Sao Paulo at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Sao Paulo

29.8%29.9%40.4%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.15
2Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Bahia
W 1-2 vs Criciuma
L 1-4 at Vasco da Gama
L 1-0 vs Cuiaba
T 2-2 at Corinthians
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 1-0 at Vitoria
L 0-2 at Cruzeiro
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 vs Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+240-+230+230+226+230+230+246.2
Athletico Paranaense+125-+130+135+134+135+135+146.5
Draw+220-+220+212+214+212+220+227.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+246.2
Athletico Paranaense-----+146.5
Draw-----+227.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼+102o2¼+109
Underu2¼-122-u2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-124u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.5%
 
No58.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.45%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 49.78%
Exactly 61.42%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.93%
Exactly 318.77%
Exactly 54.08%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 039.11%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.23%
Exactly 35.39%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 031.82%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.86%
Exactly 37.96%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.11%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 41.38%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 064.75%
Exactly 128.14%
Exactly 26.12%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 058.85%
Exactly 131.20%
Exactly 28.27%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals10.52%
Wins by 3+ goals2.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals16.83%
Wins by 3+ goals5.33%
Wins by 4+ goals1.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal19.19%
Wins by 2 goals7.73%
Wins by 3 goals2.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals11.50%
Wins by 3 goals4.04%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.55%12.45%
1.561.62%38.38%
2.534.60%65.40%
3.515.83%84.17%
4.56.05%93.95%
5.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.89%39.11%
1.524.17%75.83%
2.56.94%93.06%
3.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.18%31.82%
1.531.75%68.25%
2.510.88%89.12%
3.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.89%38.11%
1.525.13%74.87%
2.57.39%92.61%
3.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
12.45%
14.25%
8.16%
3.11%
0.89%
0.20%
1
11.68%
13.38%
7.66%
2.92%
0.84%
0.19%
2
5.48%
6.28%
3.60%
1.37%
0.39%
0.09%
3
1.72%
1.96%
1.12%
0.43%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.46%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-011.68%
2-05.48%
2-16.28%
3-01.72%
3-11.96%
3-21.12%
4-00.40%
4-10.46%
4-20.26%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-012.45%
1-113.38%
2-23.60%
3-30.43%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.25%
0-28.16%
1-27.66%
0-33.11%
1-32.92%
2-31.37%
0-40.89%
1-40.84%
2-40.39%
3-40.12%
0-50.20%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
38.11%
20.20%
5.36%
0.95%
0.13%
1
16.56%
8.78%
2.33%
0.41%
0.05%
2
3.60%
1.91%
0.51%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.52%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-016.56%
2-03.60%
2-11.91%
3-00.52%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-038.11%
1-18.78%
2-20.51%
Athletico Paranaense
0-120.20%
0-25.36%
1-22.33%
0-30.95%
1-30.41%
0-40.13%