.65%42.35%
2.530.61%69.39%
3.513.16%86.84%
4.54.71%95.29%
5.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.02%29.98%
1.533.90%66.10%
2.512.15%87.85%
3.53.42%96.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
7.41%
14.36%
13.90%
8.97%
4.34%
1.68%
1
4.93%
9.55%
9.25%
5.97%
2.89%
1.12%
2
1.64%
3.18%
3.08%
1.99%
0.96%
0.37%
3
0.36%
0.71%
0.68%
0.44%
0.21%
0.08%
Athletico Paranaense
1-04.93%
2-01.64%
2-13.18%
3-00.36%
3-10.71%
3-20.68%
Draw
0-07.41%
1-19.55%
2-23.08%
3-30.44%
Palmeiras
0-114.36%
0-213.90%
1-29.25%
0-38.97%
1-35.97%
2-31.99%
0-44.34%
1-42.89%
2-40.96%
3-40.21%
0-51.68%
1-51.12%
2-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
29.98%
26.88%
12.05%
3.60%
0.81%
0.14%
1
9.24%
8.28%
3.71%
1.11%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.42%
1.28%
0.57%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-09.24%
2-01.42%
2-11.28%
3-00.15%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-029.98%
1-18.28%
2-20.57%
Palmeiras
0-126.88%
0-212.05%
1-23.71%
0-33.60%
1-31.11%
2-30.17%
0-40.81%
1-40.25%
0-50.14%