Palmeiras at Sao Paulo

Updated

Palmeiras

34.5%30.3%35.2%
Palmeiras WinDrawSao Paulo Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.04
2Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro
T 0-0 at Santos
T 1-1 vs Bragantino
W 1-4 vs Gremio
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Gremio
W 1-2 vs Goias
W 2-4 vs Vasco da Gama
T 1-1 at Corinthians
T 0-0 at Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+116+140+125+137+128+137+140+148.6
Sao Paulo+267+211+215+213+217+213+217+228.4
Draw+229+231+240+225+235+225+240+241.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-----+148.6
Sao Paulo-----+228.4
Draw-----+241.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+122o2½+115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-121o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2½-144u2½-135u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-101u2¼-105u2½-135u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.4%
 
No58.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.74%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 49.57%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.25%
Exactly 318.57%
Exactly 53.94%
Exactly 70.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 035.91%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.83%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 035.48%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.52%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 41.33%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 35.57%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 062.24%
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 061.89%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 27.12%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals13.16%
Wins by 3+ goals3.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals13.53%
Wins by 3+ goals3.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal21.31%
Wins by 2 goals9.38%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal21.56%
Wins by 2 goals9.61%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.26%12.74%
1.561.01%38.99%
2.533.97%66.03%
3.515.39%84.61%
4.55.83%94.17%
5.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.09%35.91%
1.527.31%72.69%
2.58.48%91.52%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.52%35.48%
1.527.76%72.24%
2.58.71%91.29%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.48%38.52%
1.524.73%75.27%
2.57.20%92.80%
3.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
12.74%
13.20%
6.84%
2.36%
0.61%
0.13%
1
13.05%
13.52%
7.01%
2.42%
0.63%
0.13%
2
6.68%
6.92%
3.59%
1.24%
0.32%
0.07%
3
2.28%
2.36%
1.22%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.58%
0.61%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-013.05%
2-06.68%
2-16.92%
3-02.28%
3-12.36%
3-21.22%
4-00.58%
4-10.61%
4-20.31%
4-30.11%
5-00.12%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-012.74%
1-113.52%
2-23.59%
3-30.42%
Sao Paulo
0-113.20%
0-26.84%
1-27.01%
0-32.36%
1-32.42%
2-31.24%
0-40.61%
1-40.63%
2-40.32%
3-40.11%
0-50.13%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Score0123
0
38.52%
18.48%
4.43%
0.71%
1
18.26%
8.76%
2.10%
0.34%
2
4.33%
2.08%
0.50%
0.08%
3
0.68%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-018.26%
2-04.33%
2-12.08%
3-00.68%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-038.52%
1-18.76%
2-20.50%
Sao Paulo
0-118.48%
0-24.43%
1-22.10%
0-30.71%
1-30.34%
Athletico Paranaense at America (MG)
Vasco da Gama at Internacional