Sao Paulo at Fortaleza

Updated

Sao Paulo

33.4%30.6%36.0%
Sao Paulo WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.04
0Final Score 0

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Internacional
T 1-1 at Coritiba
W 0-3 vs America (MG)
L 1-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 4-0 at Goias
Fortaleza
Money Line
T 1-1 at Corinthians
W 2-4 vs Fluminense
W 3-0 at Coritiba
T 1-1 vs Internacional
W 2-0 at Santos

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+256+301+325+325+330+325+330+346.4
Fortaleza+116+101-105-108-103-108+101+102.3
Draw+238+242+240+238+253+238+253+255.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+346.4
Fortaleza-----+102.3
Draw-----+255.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 40.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+111o2½+106o2¼-122o2¼-125o2½+104o2¼-125o2¼-122o2¼-114
Underu2½-131u2½-124u2¼+108u2¼+105u2½-119u2¼+105u2½-119u2¼+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-114
Under-----u2¼+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.5%
 
No59.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.23%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.23%
Exactly 61.26%
 
Exactly 126.76%
Exactly 318.25%
Exactly 53.73%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 037.28%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 035.49%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.04%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.20%
Exactly 217.19%
Exactly 41.26%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 063.33%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 061.90%
Exactly 129.69%
Exactly 27.12%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals12.38%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals13.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal20.97%
Wins by 2 goals8.93%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal22.01%
Wins by 2 goals9.85%
Wins by 3 goals3.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.77%13.23%
1.560.00%40.00%
2.532.94%67.06%
3.514.70%85.30%
4.55.47%94.53%
5.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.72%37.28%
1.525.93%74.07%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.51%35.49%
1.527.74%72.26%
2.58.70%91.30%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.80%39.20%
1.524.09%75.91%
2.56.90%93.10%
3.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
13.23%
13.71%
7.10%
2.45%
0.63%
0.13%
1
13.06%
13.52%
7.00%
2.42%
0.63%
0.13%
2
6.44%
6.67%
3.46%
1.19%
0.31%
0.06%
3
2.12%
2.19%
1.14%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.52%
0.54%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-013.06%
2-06.44%
2-16.67%
3-02.12%
3-12.19%
3-21.14%
4-00.52%
4-10.54%
4-20.28%
Draw
0-013.23%
1-113.52%
2-23.46%
3-30.39%
Fortaleza
0-113.71%
0-27.10%
1-27.00%
0-32.45%
1-32.42%
2-31.19%
0-40.63%
1-40.63%
2-40.31%
3-40.10%
0-50.13%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
Score0123
0
39.20%
18.80%
4.51%
0.72%
1
17.91%
8.59%
2.06%
0.33%
2
4.09%
1.96%
0.47%
0.08%
3
0.62%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-017.91%
2-04.09%
2-11.96%
3-00.62%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-039.20%
1-18.59%
2-20.47%
Fortaleza
0-118.80%
0-24.51%
1-22.06%
0-30.72%
1-30.33%
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