Sao Paulo at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Sao Paulo

29.8%29.9%40.4%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.15
2Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Bahia
W 1-2 vs Criciuma
L 1-4 at Vasco da Gama
L 1-0 vs Cuiaba
T 2-2 at Corinthians
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 1-0 at Vitoria
L 0-2 at Cruzeiro
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 vs Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+240-+230+230+226+230+230+246.2
Athletico Paranaense+125-+130+135+134+135+135+146.5
Draw+220-+220+212+214+212+220+227.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+246.2
Athletico Paranaense-----+146.5
Draw-----+227.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼+102o2¼+109
Underu2¼-122-u2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-124u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.5%
 
No58.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.45%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 49.78%
Exactly 61.42%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.93%
Exactly 318.77%
Exactly 54.08%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 039.11%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.23%
Exactly 35.39%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 031.82%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.86%
Exactly 37.96%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.11%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 41.38%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 064.75%
Exactly 128.14%
Exactly 26.12%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 058.85%
Exactly 131.20%
Exactly 28.27%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals10.52%
Wins by 3+ goals2.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals16.83%
Wins by 3+ goals5.33%
Wins by 4+ goals1.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal19.19%
Wins by 2 goals7.73%
Wins by 3 goals2.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals11.50%
Wins by 3 goals4.04%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.55%12.45%
1.561.62%38.38%
2.534.60%65.40%
3.515.83%84.17%
4.56.05%93.95%
5.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.89%39.11%
1.524.17%75.83%
2.56.94%93.06%
3.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.18%31.82%
1.531.75%68.25%
2.510.88%89.12%
3.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.89%38.11%
1.525.13%74.87%
2.57.39%92.61%
3.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
12.45%
14.25%
8.16%
3.11%
0.89%
0.20%
1
11.68%
13.38%
7.66%
2.92%
0.84%
0.19%
2
5.48%
6.28%
3.60%
1.37%
0.39%
0.09%
3
1.72%
1.96%
1.12%
0.43%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.46%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-011.68%
2-05.48%
2-16.28%
3-01.72%
3-11.96%
3-21.12%
4-00.40%
4-10.46%
4-20.26%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-012.45%
1-113.38%
2-23.60%
3-30.43%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.25%
0-28.16%
1-27.66%
0-33.11%
1-32.92%
2-31.37%
0-40.89%
1-40.84%
2-40.39%
3-40.12%
0-50.20%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
38.11%
20.20%
5.36%
0.95%
0.13%
1
16.56%
8.78%
2.33%
0.41%
0.05%
2
3.60%
1.91%
0.51%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.52%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-016.56%
2-03.60%
2-11.91%
3-00.52%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-038.11%
1-18.78%
2-20.51%
Athletico Paranaense
0-120.20%
0-25.36%
1-22.33%
0-30.95%
1-30.41%
0-40.13%
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