Athletico Paranaense at America (MG)

Updated 521 days ago

02:00 PM • Jun 11, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

33.1%31.5%35.4%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win

0.94Projected Goals 0.99

2Final Score 2

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	6/03 vs Botafogo RJ
L 2-1	5/27 vs Gremio
L 0-2	5/20 at Bragantino
W 2-3	5/14 vs Coritiba
W 2-0	5/10 at Internacional

America (MG)		Money Line
W 0-2	6/03 vs Corinthians
L 0-2	5/28 at Botafogo RJ
W 1-2	5/20 vs Fortaleza
L 4-0	5/14 vs Cruzeiro
T 2-2	5/10 at Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

:0.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+175	-	+190	+190	+226	+190	+226	+204.4
America (MG)	+160	-	+155	+155	+131	+155	+155	+167.6
Draw	+235	-	+225	+220	+231	+220	+231	+235.8

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+204.4
America (MG)	-	-	-	-	-	+167.6
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+235.8

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active

Athletico Paranaense: 90.0%

Bet Value Inactive

America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

America (MG): 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 70.0%

America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.7%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-112	-	o2¼-115	o2¼-114	o2¼-113	o2¼-114	o2¼-113	o2¼-104
Under	u2¼-108	-	u2¼-105	u2¼-106	u2¼-103	u2¼-106	u2¼-103	u2¼+104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	38.3%


No	61.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	14.49%
Exactly 2	27.03%
Exactly 4	8.41%
Exactly 6	1.05%


Exactly 1	27.99%
Exactly 3	17.41%
Exactly 5	3.25%
Exactly 7	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	38.92%
Exactly 1	36.73%
Exactly 2	17.33%
Exactly 3	5.45%
Exactly 4	1.29%
Exactly 5	0.24%

Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 0	37.23%
Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 2	18.17%
Exactly 3	5.99%
Exactly 4	1.48%
Exactly 5	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	40.89%
Exactly 2	16.35%
Exactly 4	1.09%


Exactly 1	36.57%
Exactly 3	4.87%
Exactly 5	0.19%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	64.61%
Exactly 1	28.22%
Exactly 2	6.17%
Exactly 3	0.90%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 0	63.29%
Exactly 1	28.95%
Exactly 2	6.62%
Exactly 3	1.01%
Exactly 4	0.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	11.91%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.20%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.66%

America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals	13.26%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.72%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

America (MG)

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	21.12%
Wins by 2 goals	8.70%
Wins by 3 goals	2.55%
Wins by 4 goals	0.57%

America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal	22.11%
Wins by 2 goals	9.54%
Wins by 3 goals	2.92%
Wins by 4 goals	0.68%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	85.51%	14.49%
1.5	57.52%	42.48%
2.5	30.48%	69.52%
3.5	13.08%	86.92%
4.5	4.67%	95.33%
5.5	1.42%	98.58%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.08%	38.92%
1.5	24.35%	75.65%
2.5	7.02%	92.98%
3.5	1.57%	98.43%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.77%	37.23%
1.5	25.99%	74.01%
2.5	7.81%	92.19%
3.5	1.83%	98.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.11%	40.89%
1.5	22.55%	77.45%
2.5	6.19%	93.81%
3.5	1.32%	98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

America (MG)

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.49%	14.32%	7.07%	2.33%	0.58%
1	13.67%	13.51%	6.67%	2.20%	0.54%
2	6.45%	6.37%	3.15%	1.04%	0.26%
3	2.03%	2.00%	0.99%	0.33%	0.08%
4	0.48%	0.47%	0.23%	0.08%	0.02%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	13.67%
2-0	6.45%
2-1	6.37%
3-0	2.03%
3-1	2.00%
3-2	0.99%
4-0	0.48%
4-1	0.47%
4-2	0.23%

Draw
0-0	14.49%
1-1	13.51%
2-2	3.15%
3-3	0.33%

America (MG)
0-1	14.32%
0-2	7.07%
1-2	6.67%
0-3	2.33%
1-3	2.20%
2-3	1.04%
0-4	0.58%
1-4	0.54%
2-4	0.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

America (MG)

Score	0	1	2	3
0	40.89%	18.71%	4.28%	0.65%
1	17.86%	8.17%	1.87%	0.29%
2	3.90%	1.78%	0.41%	0.06%
3	0.57%	0.26%	0.06%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	17.86%
2-0	3.90%
2-1	1.78%
3-0	0.57%
3-1	0.26%

Draw
0-0	40.89%
1-1	8.17%
2-2	0.41%

America (MG)
0-1	18.71%
0-2	4.28%
1-2	1.87%
0-3	0.65%
1-3	0.29%

Fortaleza at Botafogo RJ

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Athletico Paranaense at America (MG)