Palmeiras at Chapecoense

Updated

Palmeiras

54.5%23.3%22.2%
Palmeiras WinDrawChapecoense Win
1.72Projected Goals 0.70
2Final Score 0

Chapecoense

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Flamengo+130
W 1-2 vs Athletico Paranaense-150
L 2-0 vs Cuiaba-225
L 0-2 at Atletico Mineiro+270
L 3-2 vs Fortaleza-135
Chapecoense
Money Line
W 2-1 at Bragantino+510
L 2-1 vs Fluminense+330
T 0-0 at Sport Recife+350
T 1-1 at Atletico Goianiense+375
T 1-1 vs America (MG)+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-144-175-167-175-171-167-167-155.3
Chapecoense+395+500+470+530+469+450+530+546.2
Draw+274+310+255+312+296+265+312+322.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-150-----160-160-155.3
Chapecoense+420----+475+475+546.2
Draw+285----+285+285+322.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½-102o2¼-135o2½-101-o2¼-135o2¼-135o2½+107
Underu2½-125u2½-118u2¼+115u2½-114-u2¼+115u2½-114u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.4%
 
No58.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.89%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 412.71%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.51%
Exactly 321.01%
Exactly 56.16%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 017.91%
Exactly 130.80%
Exactly 226.49%
Exactly 315.18%
Exactly 46.53%
Exactly 52.24%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 049.60%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 212.19%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.60%
Exactly 220.48%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 045.11%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 214.30%
Exactly 33.79%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 072.28%
Exactly 123.47%
Exactly 23.81%
Exactly 30.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals35.28%
Wins by 3+ goals16.00%
Wins by 4+ goals5.91%
Wins by 5+ goals1.81%
Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals3.95%
Wins by 3+ goals0.75%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Chapecoense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal26.54%
Wins by 2 goals19.28%
Wins by 3 goals10.09%
Wins by 4 goals4.10%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal10.82%
Wins by 2 goals3.19%
Wins by 3 goals0.66%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.11%8.89%
1.569.61%30.39%
2.543.57%56.43%
3.522.56%77.44%
4.59.85%90.15%
5.53.69%96.31%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.09%17.91%
1.551.28%48.72%
2.524.80%75.20%
3.59.61%90.39%
4.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.40%49.60%
1.515.62%84.38%
2.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.40%32.60%
1.530.86%69.14%
2.510.38%89.62%
3.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Chapecoense
Score0123
0
8.88%
6.23%
2.18%
0.51%
1
15.28%
10.71%
3.76%
0.88%
2
13.14%
9.21%
3.23%
0.75%
3
7.53%
5.28%
1.85%
0.43%
4
3.24%
2.27%
0.80%
0.19%
5
1.11%
0.78%
0.27%
0.06%
Palmeiras
1-015.28%
2-013.14%
2-19.21%
3-07.53%
3-15.28%
3-21.85%
4-03.24%
4-12.27%
4-20.80%
4-30.19%
5-01.11%
5-10.78%
5-20.27%
Draw
0-08.88%
1-110.71%
2-23.23%
3-30.43%
Chapecoense
0-16.23%
0-22.18%
1-23.76%
0-30.51%
1-30.88%
2-30.75%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Chapecoense
Score0123
0
32.60%
10.58%
1.72%
0.19%
1
25.96%
8.43%
1.37%
0.15%
2
10.33%
3.35%
0.54%
0.06%
3
2.74%
0.89%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.55%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-025.96%
2-010.33%
2-13.35%
3-02.74%
3-10.89%
3-20.14%
4-00.55%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-032.60%
1-18.43%
2-20.54%
Chapecoense
0-110.58%
0-21.72%
1-21.37%
0-30.19%
1-30.15%