Santos at Gremio

Updated

Santos

23.1%26.2%50.7%
Santos WinDrawGremio Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.49
0Final Score 1

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Santos
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Fortaleza
L 0-3 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 vs Avaí
W 3-2 at Atletico Goianiense
L 2-3 at Flamengo
Gremio
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Atletico Mineiro-195
T 1-1 at Corinthians+210
W 0-3 vs Sao Paulo+135
L 1-3 at Bahia+165
T 2-2 vs Flamengo-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+475+416+380+423-+423+423+449.4
Gremio-170-123-125-130--130-123-116.5
Draw+300+239+240+240-+240+240+257.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos-----+449.4
Gremio------116.5
Draw-----+257.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 20.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2-130o2-128o2-122o1½-214o2-122o2-122o2-111
Underu2¼+102u2+110u2+108u2+102u1½+184u2+102u2+110u2+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-111
Under-----u2+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.06%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 412.55%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.75%
Exactly 320.91%
Exactly 56.03%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 040.17%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.71%
Exactly 35.08%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 022.55%
Exactly 133.59%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 312.42%
Exactly 44.62%
Exactly 51.38%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.89%
Exactly 220.33%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 065.55%
Exactly 127.68%
Exactly 25.85%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 050.18%
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 211.93%
Exactly 32.74%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals7.76%
Wins by 3+ goals1.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals25.61%
Wins by 3+ goals10.17%
Wins by 4+ goals3.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Santos
Gremio
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Santos
Wins by 1 goal15.30%
Wins by 2 goals5.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal24.98%
Wins by 2 goals15.44%
Wins by 3 goals6.93%
Wins by 4 goals2.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.94%9.06%
1.569.19%30.81%
2.543.07%56.93%
3.522.16%77.84%
4.59.61%90.39%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.83%40.17%
1.523.20%76.80%
2.56.49%93.51%
3.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.45%22.55%
1.543.86%56.14%
2.518.85%81.15%
3.56.43%93.57%
4.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.11%32.89%
1.530.53%69.47%
2.510.20%89.80%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Santos
Gremio
Score012345
0
9.06%
13.49%
10.05%
4.99%
1.86%
0.55%
1
8.26%
12.31%
9.16%
4.55%
1.69%
0.50%
2
3.77%
5.61%
4.18%
2.08%
0.77%
0.23%
3
1.15%
1.71%
1.27%
0.63%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.26%
0.39%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
Santos
1-08.26%
2-03.77%
2-15.61%
3-01.15%
3-11.71%
3-21.27%
4-00.26%
4-10.39%
4-20.29%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.06%
1-112.31%
2-24.18%
3-30.63%
Gremio
0-113.49%
0-210.05%
1-29.16%
0-34.99%
1-34.55%
2-32.08%
0-41.86%
1-41.69%
2-40.77%
3-40.23%
0-50.55%
1-50.50%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Santos
Gremio
Score01234
0
32.89%
22.68%
7.82%
1.80%
0.31%
1
13.89%
9.58%
3.30%
0.76%
0.13%
2
2.93%
2.02%
0.70%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.41%
0.28%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Santos
1-013.89%
2-02.93%
2-12.02%
3-00.41%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-032.89%
1-19.58%
2-20.70%
Gremio
0-122.68%
0-27.82%
1-23.30%
0-31.80%
1-30.76%
2-30.16%
0-40.31%
1-40.13%