America (MG) at Sao Paulo

Updated

America (MG)

17.0%24.5%58.5%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.63
0Final Score 3

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

America (MG)
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 1-2 at Palmeiras
W 4-1 at Bragantino
W 0-1 vs Internacional
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 4-0 at Goias
L 1-0 vs Internacional
L 1-3 at Fluminense
T 2-2 vs Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)+340+337+310+345+356+345+356+367.0
Sao Paulo-115-109-105-115-109-115-105-103.9
Draw+245+245+245+245+239+245+245+262.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)-----+367.0
Sao Paulo------103.9
Draw-----+262.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

America (MG): 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

America (MG): 10.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+106o2¼-122o2¼-117o2½+115o2¼-117o2¼-117o2¼-106
Underu2¼-115u2½-126u2¼+102u2¼-103u2½-130u2¼-103u2½-126u2¼+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-106
Under-----u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.28%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 412.35%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.07%
Exactly 320.78%
Exactly 55.87%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 047.39%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.21%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 019.59%
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 314.14%
Exactly 45.76%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.27%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 42.03%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 070.77%
Exactly 124.47%
Exactly 24.23%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 047.01%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.39%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals4.76%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.12%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals32.07%
Wins by 3+ goals13.91%
Wins by 4+ goals4.90%
Wins by 5+ goals1.43%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

America (MG)
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal12.09%
Wins by 2 goals3.80%
Wins by 3 goals0.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.12%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.42%
Wins by 2 goals18.17%
Wins by 3 goals9.01%
Wins by 4 goals3.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.72%9.28%
1.568.65%31.35%
2.542.43%57.57%
3.521.65%78.35%
4.59.30%90.70%
5.53.43%96.57%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.61%47.39%
1.517.22%82.78%
2.54.01%95.99%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.41%19.59%
1.548.48%51.52%
2.522.45%77.55%
3.58.30%91.70%
4.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.73%33.27%
1.530.12%69.88%
2.59.97%90.03%
3.52.58%97.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

America (MG)
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.28%
15.13%
12.34%
6.70%
2.73%
0.89%
1
6.93%
11.30%
9.21%
5.01%
2.04%
0.67%
2
2.59%
4.22%
3.44%
1.87%
0.76%
0.25%
3
0.64%
1.05%
0.86%
0.47%
0.19%
0.06%
4
0.12%
0.20%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
America (MG)
1-06.93%
2-02.59%
2-14.22%
3-00.64%
3-11.05%
3-20.86%
4-00.12%
4-10.20%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-09.28%
1-111.30%
2-23.44%
3-30.47%
Sao Paulo
0-115.13%
0-212.34%
1-29.21%
0-36.70%
1-35.01%
2-31.87%
0-42.73%
1-42.04%
2-40.76%
3-40.19%
0-50.89%
1-50.67%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

America (MG)
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
33.27%
25.11%
9.48%
2.38%
0.45%
1
11.50%
8.68%
3.28%
0.82%
0.16%
2
1.99%
1.50%
0.57%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.23%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
America (MG)
1-011.50%
2-01.99%
2-11.50%
3-00.23%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-033.27%
1-18.68%
2-20.57%
Sao Paulo
0-125.11%
0-29.48%
1-23.28%
0-32.38%
1-30.82%
2-30.14%
0-40.45%
1-40.16%