Atletico Mineiro at Gremio

Updated

Atletico Mineiro

33.6%28.7%37.7%
Atletico Mineiro WinDrawGremio Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.17
3Final Score 2

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 vs Cuiaba
T 0-0 at Cruzeiro
L 1-2 at Criciuma
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
Gremio
Money Line
W 1-0 at Criciuma
L 2-0 vs Bahia
W 3-1 at Cuiaba
W 2-0 at Athletico Paranaense
W 0-1 vs Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+215-+250+285+286+285+286+304.3
Gremio+130-+125+121+118+121+121+132.1
Draw+230-+215+196+200+196+215+210.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro-----+304.3
Gremio-----+132.1
Draw-----+210.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2-120o2-120o2-114o2-120o2-114o2-109
Underu2¼-122-u2+100u2+100u2-106u2+100u2+100u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.51%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.68%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 55.08%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 033.78%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 031.12%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.20%
Exactly 38.25%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.24%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.66%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 060.50%
Exactly 130.40%
Exactly 27.64%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 058.25%
Exactly 131.48%
Exactly 28.51%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals13.19%
Wins by 3+ goals3.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals15.80%
Wins by 3+ goals5.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro
Gremio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal20.33%
Wins by 2 goals9.25%
Wins by 3 goals3.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal21.87%
Wins by 2 goals10.71%
Wins by 3 goals3.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.49%10.51%
1.565.80%34.20%
2.539.13%60.87%
3.519.10%80.90%
4.57.83%92.17%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.22%33.78%
1.529.56%70.44%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.88%31.12%
1.532.55%67.45%
2.511.35%88.65%
3.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.76%35.24%
1.528.00%72.00%
2.58.84%91.16%
3.52.17%97.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro
Gremio
Score012345
0
10.51%
12.27%
7.16%
2.79%
0.81%
0.19%
1
11.41%
13.32%
7.77%
3.02%
0.88%
0.21%
2
6.19%
7.23%
4.22%
1.64%
0.48%
0.11%
3
2.24%
2.61%
1.53%
0.59%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.61%
0.71%
0.41%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Mineiro
1-011.41%
2-06.19%
2-17.23%
3-02.24%
3-12.61%
3-21.53%
4-00.61%
4-10.71%
4-20.41%
4-30.16%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.51%
1-113.32%
2-24.22%
3-30.59%
Gremio
0-112.27%
0-27.16%
1-27.77%
0-32.79%
1-33.02%
2-31.64%
0-40.81%
1-40.88%
2-40.48%
3-40.17%
0-50.19%
1-50.21%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro
Gremio
Score01234
0
35.24%
19.05%
5.15%
0.93%
0.13%
1
17.71%
9.57%
2.59%
0.47%
0.06%
2
4.45%
2.40%
0.65%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.75%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Mineiro
1-017.71%
2-04.45%
2-12.40%
3-00.75%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-035.24%
1-19.57%
2-20.65%
Gremio
0-119.05%
0-25.15%
1-22.59%
0-30.93%
1-30.47%
2-30.12%
0-40.13%