Sao Paulo at Fortaleza

Updated

Sao Paulo

33.4%30.6%36.0%
Sao Paulo WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.04
0Final Score 0

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Internacional
T 1-1 at Coritiba
W 0-3 vs America (MG)
L 1-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 4-0 at Goias
Fortaleza
Money Line
T 1-1 at Corinthians
W 2-4 vs Fluminense
W 3-0 at Coritiba
T 1-1 vs Internacional
W 2-0 at Santos

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+256+301+325+325+330+325+330+346.4
Fortaleza+116+101-105-108-103-108+101+102.3
Draw+238+242+240+238+253+238+253+255.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+346.4
Fortaleza-----+102.3
Draw-----+255.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 40.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+111o2½+106o2¼-122o2¼-125o2½+104o2¼-125o2¼-122o2¼-114
Underu2½-131u2½-124u2¼+108u2¼+105u2½-119u2¼+105u2½-119u2¼+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-114
Under-----u2¼+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.5%
 
No59.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.23%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.23%
Exactly 61.26%
 
Exactly 126.76%
Exactly 318.25%
Exactly 53.73%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 037.28%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 035.49%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.04%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.20%
Exactly 217.19%
Exactly 41.26%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 063.33%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 061.90%
Exactly 129.69%
Exactly 27.12%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals12.38%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals13.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal20.97%
Wins by 2 goals8.93%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal22.01%
Wins by 2 goals9.85%
Wins by 3 goals3.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.77%13.23%
1.560.00%40.00%
2.532.94%67.06%
3.514.70%85.30%
4.55.47%94.53%
5.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.72%37.28%
1.525.93%74.07%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.51%35.49%
1.527.74%72.26%
2.58.70%91.30%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.80%39.20%
1.524.09%75.91%
2.56.90%93.10%
3.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
13.23%
13.71%
7.10%
2.45%
0.63%
0.13%
1
13.06%
13.52%
7.00%
2.42%
0.63%
0.13%
2
6.44%
6.67%
3.46%
1.19%
0.31%
0.06%
3
2.12%
2.19%
1.14%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.52%
0.54%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-013.06%
2-06.44%
2-16.67%
3-02.12%
3-12.19%
3-21.14%
4-00.52%
4-10.54%
4-20.28%
Draw
0-013.23%
1-113.52%
2-23.46%
3-30.39%
Fortaleza
0-113.71%
0-27.10%
1-27.00%
0-32.45%
1-32.42%
2-31.19%
0-40.63%
1-40.63%
2-40.31%
3-40.10%
0-50.13%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
Score0123
0
39.20%
18.80%
4.51%
0.72%
1
17.91%
8.59%
2.06%
0.33%
2
4.09%
1.96%
0.47%
0.08%
3
0.62%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-017.91%
2-04.09%
2-11.96%
3-00.62%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-039.20%
1-18.59%
2-20.47%
Fortaleza
0-118.80%
0-24.51%
1-22.06%
0-30.72%
1-30.33%