Goias at Bahia

Updated

Goias

19.9%23.6%56.5%
WinDrawBahia Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.74
1Final Score 1

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Goias
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-2 at Flamengo
L 5-0 vs Palmeiras
L 0-1 at Internacional
W 1-3 vs Corinthians
Bahia
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Flamengo
L 0-3 at Santos
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
W 1-0 at Vasco da Gama
L 2-1 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Goias+374+417+390+430+462+430+462+456.7
Bahia-126-136-140-143-140-143-136-127.4
Draw+269+270+280+266+273+266+280+284.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Goias-----+456.7
Bahia------127.4
Draw-----+284.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Goias: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Goias: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Goias: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Goias: 20.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Goias ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+103o2¼-122o2½+101o2½+104o2½+101o2¼-122o2½+110
Underu2½-120u2½-121u2¼+102u2½-121u2½-119u2½-121u2½-119u2½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+110
Under-----u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.97%
Exactly 224.73%
Exactly 414.61%
Exactly 63.45%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.57%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.78%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Goias
Exactly 039.59%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 217.00%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 017.61%
Exactly 130.59%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 315.37%
Exactly 46.67%
Exactly 52.32%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.14%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 39.10%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Goias
Exactly 065.12%
Exactly 127.94%
Exactly 25.99%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 044.76%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 214.46%
Exactly 33.88%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Goias
Wins by 2+ goals6.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals31.58%
Wins by 3+ goals14.16%
Wins by 4+ goals5.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.58%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Goias
Bahia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Goias
Wins by 1 goal13.26%
Wins by 2 goals4.96%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal24.84%
Wins by 2 goals17.42%
Wins by 3 goals8.96%
Wins by 4 goals3.61%
Wins by 5 goals1.19%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.03%6.97%
1.574.45%25.55%
2.549.73%50.27%
3.527.78%72.22%
4.513.16%86.84%
5.55.38%94.62%
6.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Goias Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.41%39.59%
1.523.73%76.27%
2.56.73%93.27%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.39%17.61%
1.551.80%48.20%
2.525.24%74.76%
3.59.87%90.13%
4.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.86%29.14%
1.534.93%65.07%
2.512.77%87.23%
3.53.67%96.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Goias
Bahia
Score012345
0
6.97%
12.11%
10.51%
6.09%
2.64%
0.92%
1
6.46%
11.22%
9.74%
5.64%
2.45%
0.85%
2
2.99%
5.20%
4.51%
2.61%
1.13%
0.39%
3
0.92%
1.61%
1.39%
0.81%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.21%
0.37%
0.32%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Goias
1-06.46%
2-02.99%
2-15.20%
3-00.92%
3-11.61%
3-21.39%
4-00.21%
4-10.37%
4-20.32%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.97%
1-111.22%
2-24.51%
3-30.81%
Bahia
0-112.11%
0-210.51%
1-29.74%
0-36.09%
1-35.64%
2-32.61%
0-42.64%
1-42.45%
2-41.13%
3-40.35%
0-50.92%
1-50.85%
2-50.39%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Goias
Bahia
Score01234
0
29.14%
23.43%
9.42%
2.52%
0.51%
1
12.50%
10.05%
4.04%
1.08%
0.22%
2
2.68%
2.16%
0.87%
0.23%
0.05%
3
0.38%
0.31%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Goias
1-012.50%
2-02.68%
2-12.16%
3-00.38%
3-10.31%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.14%
1-110.05%
2-20.87%
Bahia
0-123.43%
0-29.42%
1-24.04%
0-32.52%
1-31.08%
2-30.23%
0-40.51%
1-40.22%
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