Chapecoense at Ceara

Updated

Chapecoense

25.4%26.4%48.2%
Chapecoense WinDrawCeara Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.48
0Final Score 1

Ceara

Last 5 Games

Chapecoense
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Palmeiras+475
W 2-1 at Bragantino+510
L 2-1 vs Fluminense+330
T 0-0 at Sport Recife+350
T 1-1 at Atletico Goianiense+375
Ceara
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Santos+130
L 0-2 at Gremio+285
L 0-2 at America (MG)+220
T 1-1 vs Flamengo+325
L 1-3 at Corinthians+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+375+390+310+419+371+310+419+437.6
Ceara-123-120-120-122-128-120-120-113.9
Draw+236+240+245+241+249+245+249+255.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+450----+445+445+437.6
Ceara-150-----140-140-113.9
Draw+275----+250+250+255.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 30.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Ceara ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 30.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 20.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Ceara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-118o2¼+102o2¼-105o2¼+101-o2¼-105o2¼+102o2¼+107
Underu2-102u2¼-122u2¼-115u2¼-116-u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+107
Under-----u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.40%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 411.37%
Exactly 61.94%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.54%
Exactly 320.10%
Exactly 55.15%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 045.78%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 213.98%
Exactly 33.64%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 022.72%
Exactly 133.67%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 312.32%
Exactly 44.57%
Exactly 51.35%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.07%
Exactly 219.25%
Exactly 41.76%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.73%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 069.64%
Exactly 125.20%
Exactly 24.56%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 050.35%
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 211.85%
Exactly 32.71%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals5.91%
Wins by 3+ goals1.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals27.51%
Wins by 3+ goals10.99%
Wins by 4+ goals3.51%
Wins by 5+ goals0.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Chapecoense
Ceara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal13.83%
Wins by 2 goals4.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal26.23%
Wins by 2 goals16.52%
Wins by 3 goals7.48%
Wins by 4 goals2.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.60%10.40%
1.566.06%33.94%
2.539.42%60.58%
3.519.32%80.68%
4.57.95%92.05%
5.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.22%45.78%
1.518.45%81.55%
2.54.48%95.52%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.28%22.72%
1.543.61%56.39%
2.518.66%81.34%
3.56.34%93.66%
4.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.93%35.07%
1.528.19%71.81%
2.58.93%91.07%
3.52.21%97.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chapecoense
Ceara
Score012345
0
10.40%
15.41%
11.42%
5.64%
2.09%
0.62%
1
8.13%
12.04%
8.92%
4.41%
1.63%
0.48%
2
3.18%
4.71%
3.49%
1.72%
0.64%
0.19%
3
0.83%
1.23%
0.91%
0.45%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.16%
0.24%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Chapecoense
1-08.13%
2-03.18%
2-14.71%
3-00.83%
3-11.23%
3-20.91%
4-00.16%
4-10.24%
4-20.18%
Draw
0-010.40%
1-112.04%
2-23.49%
3-30.45%
Ceara
0-115.41%
0-211.42%
1-28.92%
0-35.64%
1-34.41%
2-31.72%
0-42.09%
1-41.63%
2-40.64%
3-40.17%
0-50.62%
1-50.48%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Chapecoense
Ceara
Score01234
0
35.07%
24.06%
8.25%
1.89%
0.32%
1
12.69%
8.70%
2.99%
0.68%
0.12%
2
2.30%
1.57%
0.54%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.28%
0.19%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Chapecoense
1-012.69%
2-02.30%
2-11.57%
3-00.28%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-035.07%
1-18.70%
2-20.54%
Ceara
0-124.06%
0-28.25%
1-22.99%
0-31.89%
1-30.68%
2-30.12%
0-40.32%
1-40.12%