Athletico Paranaense at Bragantino

Updated 48 days ago

09:30 PM • Jul 21, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

18.4%23.9%57.7%

WinDrawBragantino Win

0.84Projected Goals 1.70

0Final Score 1

Bragantino

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 3-1	7/10 vs Bahia
W 2-1	7/07 at Atletico Goianiense
L 2-1	7/04 vs Sao Paulo
W 1-0	6/30 at Vitoria
L 0-2	6/26 at Cruzeiro

Bragantino		Money Line
L 1-2	7/13 at Cruzeiro
L 0-2	7/06 at Sao Paulo
W 1-3	7/04 vs Atletico Goianiense
T 1-1	6/29 at Cuiaba
L 1-2	6/26 at Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

:4.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+230	-	+295	+305	+302	+305	+305	+325.3
Bragantino	+125	-	-105	-103	-105	-103	-103	+107.0
Draw	+235	-	+245	+238	+245	+238	+245	+255.0

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+325.3
Bragantino	-	-	-	-	-	+107.0
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+255.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Bragantino: 40.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bragantino: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bragantino: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bragantino: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Bragantino ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+100	-	o2¼-112	o2¼-115	o2¼-114	o2¼-115	o2¼-112	o2¼-104
Under	u2¼-120	-	u2¼-108	u2¼-105	u2¼-106	u2¼-105	u2¼-105	u2¼+104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	46.5%


No	53.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.88%
Exactly 2	25.43%
Exactly 4	13.69%
Exactly 6	2.95%
Exactly 8	0.34%


Exactly 1	20.02%
Exactly 3	21.54%
Exactly 5	6.96%
Exactly 7	1.07%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	43.11%
Exactly 1	36.27%
Exactly 2	15.26%
Exactly 3	4.28%
Exactly 4	0.90%
Exactly 5	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - Bragantino
Exactly 0	18.27%
Exactly 1	31.06%
Exactly 2	26.40%
Exactly 3	14.96%
Exactly 4	6.36%
Exactly 5	2.16%
Exactly 6	0.61%
Exactly 7	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.83%
Exactly 2	21.34%
Exactly 4	2.46%
Exactly 6	0.11%


Exactly 1	36.28%
Exactly 3	8.37%
Exactly 5	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	67.74%
Exactly 1	26.39%
Exactly 2	5.14%
Exactly 3	0.67%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bragantino
Exactly 0	45.52%
Exactly 1	35.83%
Exactly 2	14.10%
Exactly 3	3.70%
Exactly 4	0.73%
Exactly 5	0.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	5.72%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.24%

Bragantino
Wins by 2+ goals	32.17%
Wins by 3+ goals	14.29%
Wins by 4+ goals	5.18%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.56%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Bragantino

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	12.64%
Wins by 2 goals	4.38%
Wins by 3 goals	1.10%
Wins by 4 goals	0.21%

Bragantino
Wins by 1 goal	25.54%
Wins by 2 goals	17.87%
Wins by 3 goals	9.11%
Wins by 4 goals	3.62%
Wins by 5 goals	1.18%
Wins by 6 goals	0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.12%	7.88%
1.5	72.11%	27.89%
2.5	46.67%	53.33%
3.5	25.13%	74.87%
4.5	11.44%	88.56%
5.5	4.48%	95.52%
6.5	1.54%	98.46%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	56.89%	43.11%
1.5	20.61%	79.39%
2.5	5.35%	94.65%
3.5	1.08%	98.92%

Total Goals Bragantino Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	81.73%	18.27%
1.5	50.67%	49.33%
2.5	24.27%	75.73%
3.5	9.32%	90.68%
4.5	2.96%	97.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.17%	30.83%
1.5	32.89%	67.11%
2.5	11.55%	88.45%
3.5	3.18%	96.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Bragantino

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.88%	13.39%	11.38%	6.45%	2.74%	0.93%
1	6.63%	11.27%	9.57%	5.43%	2.31%	0.78%
2	2.79%	4.74%	4.03%	2.28%	0.97%	0.33%
3	0.78%	1.33%	1.13%	0.64%	0.27%	0.09%
4	0.16%	0.28%	0.24%	0.13%	0.06%	0.02%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	6.63%
2-0	2.79%
2-1	4.74%
3-0	0.78%
3-1	1.33%
3-2	1.13%
4-0	0.16%
4-1	0.28%
4-2	0.24%
4-3	0.13%

Draw
0-0	7.88%
1-1	11.27%
2-2	4.03%
3-3	0.64%

Bragantino
0-1	13.39%
0-2	11.38%
1-2	9.57%
0-3	6.45%
1-3	5.43%
2-3	2.28%
0-4	2.74%
1-4	2.31%
2-4	0.97%
3-4	0.27%
0-5	0.93%
1-5	0.78%
2-5	0.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Bragantino

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	30.83%	24.27%	9.55%	2.51%	0.49%
1	12.01%	9.45%	3.72%	0.98%	0.19%
2	2.34%	1.84%	0.72%	0.19%	0.04%
3	0.30%	0.24%	0.09%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	12.01%
2-0	2.34%
2-1	1.84%
3-0	0.30%
3-1	0.24%

Draw
0-0	30.83%
1-1	9.45%
2-2	0.72%

Bragantino
0-1	24.27%
0-2	9.55%
1-2	3.72%
0-3	2.51%
1-3	0.98%
2-3	0.19%
0-4	0.49%
1-4	0.19%

Corinthians at Bahia

Sao Paulo at Juventude

Athletico Paranaense at Bragantino