Flamengo at Bahia

Updated

Flamengo

60.7%21.7%17.6%
Flamengo WinDrawWin
1.92Projected Goals 0.93
3Final Score 2

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Goias
L 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense
L 3-2 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-2 at Internacional
W 0-3 vs Coritiba
Bahia
Money Line
L 0-3 at Santos
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
W 1-0 at Vasco da Gama
L 2-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-2 at Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+103+136+135+130+138+130+138+141.7
Bahia+282+210+200+215+212+215+215+231.0
Draw+251+239+245+235+249+235+249+252.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-----+141.7
Bahia-----+231.0
Draw-----+252.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 40.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101o2½-112o2½-108o2½-109o2½-107o2½-109o2½-107o2½+101
Underu2½-117u2½-106u2½-112u2½-111u2½-108u2½-111u2½-106u2½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+101
Under-----u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.79%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 415.90%
Exactly 64.30%
Exactly 80.62%
 
Exactly 116.49%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.06%
Exactly 71.75%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 014.61%
Exactly 128.10%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.33%
Exactly 48.33%
Exactly 53.21%
Exactly 61.03%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 039.62%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.98%
Exactly 35.24%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.73%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 310.23%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 041.04%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.28%
Exactly 34.83%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 065.14%
Exactly 127.92%
Exactly 25.98%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals36.17%
Wins by 3+ goals17.51%
Wins by 4+ goals6.99%
Wins by 5+ goals2.32%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals5.76%
Wins by 3+ goals1.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Bahia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals18.66%
Wins by 3 goals10.53%
Wins by 4 goals4.67%
Wins by 5 goals1.70%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal11.77%
Wins by 2 goals4.32%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.21%5.79%
1.577.72%22.28%
2.554.23%45.77%
3.531.91%68.09%
4.516.01%83.99%
5.56.95%93.05%
6.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.39%14.61%
1.557.30%42.70%
2.530.27%69.73%
3.512.94%87.06%
4.54.60%95.40%
5.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.38%39.62%
1.523.70%76.30%
2.56.72%93.28%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.27%26.73%
1.538.00%62.00%
2.514.74%85.26%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Bahia
Score01234
0
5.79%
5.36%
2.48%
0.77%
0.18%
1
11.13%
10.31%
4.77%
1.47%
0.34%
2
10.71%
9.91%
4.59%
1.42%
0.33%
3
6.87%
6.36%
2.94%
0.91%
0.21%
4
3.30%
3.06%
1.42%
0.44%
0.10%
5
1.27%
1.18%
0.54%
0.17%
0.04%
Flamengo
1-011.13%
2-010.71%
2-19.91%
3-06.87%
3-16.36%
3-22.94%
4-03.30%
4-13.06%
4-21.42%
4-30.44%
5-01.27%
5-11.18%
5-20.54%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.79%
1-110.31%
2-24.59%
3-30.91%
4-40.10%
Bahia
0-15.36%
0-22.48%
1-24.77%
0-30.77%
1-31.47%
2-31.42%
0-40.18%
1-40.34%
2-40.33%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Bahia
Score0123
0
26.73%
11.46%
2.46%
0.35%
1
23.81%
10.21%
2.19%
0.31%
2
10.60%
4.55%
0.97%
0.14%
3
3.15%
1.35%
0.29%
0.04%
4
0.70%
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-023.81%
2-010.60%
2-14.55%
3-03.15%
3-11.35%
3-20.29%
4-00.70%
4-10.30%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-026.73%
1-110.21%
2-20.97%
Bahia
0-111.46%
0-22.46%
1-22.19%
0-30.35%
1-30.31%
2-30.14%