Gremio at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Gremio

27.8%28.5%43.8%
Gremio WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Vasco da Gama
T 2-2 at Corinthians
W 0-2 vs Vitoria
L 0-1 at Sao Paulo
L 2-0 vs Cruzeiro
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 2-1 at Cuiaba
L 0-1 at Bragantino
L 3-1 vs Bahia
W 2-1 at Atletico Goianiense
L 2-1 vs Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+350-+420+455+436+455+455+482.9
Athletico Paranaense-115--150-156-156-158-150-139.8
Draw+245-+290+285+285+288+290+307.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+482.9
Athletico Paranaense------139.8
Draw-----+307.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 50.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108-o2½+102o2½+100o2½-101o2½+100o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2¼-112-u2½-122u2½-120u2½-121u2½-120u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.82%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.03%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.06%
Exactly 319.83%
Exactly 54.91%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 038.62%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.48%
Exactly 35.54%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 028.00%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 39.62%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.71%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 41.67%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 064.37%
Exactly 128.36%
Exactly 26.24%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 055.47%
Exactly 132.69%
Exactly 29.63%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals9.80%
Wins by 3+ goals2.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals19.79%
Wins by 3+ goals6.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal17.91%
Wins by 2 goals7.19%
Wins by 3 goals2.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal23.96%
Wins by 2 goals12.88%
Wins by 3 goals4.99%
Wins by 4 goals1.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.18%10.82%
1.565.13%34.87%
2.538.38%61.62%
3.518.54%81.46%
4.57.51%92.49%
5.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.38%38.62%
1.524.64%75.36%
2.57.16%92.84%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.00%28.00%
1.536.35%63.65%
2.513.67%86.33%
3.54.04%95.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.29%35.71%
1.527.52%72.48%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
10.82%
13.77%
8.76%
3.72%
1.18%
0.30%
1
10.29%
13.10%
8.34%
3.54%
1.13%
0.29%
2
4.89%
6.23%
3.96%
1.68%
0.54%
0.14%
3
1.55%
1.98%
1.26%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.37%
0.47%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Gremio
1-010.29%
2-04.89%
2-16.23%
3-01.55%
3-11.98%
3-21.26%
4-00.37%
4-10.47%
4-20.30%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.82%
1-113.10%
2-23.96%
3-30.53%
Athletico Paranaense
0-113.77%
0-28.76%
1-28.34%
0-33.72%
1-33.54%
2-31.68%
0-41.18%
1-41.13%
2-40.54%
3-40.17%
0-50.30%
1-50.29%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
35.71%
21.04%
6.20%
1.22%
0.18%
1
15.73%
9.27%
2.73%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.46%
2.04%
0.60%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.51%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-015.73%
2-03.46%
2-12.04%
3-00.51%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-035.71%
1-19.27%
2-20.60%
Athletico Paranaense
0-121.04%
0-26.20%
1-22.73%
0-31.22%
1-30.54%
2-30.12%
0-40.18%