Sao Paulo at Botafogo RJ

Updated

Sao Paulo

35.3%31.3%33.4%
Sao Paulo WinDrawBotafogo RJ Win
1.00Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 2

Botafogo RJ

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 4-0 at Goias
L 1-0 vs Internacional
L 1-3 at Fluminense
T 2-2 vs Atletico Mineiro
W 1-2 vs Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo RJ
Money Line
L 0-3 at Athletico Paranaense
W 0-3 vs Santos
W 2-0 at Atletico Mineiro
L 2-0 vs Cuiaba
W 1-2 vs Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+190+217+210+230+218+230+230+246.2
Botafogo RJ+163+148+150+135+147+135+148+146.5
Draw+217+211+205+212+217+212+217+227.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+246.2
Botafogo RJ-----+146.5
Draw-----+227.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Botafogo RJ: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Botafogo RJ: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Botafogo RJ: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Botafogo RJ ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-136o2-131o2-125o2-122o2-129o2-122o2-122o2-111
Underu2+116u2+111u2+105u2+102u2+114u2+102u2+114u2+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-111
Under-----u2+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.9%
 
No61.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.14%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 48.63%
Exactly 61.10%
 
Exactly 127.66%
Exactly 317.64%
Exactly 53.38%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 036.93%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Botafogo RJ
Exactly 038.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.65%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.43%
Exactly 216.58%
Exactly 41.13%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 35.01%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 063.05%
Exactly 129.08%
Exactly 26.71%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Botafogo RJ
Exactly 064.11%
Exactly 128.50%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals13.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Botafogo RJ
Wins by 2+ goals12.18%
Wins by 3+ goals3.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Botafogo RJ
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal21.98%
Wins by 2 goals9.54%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Botafogo RJ
Wins by 1 goal21.19%
Wins by 2 goals8.86%
Wins by 3 goals2.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.86%14.14%
1.558.20%41.80%
2.531.15%68.85%
3.513.51%86.49%
4.54.88%95.12%
5.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.07%36.93%
1.526.28%73.72%
2.57.96%92.04%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Botafogo RJ Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.71%38.29%
1.524.96%75.04%
2.57.31%92.69%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.57%40.43%
1.522.96%77.04%
2.56.38%93.62%
3.51.37%98.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Botafogo RJ
Score01234
0
14.14%
13.58%
6.52%
2.09%
0.50%
1
14.08%
13.52%
6.49%
2.08%
0.50%
2
7.02%
6.73%
3.23%
1.03%
0.25%
3
2.33%
2.24%
1.07%
0.34%
0.08%
4
0.58%
0.56%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
Sao Paulo
1-014.08%
2-07.02%
2-16.73%
3-02.33%
3-12.24%
3-21.07%
4-00.58%
4-10.56%
4-20.27%
Draw
0-014.14%
1-113.52%
2-23.23%
3-30.34%
Botafogo RJ
0-113.58%
0-26.52%
1-26.49%
0-32.09%
1-32.08%
2-31.03%
0-40.50%
1-40.50%
2-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Botafogo RJ
Score0123
0
40.43%
17.97%
3.99%
0.59%
1
18.64%
8.29%
1.84%
0.27%
2
4.30%
1.91%
0.42%
0.06%
3
0.66%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-018.64%
2-04.30%
2-11.91%
3-00.66%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-040.43%
1-18.29%
2-20.42%
Botafogo RJ
0-117.97%
0-23.99%
1-21.84%
0-30.59%
1-30.27%