Criciuma at Sao Paulo

Updated

Criciuma

11.8%20.5%67.7%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.65Projected Goals 1.94
1Final Score 2

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Criciuma
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Botafogo RJ
W 2-1 at Atletico Goianiense
T 2-2 vs Bahia
L 1-3 at Athletico Paranaense
L 5-2 vs Cuiaba
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-4 at Vasco da Gama
L 1-0 vs Cuiaba
T 2-2 at Corinthians
T 0-0 at Internacional
W 0-2 vs Cruzeiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Criciuma+642+538-+550+546+550+550+582.5
Sao Paulo-205-177--190-191-190-177-165.9
Draw+330+309-+315+316+315+316+335.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Criciuma-----+582.5
Sao Paulo------165.9
Draw-----+335.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Criciuma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Criciuma: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Criciuma: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Criciuma ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-104-o2¼-125o2½+101o2¼-125o2¼-125o2¼-114
Underu2½-116u2½-114-u2¼+105u2½-123u2¼+105u2½-114u2¼+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-114
Under-----u2¼+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.2%
 
No58.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.48%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 414.09%
Exactly 63.16%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.40%
Exactly 321.73%
Exactly 57.31%
Exactly 71.17%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Criciuma
Exactly 051.83%
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 211.19%
Exactly 32.45%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 014.43%
Exactly 127.94%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.44%
Exactly 48.44%
Exactly 53.27%
Exactly 61.05%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.11%
Exactly 221.69%
Exactly 42.61%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 38.68%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Criciuma
Exactly 073.76%
Exactly 122.45%
Exactly 23.42%
Exactly 30.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 040.81%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.39%
Exactly 34.90%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Criciuma
Wins by 2+ goals2.93%
Wins by 3+ goals0.52%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals41.79%
Wins by 3+ goals20.81%
Wins by 4+ goals8.50%
Wins by 5+ goals2.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.80%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Criciuma
Sao Paulo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Criciuma
Wins by 1 goal8.78%
Wins by 2 goals2.41%
Wins by 3 goals0.47%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal25.86%
Wins by 2 goals20.99%
Wins by 3 goals12.31%
Wins by 4 goals5.61%
Wins by 5 goals2.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.65%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.52%7.48%
1.573.12%26.88%
2.547.98%52.02%
3.526.24%73.76%
4.512.16%87.84%
5.54.85%95.15%
6.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Criciuma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.17%51.83%
1.514.11%85.89%
2.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.57%14.43%
1.557.63%42.37%
2.530.59%69.41%
3.513.14%86.86%
4.54.70%95.30%
5.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.89%30.11%
1.533.75%66.25%
2.512.06%87.94%
3.53.38%96.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Criciuma
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
7.48%
14.48%
14.01%
9.04%
4.38%
1.69%
1
4.92%
9.52%
9.21%
5.94%
2.88%
1.11%
2
1.62%
3.13%
3.03%
1.95%
0.94%
0.37%
3
0.35%
0.69%
0.66%
0.43%
0.21%
0.08%
Criciuma
1-04.92%
2-01.62%
2-13.13%
3-00.35%
3-10.69%
3-20.66%
Draw
0-07.48%
1-19.52%
2-23.03%
3-30.43%
Sao Paulo
0-114.48%
0-214.01%
1-29.21%
0-39.04%
1-35.94%
2-31.95%
0-44.38%
1-42.88%
2-40.94%
3-40.21%
0-51.69%
1-51.11%
2-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Criciuma
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
30.11%
26.98%
12.09%
3.61%
0.81%
0.15%
1
9.16%
8.21%
3.68%
1.10%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.39%
1.25%
0.56%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Criciuma
1-09.16%
2-01.39%
2-11.25%
3-00.14%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-030.11%
1-18.21%
2-20.56%
Sao Paulo
0-126.98%
0-212.09%
1-23.68%
0-33.61%
1-31.10%
2-30.17%
0-40.81%
1-40.25%
0-50.15%