Fortaleza at America (MG)

Updated

Fortaleza

31.3%30.1%38.6%
Fortaleza WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.11
1Final Score 2

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
T 0-0 at Gremio
T 0-0 vs Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Corinthians
W 2-4 vs Fluminense
W 3-0 at Coritiba
America (MG)
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Cruzeiro
T 2-2 at Bragantino
L 2-1 vs Cuiaba
L 2-3 at Santos
L 0-3 at Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+166+197+145+150+146+150+197+162.6
America (MG)+161+143+185+180+202+180+202+194.1
Draw+254+243+245+241+245+241+245+258.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+162.6
America (MG)-----+194.1
Draw-----+258.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
America (MG): 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-119o2½-110o2½-110o2½-115o2½-111o2½-115o2½-110o2½-104
Underu2½+101u2½-106u2½-110u2½-105u2½-104u2½-105u2½-104u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.53%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.72%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 126.02%
Exactly 318.71%
Exactly 54.04%
Exactly 70.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 037.99%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 032.98%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.29%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.22%
Exactly 217.68%
Exactly 41.36%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 063.89%
Exactly 128.63%
Exactly 26.41%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 059.83%
Exactly 130.73%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals11.37%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals15.70%
Wins by 3+ goals4.83%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
America (MG)
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal19.91%
Wins by 2 goals8.27%
Wins by 3 goals2.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal22.82%
Wins by 2 goals10.87%
Wins by 3 goals3.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.47%12.53%
1.561.45%38.55%
2.534.42%65.58%
3.515.71%84.29%
4.55.99%94.01%
5.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.01%37.99%
1.525.24%74.76%
2.57.45%92.55%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.02%32.98%
1.530.44%69.56%
2.510.15%89.85%
3.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.78%38.22%
1.525.02%74.98%
2.57.34%92.66%
3.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
America (MG)
Score012345
0
12.53%
13.90%
7.71%
2.85%
0.79%
0.18%
1
12.12%
13.45%
7.46%
2.76%
0.77%
0.17%
2
5.87%
6.51%
3.61%
1.34%
0.37%
0.08%
3
1.89%
2.10%
1.16%
0.43%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.46%
0.51%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-012.12%
2-05.87%
2-16.51%
3-01.89%
3-12.10%
3-21.16%
4-00.46%
4-10.51%
4-20.28%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-012.53%
1-113.45%
2-23.61%
3-30.43%
America (MG)
0-113.90%
0-27.71%
1-27.46%
0-32.85%
1-32.76%
2-31.34%
0-40.79%
1-40.77%
2-40.37%
3-40.12%
0-50.18%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
America (MG)
Score01234
0
38.22%
19.63%
5.04%
0.86%
0.11%
1
17.13%
8.80%
2.26%
0.39%
0.05%
2
3.84%
1.97%
0.51%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.57%
0.29%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-017.13%
2-03.84%
2-11.97%
3-00.57%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-038.22%
1-18.80%
2-20.51%
America (MG)
0-119.63%
0-25.04%
1-22.26%
0-30.86%
1-30.39%
0-40.11%
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