Athletico Paranaense at America (MG)

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

33.1%31.5%35.4%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
0.94Projected Goals 0.99
2Final Score 2

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 2-1 vs Gremio
L 0-2 at Bragantino
W 2-3 vs Coritiba
W 2-0 at Internacional
America (MG)
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Corinthians
L 0-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 1-2 vs Fortaleza
L 4-0 vs Cruzeiro
T 2-2 at Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+175-+190+190+226+190+226+204.4
America (MG)+160-+155+155+131+155+155+167.6
Draw+235-+225+220+231+220+231+235.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense-----+204.4
America (MG)-----+167.6
Draw-----+235.8

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Athletico Paranaense: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 70.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112-o2¼-115o2¼-114o2¼-113o2¼-114o2¼-113o2¼-104
Underu2¼-108-u2¼-105u2¼-106u2¼-103u2¼-106u2¼-103u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.3%
 
No61.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.49%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 48.41%
Exactly 61.05%
 
Exactly 127.99%
Exactly 317.41%
Exactly 53.25%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 038.92%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.33%
Exactly 35.45%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 037.23%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 35.99%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.89%
Exactly 216.35%
Exactly 41.09%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 064.61%
Exactly 128.22%
Exactly 26.17%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 063.29%
Exactly 128.95%
Exactly 26.62%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals11.91%
Wins by 3+ goals3.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals13.26%
Wins by 3+ goals3.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
America (MG)
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal21.12%
Wins by 2 goals8.70%
Wins by 3 goals2.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal22.11%
Wins by 2 goals9.54%
Wins by 3 goals2.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.51%14.49%
1.557.52%42.48%
2.530.48%69.52%
3.513.08%86.92%
4.54.67%95.33%
5.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.08%38.92%
1.524.35%75.65%
2.57.02%92.98%
3.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.77%37.23%
1.525.99%74.01%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.11%40.89%
1.522.55%77.45%
2.56.19%93.81%
3.51.32%98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
America (MG)
Score01234
0
14.49%
14.32%
7.07%
2.33%
0.58%
1
13.67%
13.51%
6.67%
2.20%
0.54%
2
6.45%
6.37%
3.15%
1.04%
0.26%
3
2.03%
2.00%
0.99%
0.33%
0.08%
4
0.48%
0.47%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Athletico Paranaense
1-013.67%
2-06.45%
2-16.37%
3-02.03%
3-12.00%
3-20.99%
4-00.48%
4-10.47%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-014.49%
1-113.51%
2-23.15%
3-30.33%
America (MG)
0-114.32%
0-27.07%
1-26.67%
0-32.33%
1-32.20%
2-31.04%
0-40.58%
1-40.54%
2-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
America (MG)
Score0123
0
40.89%
18.71%
4.28%
0.65%
1
17.86%
8.17%
1.87%
0.29%
2
3.90%
1.78%
0.41%
0.06%
3
0.57%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-017.86%
2-03.90%
2-11.78%
3-00.57%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-040.89%
1-18.17%
2-20.41%
America (MG)
0-118.71%
0-24.28%
1-21.87%
0-30.65%
1-30.29%