Atletico Mineiro at Sao Paulo

Updated 743 days ago

12:30 AM • Nov 2, 2022

Atletico Mineiro

37.9%29.3%32.8%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawSao Paulo Win

1.13Projected Goals 1.04

2Final Score 2

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 0-1	10/27 vs Juventude
T 0-0	10/24 at Fortaleza
L 0-1	10/15 at Flamengo
T 0-0	10/09 vs Ceara
W 2-1	10/06 at Santos

Sao Paulo		Money Line
W 1-2	10/27 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 2-1	10/23 at Juventude
W 1-3	10/20 vs Coritiba
T 0-0	10/16 at Palmeiras
L 1-0	10/09 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

:1.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+190	+214	+210	+216	+232	+216	+232	+240.6
Sao Paulo	+160	+157	+160	+150	+157	+150	+160	+163.7
Draw	+200	+201	+195	+199	+198	+199	+201	+205.7

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+240.6
Sao Paulo	-	-	-	-	-	+163.7
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+205.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:1.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-125	o2-103	o2-107	o2-105	o2-101	o2-105	o2-101	o2+106
Under	u2+105	u2-115	u2-107	u2-115	u2-114	u2-115	u2-107	u2-106

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+106
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.9%


No	56.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.36%
Exactly 2	26.87%
Exactly 4	10.59%
Exactly 6	1.67%
Exactly 8	0.14%


Exactly 1	24.71%
Exactly 3	19.48%
Exactly 5	4.61%
Exactly 7	0.52%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	32.08%
Exactly 1	36.47%
Exactly 2	20.74%
Exactly 3	7.86%
Exactly 4	2.23%
Exactly 5	0.51%

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	35.42%
Exactly 1	36.76%
Exactly 2	19.08%
Exactly 3	6.60%
Exactly 4	1.71%
Exactly 5	0.36%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.53%
Exactly 2	18.52%
Exactly 4	1.57%


Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 3	6.22%
Exactly 5	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	59.07%
Exactly 1	31.10%
Exactly 2	8.19%
Exactly 3	1.44%
Exactly 4	0.19%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	61.85%
Exactly 1	29.72%
Exactly 2	7.14%
Exactly 3	1.14%
Exactly 4	0.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	15.55%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.86%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.16%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.18%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals	12.52%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.61%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	22.20%
Wins by 2 goals	10.69%
Wins by 3 goals	3.70%
Wins by 4 goals	0.98%
Wins by 5 goals	0.18%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal	20.26%
Wins by 2 goals	8.91%
Wins by 3 goals	2.82%
Wins by 4 goals	0.68%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.64%	11.36%
1.5	63.93%	36.07%
2.5	37.05%	62.95%
3.5	17.57%	82.43%
4.5	6.98%	93.02%
5.5	2.37%	97.63%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.92%	32.08%
1.5	31.45%	68.55%
2.5	10.72%	89.28%
3.5	2.86%	97.14%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.58%	35.42%
1.5	27.82%	72.18%
2.5	8.74%	91.26%
3.5	2.14%	97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.47%	36.53%
1.5	26.68%	73.32%
2.5	8.16%	91.84%
3.5	1.94%	98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.36%	11.79%	6.12%	2.12%	0.55%	0.11%
1	12.92%	13.41%	6.96%	2.41%	0.62%	0.13%
2	7.34%	7.62%	3.96%	1.37%	0.36%	0.07%
3	2.78%	2.89%	1.50%	0.52%	0.13%	0.03%
4	0.79%	0.82%	0.43%	0.15%	0.04%	0.01%
5	0.18%	0.19%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	12.92%
2-0	7.34%
2-1	7.62%
3-0	2.78%
3-1	2.89%
3-2	1.50%
4-0	0.79%
4-1	0.82%
4-2	0.43%
4-3	0.15%
5-0	0.18%
5-1	0.19%

Draw
0-0	11.36%
1-1	13.41%
2-2	3.96%
3-3	0.52%

Sao Paulo
0-1	11.79%
0-2	6.12%
1-2	6.96%
0-3	2.12%
1-3	2.41%
2-3	1.37%
0-4	0.55%
1-4	0.62%
2-4	0.36%
3-4	0.13%
0-5	0.11%
1-5	0.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3
0	36.53%	17.55%	4.22%	0.68%
1	19.23%	9.24%	2.22%	0.36%
2	5.06%	2.43%	0.58%	0.09%
3	0.89%	0.43%	0.10%	0.02%
4	0.12%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	19.23%
2-0	5.06%
2-1	2.43%
3-0	0.89%
3-1	0.43%
3-2	0.10%
4-0	0.12%

Draw
0-0	36.53%
1-1	9.24%
2-2	0.58%

Sao Paulo
0-1	17.55%
0-2	4.22%
1-2	2.22%
0-3	0.68%
1-3	0.36%

Cuiaba at Botafogo RJ

Internacional at America (MG)

Atletico Mineiro at Sao Paulo