Gremio at Palmeiras

Updated

Gremio

14.8%21.1%64.0%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.94
1Final Score 4

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Bragantino
W 2-1 at Cuiaba
L 0-1 at Cruzeiro
W 0-1 vs Santos
W 3-4 vs Atletico Mineiro-195
Palmeiras
Money Line
W 5-0 at Goias
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
T 2-2 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba
L 0-3 at Internacional

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+582+694+650+730+786+730+786+771.8
Palmeiras-193-236-220-245-240-245-220-208.7
Draw+326+371+350+355+384+355+384+377.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+771.8
Palmeiras------208.7
Draw-----+377.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-121o2½-140o2¾-101o2¾-112o2½-130o2¾-112o2½-130o2¾-102
Underu2½+103u2½+118u2¾-113u2¾-108u2½+115u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-102
Under-----u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.43%
Exactly 224.21%
Exactly 415.19%
Exactly 63.81%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.65%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 58.34%
Exactly 71.49%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 044.68%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 214.50%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 014.39%
Exactly 127.90%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.47%
Exactly 48.47%
Exactly 53.28%
Exactly 61.06%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.07%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 43.05%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 39.59%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 068.87%
Exactly 125.69%
Exactly 24.79%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 040.76%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.41%
Exactly 34.91%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals4.39%
Wins by 3+ goals0.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals38.84%
Wins by 3+ goals19.10%
Wins by 4+ goals7.73%
Wins by 5+ goals2.60%
Wins by 6+ goals0.71%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Palmeiras
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal10.43%
Wins by 2 goals3.41%
Wins by 3 goals0.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal25.09%
Wins by 2 goals19.73%
Wins by 3 goals11.37%
Wins by 4 goals5.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.89%
Wins by 6 goals0.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.57%6.43%
1.575.92%24.08%
2.551.71%48.29%
3.529.56%70.44%
4.514.37%85.63%
5.56.03%93.97%
6.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.32%44.68%
1.519.32%80.68%
2.54.82%95.18%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.61%14.39%
1.557.70%42.30%
2.530.66%69.34%
3.513.19%86.81%
4.54.73%95.27%
5.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.93%28.07%
1.536.27%63.73%
2.513.61%86.39%
3.54.02%95.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
6.43%
12.47%
12.08%
7.81%
3.78%
1.47%
1
5.18%
10.04%
9.73%
6.29%
3.05%
1.18%
2
2.09%
4.05%
3.92%
2.53%
1.23%
0.48%
3
0.56%
1.09%
1.05%
0.68%
0.33%
0.13%
4
0.11%
0.22%
0.21%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
Gremio
1-05.18%
2-02.09%
2-14.05%
3-00.56%
3-11.09%
3-21.05%
4-00.11%
4-10.22%
4-20.21%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-06.43%
1-110.04%
2-23.92%
3-30.68%
Palmeiras
0-112.47%
0-212.08%
1-29.73%
0-37.81%
1-36.29%
2-32.53%
0-43.78%
1-43.05%
2-41.23%
3-40.33%
0-51.47%
1-51.18%
2-50.48%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
28.07%
25.19%
11.30%
3.38%
0.76%
0.14%
1
10.47%
9.40%
4.22%
1.26%
0.28%
0.05%
2
1.95%
1.75%
0.79%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.22%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-010.47%
2-01.95%
2-11.75%
3-00.24%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-028.07%
1-19.40%
2-20.79%
Palmeiras
0-125.19%
0-211.30%
1-24.22%
0-33.38%
1-31.26%
2-30.24%
0-40.76%
1-40.28%
0-50.14%