Coritiba at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Coritiba

12.6%22.2%65.2%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.63Projected Goals 1.79
2Final Score 3

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Coritiba
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Vasco da Gama
L 1-3 at Bahia
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo
L 3-0 vs Fortaleza
L 0-3 at Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 2-0 at Internacional
W 1-2 vs Flamengo
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
L 0-2 at Fluminense
W 0-2 vs Goias

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Coritiba+460-+500+500+554+500+554+530.1
Athletico Paranaense-150--165-160-160-160-160-141.5
Draw+275-+280+273+275+273+280+291.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Coritiba-----+530.1
Athletico Paranaense------141.5
Draw-----+291.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Coritiba: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Coritiba: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Coritiba: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Coritiba ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125-o2¼+102o2¼-102o2-136o2¼-102o2-136o2¼+107
Underu2¼+105-u2¼-122u2¼-118u2+121u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+107
Under-----u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.1%
 
No60.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.89%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 412.71%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.51%
Exactly 321.01%
Exactly 56.15%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Coritiba
Exactly 053.10%
Exactly 133.61%
Exactly 210.64%
Exactly 32.24%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 016.74%
Exactly 129.92%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 315.93%
Exactly 47.12%
Exactly 52.55%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.60%
Exactly 220.48%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Coritiba
Exactly 074.60%
Exactly 121.86%
Exactly 23.20%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 043.71%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 214.97%
Exactly 34.13%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Coritiba
Wins by 2+ goals3.09%
Wins by 3+ goals0.54%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals38.43%
Wins by 3+ goals18.06%
Wins by 4+ goals6.92%
Wins by 5+ goals2.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.57%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Coritiba
Athletico Paranaense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Coritiba
Wins by 1 goal9.47%
Wins by 2 goals2.55%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.74%
Wins by 2 goals20.37%
Wins by 3 goals11.14%
Wins by 4 goals4.72%
Wins by 5 goals1.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.11%8.89%
1.569.60%30.40%
2.543.56%56.44%
3.522.56%77.44%
4.59.85%90.15%
5.53.69%96.31%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Coritiba Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.90%53.10%
1.513.29%86.71%
2.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.26%16.74%
1.553.34%46.66%
2.526.60%73.40%
3.510.67%89.33%
4.53.55%96.45%
5.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.40%32.60%
1.530.85%69.15%
2.510.38%89.62%
3.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Coritiba
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
8.89%
15.89%
14.20%
8.46%
3.78%
1.35%
1
5.63%
10.06%
8.99%
5.36%
2.39%
0.86%
2
1.78%
3.18%
2.84%
1.70%
0.76%
0.27%
3
0.38%
0.67%
0.60%
0.36%
0.16%
0.06%
Coritiba
1-05.63%
2-01.78%
2-13.18%
3-00.38%
3-10.67%
3-20.60%
Draw
0-08.89%
1-110.06%
2-22.84%
3-30.36%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.89%
0-214.20%
1-28.99%
0-38.46%
1-35.36%
2-31.70%
0-43.78%
1-42.39%
2-40.76%
3-40.16%
0-51.35%
1-50.86%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Coritiba
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
32.60%
26.98%
11.17%
3.08%
0.64%
0.11%
1
9.56%
7.91%
3.27%
0.90%
0.19%
0.03%
2
1.40%
1.16%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
3
0.14%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Coritiba
1-09.56%
2-01.40%
2-11.16%
3-00.14%
3-10.11%
Draw
0-032.60%
1-17.91%
2-20.48%
Athletico Paranaense
0-126.98%
0-211.17%
1-23.27%
0-33.08%
1-30.90%
2-30.13%
0-40.64%
1-40.19%
0-50.11%