Fortaleza at Gremio

Updated

Fortaleza

18.4%23.8%57.8%
WinDrawGremio Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.71
0Final Score 0

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Corinthians
W 2-4 vs Fluminense
W 3-0 at Coritiba
T 1-1 vs Internacional
Gremio
Money Line
L 1-4 at Palmeiras
T 3-3 vs Bragantino
W 2-1 at Cuiaba
L 0-1 at Cruzeiro
W 0-1 vs Santos

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+254+311+300+325+328+325+328+346.3
Gremio+120-107-110-116-110-116-107-104.7
Draw+230+258+265+260+255+260+265+278.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+346.3
Gremio------104.7
Draw-----+278.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Gremio: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 10.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½-108o2½-108o2½-111o2½-108o2½-111o2½-108o2½-101
Underu2½-130u2½-108u2½-112u2½-109u2½-107u2½-109u2½-107u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.76%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 413.81%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.83%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.06%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 042.86%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.38%
Exactly 34.34%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 018.10%
Exactly 130.94%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 315.07%
Exactly 46.44%
Exactly 52.20%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.62%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 067.55%
Exactly 126.50%
Exactly 25.20%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 045.32%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.19%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals5.75%
Wins by 3+ goals1.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals32.30%
Wins by 3+ goals14.41%
Wins by 4+ goals5.25%
Wins by 5+ goals1.58%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Gremio
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal12.63%
Wins by 2 goals4.39%
Wins by 3 goals1.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal25.48%
Wins by 2 goals17.90%
Wins by 3 goals9.16%
Wins by 4 goals3.66%
Wins by 5 goals1.19%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.24%7.76%
1.572.41%27.59%
2.547.06%52.94%
3.525.46%74.54%
4.511.65%88.35%
5.54.59%95.41%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.14%42.86%
1.520.83%79.17%
2.55.44%94.56%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.90%18.10%
1.550.97%49.03%
2.524.52%75.48%
3.59.46%90.54%
4.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.38%30.62%
1.533.15%66.85%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Gremio
Score012345
0
7.76%
13.26%
11.33%
6.46%
2.76%
0.94%
1
6.57%
11.23%
9.60%
5.47%
2.34%
0.80%
2
2.78%
4.76%
4.07%
2.32%
0.99%
0.34%
3
0.79%
1.34%
1.15%
0.65%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.17%
0.28%
0.24%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Fortaleza
1-06.57%
2-02.78%
2-14.76%
3-00.79%
3-11.34%
3-21.15%
4-00.17%
4-10.28%
4-20.24%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.76%
1-111.23%
2-24.07%
3-30.65%
Gremio
0-113.26%
0-211.33%
1-29.60%
0-36.46%
1-35.47%
2-32.32%
0-42.76%
1-42.34%
2-40.99%
3-40.28%
0-50.94%
1-50.80%
2-50.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Gremio
Score01234
0
30.62%
24.23%
9.59%
2.53%
0.50%
1
12.01%
9.50%
3.76%
0.99%
0.20%
2
2.36%
1.86%
0.74%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.31%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-012.01%
2-02.36%
2-11.86%
3-00.31%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-030.62%
1-19.50%
2-20.74%
Gremio
0-124.23%
0-29.59%
1-23.76%
0-32.53%
1-30.99%
2-30.19%
0-40.50%
1-40.20%