America (MG) at Sao Paulo

Updated

America (MG)

17.0%24.5%58.5%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.63
0Final Score 3

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

America (MG)
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 1-2 at Palmeiras
W 4-1 at Bragantino
W 0-1 vs Internacional
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 4-0 at Goias
L 1-0 vs Internacional
L 1-3 at Fluminense
T 2-2 vs Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)+340+337+310+345+356+345+356+367.0
Sao Paulo-115-109-105-115-109-115-105-103.9
Draw+245+245+245+245+239+245+245+262.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)-----+367.0
Sao Paulo------103.9
Draw-----+262.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

America (MG): 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

America (MG): 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

America (MG): 10.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+106o2¼-122o2¼-117o2½+115o2¼-117o2¼-117o2¼-106
Underu2¼-115u2½-126u2¼+102u2¼-103u2½-130u2¼-103u2½-126u2¼+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-106
Under-----u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.28%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 412.35%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.07%
Exactly 320.78%
Exactly 55.87%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 047.39%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.21%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 019.59%
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 314.14%
Exactly 45.76%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.27%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 42.03%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 070.77%
Exactly 124.47%
Exactly 24.23%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 047.01%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.39%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals4.76%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.12%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals32.07%
Wins by 3+ goals13.91%
Wins by 4+ goals4.90%
Wins by 5+ goals1.43%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

America (MG)
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal12.09%
Wins by 2 goals3.80%
Wins by 3 goals0.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.12%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.42%
Wins by 2 goals18.17%
Wins by 3 goals9.01%
Wins by 4 goals3.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.72%9.28%
1.568.65%31.35%
2.542.43%57.57%
3.521.65%78.35%
4.59.30%90.70%
5.53.43%96.57%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.61%47.39%
1.517.22%82.78%
2.54.01%95.99%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.41%19.59%
1.548.48%51.52%
2.522.45%77.55%
3.58.30%91.70%
4.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.73%33.27%
1.530.12%69.88%
2.59.97%90.03%
3.52.58%97.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

America (MG)
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.28%
15.13%
12.34%
6.70%
2.73%
0.89%
1
6.93%
11.30%
9.21%
5.01%
2.04%
0.67%
2
2.59%
4.22%
3.44%
1.87%
0.76%
0.25%
3
0.64%
1.05%
0.86%
0.47%
0.19%
0.06%
4
0.12%
0.20%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
America (MG)
1-06.93%
2-02.59%
2-14.22%
3-00.64%
3-11.05%
3-20.86%
4-00.12%
4-10.20%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-09.28%
1-111.30%
2-23.44%
3-30.47%
Sao Paulo
0-115.13%
0-212.34%
1-29.21%
0-36.70%
1-35.01%
2-31.87%
0-42.73%
1-42.04%
2-40.76%
3-40.19%
0-50.89%
1-50.67%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

America (MG)
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
33.27%
25.11%
9.48%
2.38%
0.45%
1
11.50%
8.68%
3.28%
0.82%
0.16%
2
1.99%
1.50%
0.57%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.23%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
America (MG)
1-011.50%
2-01.99%
2-11.50%
3-00.23%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-033.27%
1-18.68%
2-20.57%
Sao Paulo
0-125.11%
0-29.48%
1-23.28%
0-32.38%
1-30.82%
2-30.14%
0-40.45%
1-40.16%
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