Athletico Paranaense at Bragantino

Updated 543 days ago

09:30 PM • May 20, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

27.7%28.9%43.3%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawBragantino Win

0.93Projected Goals 1.24

0Final Score 2

Bragantino

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 2-3	5/14 vs Coritiba
W 2-0	5/10 at Internacional
W 1-2	5/07 vs Flamengo
L 1-2	4/30 at Atletico Mineiro
L 0-2	4/22 at Fluminense

Bragantino		Money Line
T 1-1	5/13 at Palmeiras
T 2-2	5/10 vs America (MG)
T 3-3	5/07 at Gremio
L 3-0	4/29 vs Cruzeiro
T 1-1	4/22 at Cuiaba

Money Line Analysis

:2.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+205	-	+310	+345	+355	+345	+355	+367.4
Bragantino	+135	-	-115	-120	-113	-120	-113	-108.0
Draw	+240	-	+265	+257	+260	+257	+265	+275.0

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+367.4
Bragantino	-	-	-	-	-	-108.0
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+275.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Bragantino: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bragantino: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bragantino: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bragantino: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Bragantino ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+100	-	o2½-102	o2½-105	o2½-104	o2½-105	o2½-102	o2½+104
Under	u2¼-120	-	u2½-118	u2½-115	u2½-111	u2½-115	u2½-111	u2½-104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½+104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.0%


No	57.0%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.44%
Exactly 2	26.89%
Exactly 4	10.54%
Exactly 6	1.65%
Exactly 8	0.14%


Exactly 1	24.80%
Exactly 3	19.43%
Exactly 5	4.57%
Exactly 7	0.51%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	39.47%
Exactly 1	36.69%
Exactly 2	17.05%
Exactly 3	5.28%
Exactly 4	1.23%
Exactly 5	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - Bragantino
Exactly 0	28.97%
Exactly 1	35.89%
Exactly 2	22.23%
Exactly 3	9.18%
Exactly 4	2.84%
Exactly 5	0.70%
Exactly 6	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.64%
Exactly 2	18.47%
Exactly 4	1.55%


Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 3	6.18%
Exactly 5	0.31%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	65.03%
Exactly 1	27.99%
Exactly 2	6.02%
Exactly 3	0.86%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bragantino
Exactly 0	56.35%
Exactly 1	32.32%
Exactly 2	9.27%
Exactly 3	1.77%
Exactly 4	0.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	9.66%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.53%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.50%

Bragantino
Wins by 2+ goals	19.26%
Wins by 3+ goals	6.59%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.79%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Bragantino

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	18.04%
Wins by 2 goals	7.13%
Wins by 3 goals	2.02%
Wins by 4 goals	0.44%

Bragantino
Wins by 1 goal	24.05%
Wins by 2 goals	12.67%
Wins by 3 goals	4.80%
Wins by 4 goals	1.41%
Wins by 5 goals	0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.56%	11.44%
1.5	63.77%	36.23%
2.5	36.88%	63.12%
3.5	17.45%	82.55%
4.5	6.91%	93.09%
5.5	2.34%	97.66%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	60.53%	39.47%
1.5	23.83%	76.17%
2.5	6.78%	93.22%
3.5	1.50%	98.50%

Total Goals Bragantino Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.03%	28.97%
1.5	35.14%	64.86%
2.5	12.91%	87.09%
3.5	3.72%	96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.36%	36.64%
1.5	26.57%	73.43%
2.5	8.10%	91.90%
3.5	1.92%	98.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Bragantino

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.44%	14.17%	8.78%	3.62%	1.12%	0.28%
1	10.63%	13.17%	8.16%	3.37%	1.04%	0.26%
2	4.94%	6.12%	3.79%	1.57%	0.48%	0.12%
3	1.53%	1.90%	1.17%	0.49%	0.15%	0.04%
4	0.36%	0.44%	0.27%	0.11%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.63%
2-0	4.94%
2-1	6.12%
3-0	1.53%
3-1	1.90%
3-2	1.17%
4-0	0.36%
4-1	0.44%
4-2	0.27%
4-3	0.11%

Draw
0-0	11.44%
1-1	13.17%
2-2	3.79%
3-3	0.49%

Bragantino
0-1	14.17%
0-2	8.78%
1-2	8.16%
0-3	3.62%
1-3	3.37%
2-3	1.57%
0-4	1.12%
1-4	1.04%
2-4	0.48%
3-4	0.15%
0-5	0.28%
1-5	0.26%
2-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Bragantino

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	36.64%	21.02%	6.03%	1.15%	0.17%
1	15.77%	9.05%	2.59%	0.50%	0.07%
2	3.39%	1.95%	0.56%	0.11%	0.02%
3	0.49%	0.28%	0.08%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.77%
2-0	3.39%
2-1	1.95%
3-0	0.49%
3-1	0.28%

Draw
0-0	36.64%
1-1	9.05%
2-2	0.56%

Bragantino
0-1	21.02%
0-2	6.03%
1-2	2.59%
0-3	1.15%
1-3	0.50%
2-3	0.11%
0-4	0.17%

Goias at Bahia

Fortaleza at America (MG)

Athletico Paranaense at Bragantino