Bahia at Chapecoense

Updated

Bahia

33.5%30.4%36.0%
Bahia WinDrawChapecoense Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.06
2Final Score 0

Chapecoense

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
L 4-3 vs America (MG)+115
L 2-3 at Palmeiras+525
W 1-2 vs Athletico Paranaense+165
T 0-0 vs Corinthians+135
W 2-1 at Ceara+200
Chapecoense
Money Line
L 2-3 at Fortaleza+600
T 2-2 at Athletico Paranaense+700
L 2-1 vs Internacional+340
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro+950
T 1-1 at Sao Paulo+770

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+135+127+135+129+129+129+135-
Chapecoense+235+216+215+198+217+198+217-
Draw+210+225+225+225+225+225+225-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+125----+130+130-
Chapecoense+230----+225+225-
Draw+225----+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-105o2½+101o2½+105o2½+108-o2½+108o2½+108-
Underu2-115u2½-128u2½-125u2½-128-u2½-128u2½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.9%
 
No59.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.98%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.40%
Exactly 61.31%
 
Exactly 126.50%
Exactly 318.41%
Exactly 53.84%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 037.39%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.09%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 034.71%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.43%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.85%
Exactly 217.36%
Exactly 41.29%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 35.47%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 063.42%
Exactly 128.88%
Exactly 26.58%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 061.27%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 27.35%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals12.12%
Wins by 3+ goals3.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals14.40%
Wins by 3+ goals4.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Chapecoense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal20.67%
Wins by 2 goals8.76%
Wins by 3 goals2.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal22.23%
Wins by 2 goals10.14%
Wins by 3 goals3.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.02%12.98%
1.560.52%39.48%
2.533.47%66.53%
3.515.05%84.95%
4.55.65%94.35%
5.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.61%37.39%
1.525.82%74.18%
2.57.73%92.27%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.29%34.71%
1.528.56%71.44%
2.59.13%90.87%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.15%38.85%
1.524.42%75.58%
2.57.05%92.95%
3.51.58%98.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Chapecoense
Score012345
0
12.98%
13.73%
7.27%
2.56%
0.68%
0.14%
1
12.77%
13.51%
7.15%
2.52%
0.67%
0.14%
2
6.28%
6.64%
3.52%
1.24%
0.33%
0.07%
3
2.06%
2.18%
1.15%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.51%
0.54%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Bahia
1-012.77%
2-06.28%
2-16.64%
3-02.06%
3-12.18%
3-21.15%
4-00.51%
4-10.54%
4-20.28%
Draw
0-012.98%
1-113.51%
2-23.52%
3-30.41%
Chapecoense
0-113.73%
0-27.27%
1-27.15%
0-32.56%
1-32.52%
2-31.24%
0-40.68%
1-40.67%
2-40.33%
3-40.11%
0-50.14%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Chapecoense
Score0123
0
38.85%
19.04%
4.66%
0.76%
1
17.70%
8.67%
2.12%
0.35%
2
4.03%
1.97%
0.48%
0.08%
3
0.61%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
Bahia
1-017.70%
2-04.03%
2-11.97%
3-00.61%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-038.85%
1-18.67%
2-20.48%
Chapecoense
0-119.04%
0-24.66%
1-22.12%
0-30.76%
1-30.35%