Palmeiras at Sao Paulo

Updated

Palmeiras

34.5%30.3%35.2%
Palmeiras WinDrawSao Paulo Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.04
2Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro
T 0-0 at Santos
T 1-1 vs Bragantino
W 1-4 vs Gremio
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Gremio
W 1-2 vs Goias
W 2-4 vs Vasco da Gama
T 1-1 at Corinthians
T 0-0 at Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+116+140+125+137+128+137+140+148.6
Sao Paulo+267+211+215+213+217+213+217+228.4
Draw+229+231+240+225+235+225+240+241.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-----+148.6
Sao Paulo-----+228.4
Draw-----+241.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+122o2½+115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-121o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2½-144u2½-135u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-101u2¼-105u2½-135u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.4%
 
No58.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.74%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 49.57%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.25%
Exactly 318.57%
Exactly 53.94%
Exactly 70.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 035.91%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.83%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 035.48%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.52%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 41.33%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 35.57%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 062.24%
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 061.89%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 27.12%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals13.16%
Wins by 3+ goals3.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals13.53%
Wins by 3+ goals3.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal21.31%
Wins by 2 goals9.38%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal21.56%
Wins by 2 goals9.61%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.26%12.74%
1.561.01%38.99%
2.533.97%66.03%
3.515.39%84.61%
4.55.83%94.17%
5.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.09%35.91%
1.527.31%72.69%
2.58.48%91.52%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.52%35.48%
1.527.76%72.24%
2.58.71%91.29%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.48%38.52%
1.524.73%75.27%
2.57.20%92.80%
3.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
12.74%
13.20%
6.84%
2.36%
0.61%
0.13%
1
13.05%
13.52%
7.01%
2.42%
0.63%
0.13%
2
6.68%
6.92%
3.59%
1.24%
0.32%
0.07%
3
2.28%
2.36%
1.22%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.58%
0.61%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-013.05%
2-06.68%
2-16.92%
3-02.28%
3-12.36%
3-21.22%
4-00.58%
4-10.61%
4-20.31%
4-30.11%
5-00.12%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-012.74%
1-113.52%
2-23.59%
3-30.42%
Sao Paulo
0-113.20%
0-26.84%
1-27.01%
0-32.36%
1-32.42%
2-31.24%
0-40.61%
1-40.63%
2-40.32%
3-40.11%
0-50.13%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Score0123
0
38.52%
18.48%
4.43%
0.71%
1
18.26%
8.76%
2.10%
0.34%
2
4.33%
2.08%
0.50%
0.08%
3
0.68%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-018.26%
2-04.33%
2-12.08%
3-00.68%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-038.52%
1-18.76%
2-20.50%
Sao Paulo
0-118.48%
0-24.43%
1-22.10%
0-30.71%
1-30.34%