Atletico Mineiro at Gremio

Updated 81 days ago

02:00 PM • Sep 1, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

33.6%28.7%37.7%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawGremio Win

1.08Projected Goals 1.17

3Final Score 2

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
L 2-0	8/25 vs Fluminense
T 1-1	8/17 vs Cuiaba
T 0-0	8/11 at Cruzeiro
L 1-2	8/03 at Criciuma
W 1-2	7/28 vs Corinthians

Gremio		Money Line
W 1-0	8/25 at Criciuma
L 2-0	8/17 vs Bahia
W 3-1	8/10 at Cuiaba
W 2-0	8/04 at Athletico Paranaense
W 0-1	7/28 vs Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

:2.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+215	-	+250	+285	+286	+285	+286	+304.3
Gremio	+130	-	+125	+121	+118	+121	+121	+132.1
Draw	+230	-	+215	+196	+200	+196	+215	+210.8

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+304.3
Gremio	-	-	-	-	-	+132.1
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+210.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Gremio: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+102	-	o2-120	o2-120	o2-114	o2-120	o2-114	o2-109
Under	u2¼-122	-	u2+100	u2+100	u2-106	u2+100	u2+100	u2+109

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-109
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.6%


No	54.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.51%
Exactly 2	26.67%
Exactly 4	11.28%
Exactly 6	1.91%
Exactly 8	0.17%


Exactly 1	23.68%
Exactly 3	20.03%
Exactly 5	5.08%
Exactly 7	0.61%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	33.78%
Exactly 1	36.66%
Exactly 2	19.89%
Exactly 3	7.20%
Exactly 4	1.95%
Exactly 5	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 0	31.12%
Exactly 1	36.33%
Exactly 2	21.20%
Exactly 3	8.25%
Exactly 4	2.41%
Exactly 5	0.56%
Exactly 6	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.24%
Exactly 2	19.17%
Exactly 4	1.74%


Exactly 1	36.76%
Exactly 3	6.66%
Exactly 5	0.36%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	60.50%
Exactly 1	30.40%
Exactly 2	7.64%
Exactly 3	1.28%
Exactly 4	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 0	58.25%
Exactly 1	31.48%
Exactly 2	8.51%
Exactly 3	1.53%
Exactly 4	0.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	13.19%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.93%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.13%

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals	15.80%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.10%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Gremio

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	20.33%
Wins by 2 goals	9.25%
Wins by 3 goals	3.04%
Wins by 4 goals	0.76%
Wins by 5 goals	0.13%

Gremio
Wins by 1 goal	21.87%
Wins by 2 goals	10.71%
Wins by 3 goals	3.79%
Wins by 4 goals	1.04%
Wins by 5 goals	0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.49%	10.51%
1.5	65.80%	34.20%
2.5	39.13%	60.87%
3.5	19.10%	80.90%
4.5	7.83%	92.17%
5.5	2.75%	97.25%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.22%	33.78%
1.5	29.56%	70.44%
2.5	9.66%	90.34%
3.5	2.47%	97.53%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.88%	31.12%
1.5	32.55%	67.45%
2.5	11.35%	88.65%
3.5	3.10%	96.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.76%	35.24%
1.5	28.00%	72.00%
2.5	8.84%	91.16%
3.5	2.17%	97.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Gremio

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.51%	12.27%	7.16%	2.79%	0.81%	0.19%
1	11.41%	13.32%	7.77%	3.02%	0.88%	0.21%
2	6.19%	7.23%	4.22%	1.64%	0.48%	0.11%
3	2.24%	2.61%	1.53%	0.59%	0.17%	0.04%
4	0.61%	0.71%	0.41%	0.16%	0.05%	0.01%
5	0.13%	0.15%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	11.41%
2-0	6.19%
2-1	7.23%
3-0	2.24%
3-1	2.61%
3-2	1.53%
4-0	0.61%
4-1	0.71%
4-2	0.41%
4-3	0.16%
5-0	0.13%
5-1	0.15%

Draw
0-0	10.51%
1-1	13.32%
2-2	4.22%
3-3	0.59%

Gremio
0-1	12.27%
0-2	7.16%
1-2	7.77%
0-3	2.79%
1-3	3.02%
2-3	1.64%
0-4	0.81%
1-4	0.88%
2-4	0.48%
3-4	0.17%
0-5	0.19%
1-5	0.21%
2-5	0.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Gremio

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	35.24%	19.05%	5.15%	0.93%	0.13%
1	17.71%	9.57%	2.59%	0.47%	0.06%
2	4.45%	2.40%	0.65%	0.12%	0.02%
3	0.75%	0.40%	0.11%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	17.71%
2-0	4.45%
2-1	2.40%
3-0	0.75%
3-1	0.40%
3-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	35.24%
1-1	9.57%
2-2	0.65%

Gremio
0-1	19.05%
0-2	5.15%
1-2	2.59%
0-3	0.93%
1-3	0.47%
2-3	0.12%
0-4	0.13%

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