Atletico Mineiro at Bahia

Updated 38 days ago

09:30 PM • Sep 15, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

30.0%27.9%42.1%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawBahia Win

1.04Projected Goals 1.29

0Final Score 3

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 3-2	9/01 at Gremio
L 2-0	8/25 vs Fluminense
T 1-1	8/17 vs Cuiaba
T 0-0	8/11 at Cruzeiro
L 1-2	8/03 at Criciuma

Bahia		Money Line
L 1-2	9/01 at Bragantino
T 0-0	8/25 vs Botafogo RJ
W 2-0	8/17 at Gremio
W 0-2	8/11 vs Vitoria
L 0-1	8/04 at Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

:2.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+250	+307	+300	+320	+311	+320	+320	+340.7
Bahia	+119	-104	-110	-110	-111	-110	-104	+100.3
Draw	+235	+252	+260	+248	+249	+248	+260	+265.1

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+340.7
Bahia	-	-	-	-	-	+100.3
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+265.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bahia: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-1.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+120	o2½+109	o2¼-112	o2¼-117	o2¼-114	o2¼-117	o2¼-112	o2¼-106
Under	u2½-142	u2½-128	u2¼-108	u2¼-103	u2¼-106	u2¼-103	u2½-128	u2¼+106

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-106
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	46.9%


No	53.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	9.74%
Exactly 2	26.41%
Exactly 4	11.94%
Exactly 6	2.16%
Exactly 8	0.21%


Exactly 1	22.68%
Exactly 3	20.51%
Exactly 5	5.56%
Exactly 7	0.72%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	35.29%
Exactly 1	36.76%
Exactly 2	19.14%
Exactly 3	6.65%
Exactly 4	1.73%
Exactly 5	0.36%

Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 0	27.59%
Exactly 1	35.53%
Exactly 2	22.87%
Exactly 3	9.82%
Exactly 4	3.16%
Exactly 5	0.81%
Exactly 6	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	34.01%
Exactly 2	19.78%
Exactly 4	1.92%


Exactly 1	36.68%
Exactly 3	7.11%
Exactly 5	0.41%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	61.74%
Exactly 1	29.77%
Exactly 2	7.18%
Exactly 3	1.15%
Exactly 4	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 0	55.09%
Exactly 1	32.84%
Exactly 2	9.79%
Exactly 3	1.95%
Exactly 4	0.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	11.31%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.24%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.71%

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals	19.00%
Wins by 3+ goals	6.65%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.86%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Bahia

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	18.65%
Wins by 2 goals	8.07%
Wins by 3 goals	2.53%
Wins by 4 goals	0.61%

Bahia
Wins by 1 goal	23.05%
Wins by 2 goals	12.34%
Wins by 3 goals	4.79%
Wins by 4 goals	1.45%
Wins by 5 goals	0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.26%	9.74%
1.5	67.58%	32.42%
2.5	41.17%	58.83%
3.5	20.66%	79.34%
4.5	8.72%	91.28%
5.5	3.16%	96.84%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.71%	35.29%
1.5	27.95%	72.05%
2.5	8.81%	91.19%
3.5	2.16%	97.84%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.41%	27.59%
1.5	36.88%	63.12%
2.5	14.00%	86.00%
3.5	4.19%	95.81%
4.5	1.03%	98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.99%	34.01%
1.5	29.31%	70.69%
2.5	9.53%	90.47%
3.5	2.42%	97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Bahia

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.74%	12.54%	8.07%	3.46%	1.12%	0.29%
1	10.14%	13.06%	8.41%	3.61%	1.16%	0.30%
2	5.28%	6.80%	4.38%	1.88%	0.60%	0.16%
3	1.83%	2.36%	1.52%	0.65%	0.21%	0.05%
4	0.48%	0.61%	0.40%	0.17%	0.05%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	10.14%
2-0	5.28%
2-1	6.80%
3-0	1.83%
3-1	2.36%
3-2	1.52%
4-0	0.48%
4-1	0.61%
4-2	0.40%
4-3	0.17%

Draw
0-0	9.74%
1-1	13.06%
2-2	4.38%
3-3	0.65%

Bahia
0-1	12.54%
0-2	8.07%
1-2	8.41%
0-3	3.46%
1-3	3.61%
2-3	1.88%
0-4	1.12%
1-4	1.16%
2-4	0.60%
3-4	0.21%
0-5	0.29%
1-5	0.30%
2-5	0.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Bahia

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	34.01%	20.28%	6.04%	1.20%	0.18%
1	16.40%	9.78%	2.91%	0.58%	0.09%
2	3.96%	2.36%	0.70%	0.14%	0.02%
3	0.64%	0.38%	0.11%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	16.40%
2-0	3.96%
2-1	2.36%
3-0	0.64%
3-1	0.38%
3-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	34.01%
1-1	9.78%
2-2	0.70%

Bahia
0-1	20.28%
0-2	6.04%
1-2	2.91%
0-3	1.20%
1-3	0.58%
2-3	0.14%
0-4	0.18%

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